Cynnwys
- Main points
- Summary of latest regional labour market statistics
- Things you need to know about this release
- Employment
- Workforce jobs
- Actual hours worked (first published on 12 July 2017)
- Unemployment
- Economic inactivity
- Local labour market indicators (first published on 12 July 2017)
- Upcoming changes and further publication dates
- Links to related statistics
- Quality and methodology
1. Main points
- For the 3 months ending July 2017, the highest employment rate in the UK was in the South East (79.6%) and the lowest was in Northern Ireland (68.2%).
- For the 3 months ending July 2017, the highest unemployment rate in the UK was in the North East (6.0%) and the lowest was in the South East (3.2%).
- For the 3 months ending July 2017, the highest economic inactivity rate in the UK was in Northern Ireland (27.8%) and the lowest was in the South East (17.7%).
- Between March and June 2017, the largest increase in workforce jobs in the UK was in Wales, at 44,000, whilst the largest decrease was in Yorkshire and The Humber at 26,000.
- In June 2017, the region with the highest proportion of workforce jobs in the service sector was London at 91.9%, which has increased by 0.6 percentage points since March 2017, whilst the East Midlands had the highest proportion of jobs in the production sector at 14.0%.
- The highest average actual weekly hours worked, for the 12 months ending March 2017, was in London at 33.9 hours and the lowest was in both Yorkshire and The Humber and the North East, at 31.4 hours; for full-time workers, it was highest in London at 38.6 hours and for part-time workers it was highest in Northern Ireland at 17.0 hours.
2. Summary of latest regional labour market statistics
Table 1 shows the latest estimates for employment, unemployment and economic inactivity for May to July 2017 and a comparison with the previous quarter (February to April 2017). Comparing non-overlapping periods (May to July 2017 with February to April 2017) provides a more robust short-term comparison.
Table 1: Summary of latest headline estimates for regions of the UK, seasonally adjusted, May to July 2017
UK regions | ||||||
Employment rate1 (%) aged 16 to 64 | Change on Feb to Apr 2017 | Unemployment rate2 (%) aged 16 and over | Change on Feb to Apr 2017 | Inactivity rate3 (%) aged 16 to 64 | Change on Feb to Apr 2017 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
United Kingdom | 75.3 | 0.5 | 4.3 | -0.2 | 21.2 | -0.3 |
Great Britain | 75.5 | 0.5 | 4.3 | -0.2 | 21.1 | -0.3 |
England | 75.6 | 0.5 | 4.4 | -0.2 | 20.9 | -0.2 |
North East | 71.8 | -0.4 | 6.0 | 0.6 | 23.5 | -0.1 |
North West | 74.5 | 0.5 | 4.0 | -0.1 | 22.4 | -0.3 |
Yorkshire and The Humber | 73.7 | 0.1 | 4.7 | -0.3 | 22.7 | 0.2 |
East Midlands | 74.1 | -0.5 | 3.9 | -0.2 | 22.8 | 0.7 |
West Midlands | 72.7 | 0.9 | 5.7 | -0.1 | 22.7 | -0.9 |
East | 77.7 | 0.3 | 3.8 | -0.2 | 19.1 | -0.1 |
London | 74.9 | 1.6 | 5.2 | -0.8 | 21.0 | -1.0 |
South East | 79.6 | 0.9 | 3.2 | -0.3 | 17.7 | -0.7 |
South West | 77.8 | -1.3 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 19.0 | 1.0 |
Wales | 72.4 | -0.6 | 4.3 | -0.5 | 24.2 | 1.0 |
Scotland | 75.8 | 1.8 | 3.8 | -0.2 | 21.2 | -1.6 |
Northern Ireland | 68.2 | -0.5 | 5.3 | -0.1 | 27.8 | 0.6 |
Source: Office for National Statistics | ||||||
Notes: | ||||||
1. Calculation of headline employment rate: Number of employed people aged from 16 to 64 divided by the population aged from 16 to 64. Population is the sum of employed plus unemployed plus inactive. | ||||||
2. Calculation of headline unemployment rate: Number of unemployed people aged 16 and over divided by the sum of employed people aged 16 and over plus unemployed people aged 16 and over. | ||||||
3. Calculation of headline economic inactivity rate: Number of economically inactive people aged from 16 to 64 divided by the population aged from 16 to 64. Population is the sum of employed plus unemployed plus inactive. |
Download this table Table 1: Summary of latest headline estimates for regions of the UK, seasonally adjusted, May to July 2017
.xls (29.2 kB)3. Things you need to know about this release
This bulletin shows the latest main labour market statistics for the regions and countries of the UK, along with statistics for local authorities, travel-to-work areas and parliamentary constituencies.
