The Office for National Statistics (ONS) collected Census 2021 responses during the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, a period of unparalleled and rapid change; the national lockdown, associated guidance and furlough measures will have affected the travel to work topic.
We provided extra guidance to respondents affected by the pandemic on how to respond to travel to work questions, but it is not clear how this guidance was followed.
There was an increase in home working from 10.3% in 2011 to 31.2% in 2021, but the government advised people to stay at home and only attend work if you had no alternative; there are also several other aspects to consider when interpreting results for this topic.
As designed, we did not collect any workplace address information for those working at home, including those following government guidance to do so.
Large numbers of people were still being supported by government furlough schemes, and it is not clear how the question guidance provided was followed; some people may have provided travel information for the last time they worked, or they may have answered based on their behaviours on Census Day.
Restrictions on travel ended later in 2021, and while there will have been a shift back towards some behaviours from before COVID-19, hybrid and home working remain commonplace.
We are researching the potential of using alternative data sources and modelling methods to produce travel to work statistics on a more frequent and timely basis, including workday populations and hybrid working patterns.
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Census 2021 in England and Wales collected information about the resident population’s places of work, their workplace addresses and their method of transport to the workplace. At the Office for National Statistics (ONS), we use this information together with people’s address data to estimate a distance travelled to work variable.
Policymakers and planners use these data to understand the flows of people around the country to their workplaces. This informs:
- planning of public transport
- understanding of how people with different characteristics access the job market
- planning about how net zero and levelling-up targets can be achieved
The data also underlie Travel to Work Areas and Workplace Zones, which are geographies that represent principally self-contained areas of the country where the population live and work.
Travel to work data are closely connected to labour market data. Read about labour market quality information for Census 2021.Nôl i'r tabl cynnwys
Take care not to overinterpret the data from the travel to work topic. We are unsure whether people on furlough followed guidance as intended. Because of this and complications resulting from some inconsistency in the guidance, it is unclear how representative the method of travel, distance travelled, and derived variables are of Census Day.
This is further complicated by the substantial shifts in behaviour because of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. This makes it difficult to know whether patterns detected are concentrations of:
- furloughed populations
- pandemic-related changes in behaviour
- longer-term trends
The issue is likely to be concentrated in populations with high rates of furlough. We expect this to be closely connected with characteristics variables such as:
- health and age
- employment variables including industry and occupation
- geographical concentrations of these variables
For this reason, take extra care when interpreting multivariate travel data or data for geographies below “Region”.
Census 2021 travel to work data use the 2001 travel to work specification, which is a method consistent with variables from the 2001 and 2011 Censuses. Compared with the 2011 specification, Census 2021 data do not include figures for people who work from home but use other transport for their employment. As a result, home-working figures may be higher than the 2011 variable because of definitional differences.Nôl i'r tabl cynnwys
At the Office for National Statistics (ONS), we published extra guidance to help people on furlough to answer the census questions about work and travel to work. This guidance said that they should identify themselves as “temporarily away from work”. This would ensure they were still included in the economically active population. It would also provide travel to work information for the last time that they went to work before their behaviours changed.
We are unable to determine how furloughed people followed guidance. However, our research suggests that there are inconsistencies between the number of people answering "Temporarily away from work" in Census 2021 and the equivalent in other administrative data sources. This may result in scattering of furloughed responses through other labour market categories. Our An overview of workers who were furloughed in the UK: October 2021 article suggests that furlough is associated with other characteristics, including:
It is possible that the interaction of furloughed responses with technical aspects of census processing, such as edit and imputation, could increase values in the observed census data. There is no specific flag for furloughed people within the data, and we are unable to quantify the effect that they may have had on the travel data. Neither are we able to make any adjustment. We recommend caution when using the travel to work data, as multivariate and small geographies are more likely to contain concentrations of this effect.
Travel to work data also underlie the Travel to Work Area geographies, which are used in economic analysis to understand access to jobs and the labour market. These geographies may be less representative of where people are living and working. At the moment, we advise users to continue to make use of the 2011 Travel to Work Areas for analytical and statistical work, and we will continue to update users on future developments.Nôl i'r tabl cynnwys
We recognise that travel to work data, including origin-destination matrices, and method and distance of travel, are used by a wide range of stakeholders. They use these data sources to understand travel behaviours, plan service provision, and as the basis for economic geographies such as Travel to Work areas.
At the Office for National Statistics (ONS), we are researching the use of alternative administrative data sources and survey data combined with modelling approaches to produce more frequent and timely measures of travel to work statistics. This may also provide the opportunity to measure:
- hybrid working
- workday populations
- non-work-related travel behaviours
- travel outside of standard working hours
- seasonal changes
We are investigating potential alternative sources of these data as part of our ambitious Census and Data Collection Transformation Programme. There will be a user consultation in 2023 about the future transformed system for population and social statistics. We will be publishing further information on our plans in the near future.Nôl i'r tabl cynnwys
Office for National Statistics (ONS), released 8 December 2022, ONS website, methodology, Travel to work quality information for Census 2021
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