Ffocws
National population projections: 2022-based
Beth sydd yn y bwletin?
- Over the 10 years between mid-2022 and mid-2032, the population of the UK is projected to increase by 4.9 million (7.3%) from an estimated 67.6 million to 72.5 million; this increase is projected to arise from net migration of 4.9 million compared with 6.8 million births and 6.8 million deaths.
- The population projections for the UK are based on an assumption of long-term net international migration of 340,000 per year from year ending mid-2028 onwards; there is always uncertainty in estimates and projections of migration, meaning actual levels of future migration and resulting population may be higher or lower than those assumed in these projections.
- Between mid-2022 to mid-2032, it is projected that there will be a similar number of deaths and births in the UK; although births are projected to increase slightly, deaths are projected to rise because of the relatively large number of people born in the post-World War 2 period reaching older ages.
Datasets related to Amcanestyniadau poblogaeth
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2020-based interim national population projections: year ending June 2022 estimated international migration variant
2020-based interim national population projections with assumptions of possible future international migration that reflect estimates of international migration to year ending June 2022. The potential future population size of the UK, Great Britain, England and Wales, England, Scotland and Wales. These statistics are widely used in planning, for example, fiscal projections, health, education and pensions. Not national statistics.
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National population projections table of contents
Tools to locate the dataset tables and supporting documentation for the 2014, 2016, 2018, 2020, 2021 and 2022-based national population projections. Contains links to the principal and (where available) variant projections for the UK and constituent countries for 100 years ahead.
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Principal projection - UK summary
Principal projection for the UK including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Zipped population projections data files, UK
Open data for UK principal and variant projections. Single year of age and sex with underlying data.
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Population projections for regions by five-year age groups and sex, England
Population figures over a 25-year period, by five-year age groups and sex for regions in England. 2022-based datasets are the latest projection.
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Population projections for local authorities by five-year age groups and sex, England
Population figures over a 25-year period, by five-year age groups and sex for local authorities in England. 2022-based datasets are the latest projection.
Publications related to Amcanestyniadau poblogaeth
Statistical bulletins
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National population projections: 2022-based
The potential future population size of the UK and its constituent countries. These statistics are widely used in planning, including fiscal projections, health, education and pensions.
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Subnational population projections for England: 2022-based
Population projections by English local authorities and health geographies. These statistics are used in planning, health and education.
Articles
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National Population Projections
National population projections by age and sex for the UK and constituent countries. Includes details of fertility, mortality and migration assumptions.
Methodology related to Amcanestyniadau poblogaeth
Darganfyddwch, cymharwch, a dewch yn fyw ystadegau am leoedd yn y Deyrnas Unedig.