Data for Northern Ireland, although included in this bulletin, are available separately, in full, in the Northern Ireland Labour Market Report on the Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency (NISRA) website.
Updated this month
Labour Force Survey estimates for the period May to July 2017
Workforce jobs estimates for June 2017
Public and private sector employment for June 2017
Also in this release
Annual Population Survey estimates for the period April 2016 to March 2017
Labour market statistics
Labour market statistics measure many different aspects of work and jobs and provide an insight into the economy. They are also very much about people, including their participation in the labour force, the types of work they do, the earnings and benefits they receive and their working patterns.
We have developed a framework for labour market statistics to describe the concepts within the labour market and their relationship to each other. The framework is based on labour supply and demand.
Labour supply consists of people who are employed, as well as those people defined as unemployed or economically inactive, who are considered to be potential labour supply. Our framework distinguishes between these three categories of worker and also between the different working arrangements of those in employment such as employees, the self-employed and those on government schemes.
Labour demand is represented by employers, who have a need for work to be done, and who offer compensation for this work to the employees who undertake it. Employers group this work to form jobs.
This approach has wide international acceptance, including by the International Labour Organisation (ILO). Users of labour market statistics include central and local government, economists, financial analysts, journalists, businesses, trade unions, employer associations, students, teachers, industrial tribunals, academic researchers and lobby groups.
They use them for the analysis, evaluation, monitoring and planning of the labour market and economy. Labour market statistics are also used for social analysis and help inform a wide range of government policies towards population groups of particular concern (women, young people, older people and jobless households).
About labour market statuses
Everybody aged 16 or over is either employed, unemployed or economically inactive. The employment estimates include all people in work including those working part-time. People not working are classed as unemployed if they have been looking for work within the last 4 weeks and are able to start work within the next 2 weeks. A common misconception is that the unemployment statistics are a count of people on benefits; this is not the case, as they include unemployed people not claiming benefits.
Jobless people who have not been looking for work within the last 4 weeks or who are unable to start work within the next 2 weeks are classed as economically inactive. Examples of economically inactive people include people not looking for work because they are students, looking after the family or home, because of illness or disability, or because they have retired.
What is the relationship between the Annual Population Survey (APS) and the Labour Force Survey (LFS)?
The Labour Force Survey (LFS) is a household survey using international definitions of employment, unemployment and economic inactivity and compiles a wide range of related topics such as occupation, training, hours of work and personal characteristics of household members aged 16 years and over. Estimates are produced every month for a rolling 3-monthly period; for example, February to April data in a release will be followed by data for March to May in the next release.
The Annual Population Survey (APS), which began in 2004, is compiled from interviews for the LFS, along with additional regional samples. The APS comprises the main variables from the LFS, with a much larger sample size. Consequently, the APS supports more detailed breakdowns than can be reliably produced from the LFS. Estimates are produced every quarter for a rolling annual period; for example, January to December data will be followed by data for April to March when they are next updated.
This bulletin includes labour market estimates at a regional level from the LFS on total employment, unemployment and economic inactivity. More detailed regional estimates for employment by age, full-time and part-time working, economic activity and economic inactivity by age, and reasons for economic inactivity are provided using the APS. Any estimates for geographic areas below regional level are provided using the APS. In tables where APS estimates are provided for detailed geographic areas, regional and national estimates are also provided from APS for comparability.
Making comparisons with earlier data
The most robust estimates of short-term movements in estimates derived from the Labour Force Survey (LFS) are obtained by comparing the estimates for May to July 2017 with the estimates for February to April 2017, which were first published on 14 June 2017. This provides a more robust estimate than comparing with the estimates for April to June 2017. This is because the May and June data are included within both estimates, so observed differences are only between April and July 2017. The LFS is representative of the UK population over a 3-month period, not for single month periods.
Seasonal adjustment
All estimates discussed in this statistical bulletin are seasonally adjusted except where otherwise stated. Like many economic indicators, the labour market is affected by factors that tend to occur at around the same time every year; for example, school leavers entering the labour market in July and whether Easter falls in March or April. In order to compare movements other than annual changes in labour market statistics, the data are seasonally adjusted to remove the effects of seasonal factors and the arrangement of the calendar.
Where to find explanatory information
A Guide to labour market statistics, which includes a Glossary, is available.
Nôl i'r tabl cynnwys4. Employment
Things you need to know about employment
Employment measures the number of people in work; it differs from the number of jobs because some people have more than one job.
Employment consists of employees, self-employed people, unpaid family workers and people on government-supported training and employment programmes. Unpaid family workers are people who work in a family business who do not receive a formal wage or salary but benefit from the profits of that business. The government-supported training and employment programmes series does not include all people on these programmes; it only includes people engaging in any form of work, work experience or work-related training who are not included in the employees or self-employed series. People on these programmes not engaging in any form of work, work experience or work-related training are not included in the employment estimates; they are classified as unemployed or economically inactive.
A comparison between estimates of employment and jobs is available.
Regional employment
The employment rate for people aged from 16 to 64 for the UK was 75.3% for the period May to July 2017. This is an increase of 0.5 percentage points compared with the previous period (February to April 2017).
The employment rate estimates for those aged 16 to 64, for May to July 2017, compared with February to April 2017, showed a few large movements for the regions and countries of the UK. The UK region with the highest employment rate was the South East at 79.6%, followed by the South West at 77.8% and the East of England at 77.7%. The highest rate for the same period last year was also in the South East, at 78.3%.
The region with the lowest employment rate was Northern Ireland at 68.2%, followed by the North East at 71.8% and Wales at 72.4%. The lowest rate for the same period last year was also in Northern Ireland at 69.5%.
The largest increase in the employment rate estimates compared with the previous period (February to April 2017) was for Scotland, at 1.8 percentage points, followed by London, at 1.6 percentage points. The estimated increase for Scotland is unusually large. Whilst the estimated increase is higher than suggested by the general pattern for Scotland, it still takes the country to a record high for both its employment level and employment rate. Similarly the latest estimated increase for London takes that region to record high for level and rate.
In addition, it is also worth noting that the South East has a record high level and rate along with the level for the North West.
The largest decrease in the employment rate estimates was for the South West, at 1.3 percentage points, followed by Wales at 0.6 percentage points. The decrease in the latest estimate for the South West follows a period of a few months where the figures for the region have been at record highs.
Figure 1: Employment rates by region and comparison year-on-year, seasonally adjusted, May to July 2016 and May to July 2017
UK regions
Source: Labour Force Survey: Office for National Statistics
Download this chart Figure 1: Employment rates by region and comparison year-on-year, seasonally adjusted, May to July 2016 and May to July 2017
Image .csv .xlsOver the year, the region with the largest increase in the employment rate was Scotland, with an increase of 1.8 percentage points, followed by the North West and London, both with an increase of 1.5 percentage points. There were four regions that saw a decrease in the employment rate over the past year; the East Midlands being the largest of these, with a decrease of 1.5 percentage points.
Where to find data about employment
Employment estimates are available for each region in Dataset HI00 – Headline LFS indicators for all UK regions and HI01 to HI12 – Headline indicators for individual UK regions (Tabs 1 and 2), and Datasets LI01 to LI05 Local indicators for sub-regional areas of Great Britain, for this and further estimate breakdowns by age or geographies.
These tables contain data produced from the Labour Force Survey (LFS) and Annual Population Survey (APS). A note in the section “Understanding and working with labour market statistics” on the relationship between the LFS and APS entitled “What is the relationship between the APS and the LFS?” is included in this bulletin.
Nôl i'r tabl cynnwys5. Workforce jobs
Things you need to know about workforce jobs
Workforce jobs measures the number of filled jobs in the economy. The estimates are mainly sourced from employer surveys such as the Short-Term Employment Surveys (STES) and the Quarterly Public Sector Employment Survey (QPSES). Workforce jobs is a different concept from employment, which is sourced from the Labour Force Survey (LFS), as employment is an estimate of people and some people have more than one job.
A comparison between estimates of employment and jobs article is available.
The service sector consists of the following industries:
- wholesale and retail trade
- repair of motor vehicles and motor cycles, transport and storage
- accommodation and food service activities
- information and communication
- financial and insurance activities
- real estate activities
- professional, scientific and technical activities
- administrative and support service activities
- public administration and defence
- compulsory social security
- education
- human health and social work activities
- arts, entertainment and recreation
- other service activities
- people employed by households
The production sector consists of the following industries:
- mining and quarrying
- manufacturing
- electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply
- water supply, sewerage, waste and remediation activities
The “other” sector consists of agriculture, forestry, and fishing and construction industries.
The Northern Ireland self-employed component of the workforce jobs is published by the Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency (NISRA) as part of the Economic and Labour Market Statistics.
Regional workforce jobs
Workforce jobs increased in 9 of the 12 regions of the UK between March and June 2017. The largest increase of 44,000 was in Wales, followed by London, which increased by 33,000.
The largest decrease was in Yorkshire and The Humber, which decreased by 26,000, followed by the North West, which decreased by 19,000.
Compared with the same month last year (June 2016), the largest increase in workforce jobs was in the West Midlands, with an increase of 110,000. The only decrease was in Yorkshire and The Humber, at 38,000.
Figure 2: Change in workforce jobs, by region, seasonally adjusted, June 2016 and June 2017
UK regions
Source: Office for National Statistics
Download this chart Figure 2: Change in workforce jobs, by region, seasonally adjusted, June 2016 and June 2017
Image .csv .xlsThe East Midlands had the highest proportion of jobs in the production sector, at 14.0%, while London had the lowest proportion, at 2.6%. This is due to London having primarily service-based industries within its region, such as financial and administrative sectors.
For the services sector, London had the highest proportion, at 91.9%, whilst Wales had the lowest proportion at 77.7%. The services sector currently accounts for 83.5% of the total workforce jobs in the UK.
Figure 3: Proportion of workforce jobs by broad industry group, by region, June 2017
UK regions
Source: Office for National Statistics
Download this chart Figure 3: Proportion of workforce jobs by broad industry group, by region, June 2017
Image .csv .xlsWhere to find data about workforce jobs
Workforce jobs estimates are available for each region in Datasets HI01 to HI12 – Headline indicators for individual UK regions (Tabs 4 and 5).
While comparable estimates for workforce jobs by industry begin in 1978, there is information back to 1841, based on census data (not comparable with the latest estimates), available from 2011 Census Analysis.
Nôl i'r tabl cynnwys6. Actual hours worked (first published on 12 July 2017)
Things you need to know about actual hours worked
Actual hours worked measures the number of hours worked in the economy. Changes in actual hours worked reflect changes in the number of people in employment and the average hours worked by those people.
Regional actual hours worked
For the period April 2016 to March 2017, the UK region with the highest average actual weekly hours worked (for all workers) was London at 33.9 hours, followed by Northern Ireland at 33.4 hours. Yorkshire and The Humber and the North East both had the lowest number of hours worked at 31.4 hours.
The UK region with the largest increase in the average hours worked, compared with the same period last year (April 2015 to March 2016) was the South West, with an increase of 0.6 hours, a percentage increase of 2.1%. This was followed by London, with an increase of 0.5 hours (percentage increase of 1.4%). The largest decrease in the average hours worked was in the East Midlands, with a decrease of 0.3 hours (0.9%).
The region with the highest average actual weekly hours worked in full-time jobs was London, at 38.6 hours. This represents an increase of 0.7 hours and a percentage increase of 1.9%, compared with the same period last year. The lowest were Scotland and the North East, both at 36.7 hours. For part-time jobs, the region with the highest average hours worked was Northern Ireland at 17.0 hours and the lowest was the South East at 15.7 hours.
For men, the region with the highest average hours worked was Northern Ireland, at 38.9 hours and for women it was London, at 29.0 hours. The largest difference in average hours worked between men and women was in Northern Ireland, where men worked on average 11.9 more hours per week than women. The largest change compared with the same period last year (April 2015 to March 2016), was seen for men in London, where the average hours worked increased by 2.2% to 38.0 hours and for women in the South West, where the average hours worked decreased by 3.7% to 26.8 hours per week.
The region with the largest difference in total hours worked between men and women was London, where men worked a total of 34.0 million more hours than women. The regions with the smallest difference were Northern Ireland and the North East, where men worked only 7.0 million more hours than women.
Figure 4: Average (mean) actual weekly hours of work, by region and by sex, April 2016 to March 2017
UK regions
Source: Annual Population Survey: Office for National Statistics
Download this chart Figure 4: Average (mean) actual weekly hours of work, by region and by sex, April 2016 to March 2017
Image .csv .xlsWhere to find data about hours worked
Hours worked estimates are available for each region in Datasets HI01 to HI12 – Headline indicators for individual UK regions (Tab 6). These estimates are based on data from the Annual Population Survey (APS).
The national data are also available in the UK labour market statistical bulletin in Datasets Hour1 – Actual weekly hours worked (seasonally adjusted) and Hour2 – Usual weekly hours worked (seasonally adjusted). These estimates are based on data from the Labour Force Survey (LFS).
Nôl i'r tabl cynnwys7. Unemployment
Things you need to know about unemployment
Unemployment measures people without a job who have been actively seeking work within the last 4 weeks and are available to start work within the next 2 weeks.
Regional unemployment
Regional estimates for the unemployment rate are quite volatile, which needs to be allowed for when considering the pattern of change over time.
The unemployment rate for people aged 16 and over for the UK was 4.3%, for the period May to July 2017. This has decreased by 0.2 percentage points compared with the previous period (February to April 2017).
Allowing for some individual volatility, the overall pattern for the last few years has been for gently falling unemployment rates. The highest unemployment rate in the UK for May to July 2017 was for the North East at 6.0%. The next highest rates were seen in the West Midlands, at 5.7%, and Northern Ireland, at 5.3%. The region with the lowest rate was the South East, at 3.2%, followed by the South West, at 3.7%. It is also worth noting that the unemployment rates for the North West and London were at record lows.
The region with the largest decrease in the unemployment rate on the previous period (February to April 2017) was London at 0.8 percentage points, followed by Wales at 0.5 percentage points. For both regions the pattern over the last year suggests gently falling unemployment rates.
The largest increase in the unemployment rate on the previous period (February to April 2017) was seen in the North East, at 0.6 percentage points, with an increase of 0.3 percentage points in the South West the only other estimated increase. For the North East the increase is largely due to an unusually low estimate for the February to April period, with the general pattern for both regions relatively flat.
Figure 5: Unemployment rates by region, seasonally adjusted, May to July 2017
UK regions
Source: Labour Force Survey: Office for National Statistics
Download this chart Figure 5: Unemployment rates by region, seasonally adjusted, May to July 2017
Image .csv .xlsThe majority of regions are showing decreases in the unemployment rate compared with a year ago, with the exception of the East of England, which increased by 0.6 percentage points, followed by Wales at 0.2 percentage points. The largest decrease was in the North East at 1.4 percentage points, followed by the North West and Yorkshire and The Humber, both at 1.1 percentage points.
Where to find data about unemployment
Unemployment estimates are available for each region in Dataset HI00 – Headline LFS indicators for all UK regions and HI01 to HI12 – Headline indicators for individual UK regions (Tab 2(2)), and Datasets LI01 to LI05 – Local indicators for sub-regional areas of Great Britain, for further estimate breakdowns by age or geographies.
These tables contain data produced from the Labour Force Survey (LFS) and Annual Population Survey (APS). A note in the section “Understanding and working with labour market statistics” on the relationship between the LFS and APS entitled “What is the relationship between the APS and the LFS?” is included in this bulletin.
Nôl i'r tabl cynnwys8. Economic inactivity
Things you need to know about economic inactivity
Economically inactive people are not in employment but do not meet the internationally accepted definition of unemployment. This is because they have not been seeking work within the last 4 weeks and/or they are unable to start work within the next 2 weeks.
Regional economic inactivity
The economic inactivity rate for people aged from 16 to 64 for the UK was 21.2%, for the period May to July 2017, down 0.3 percentage points on the previous period (February to April 2017). The UK region with the highest rate was Northern Ireland at 27.8%, followed by Wales at 24.2% and the North East at 23.5%. The region with the lowest rate was the South East at 17.7%, followed by the South West at 19.0% and the East of England at 19.1%.
The regions with the largest increase in the economic inactivity rate on the previous period (February to April 2017) were the South West and Wales, both with an increase of 1.0 percentage point, followed by the East Midlands with an increase of 0.7 percentage points. Scotland had the largest decrease in the rate, down 1.6 percentage points, followed by London, with a decrease of 1.0 percentage point.
Over the year, the regions with the largest increase in the economic inactivity rate were the East Midlands, with an increase of 1.9 percentage points, followed by Northern Ireland, with an increase of 1.5 percentage points. The largest decrease in the rate was in the South East, at 1.1 percentage points, followed by Scotland, at 1.0 percentage point.
Northern Ireland also had the highest economic inactivity rate at 26.3%, in the same period in 2016. The current rate is now 6.6 percentage points higher than the UK rate.
Figure 6: Economic inactivity rate by region and comparison year-on-year, seasonally adjusted, May to July 2016 and May to July 2017
UK regions
Source: Labour Force Survey: Office for National Statistics
Download this chart Figure 6: Economic inactivity rate by region and comparison year-on-year, seasonally adjusted, May to July 2016 and May to July 2017
Image .csv .xlsWhere to find data about economic inactivity
Economic inactivity estimates are available for each region in Dataset HI00 – Headline LFS indicators for all UK regions and HI01 to HI12 – Headline indicators for individual UK regions (Tabs 10 and 11), and Datasets LI01 to LI05 – Local indicators for sub-regional areas of Great Britain, for further estimate breakdowns by age, reason or geographies.
These tables contain data produced from the Labour Force Survey (LFS) and Annual Population Survey (APS). A note in the section “Understanding and working with labour market statistics” on the relationship between the LFS and APS entitled “What is the relationship between the APS and the LFS?” is included in this bulletin.
Nôl i'r tabl cynnwys9. Local labour market indicators (first published on 12 July 2017)
Things you need to know about labour market indicators
Local labour market indicators cover employment, unemployment, economic inactivity and jobs density, for sub-regional geographic areas such as local and unitary authorities, counties and regions in the UK for the most recent 12-month period available of the Annual Population Survey (APS). The jobs density of an area is the number of jobs per head, of resident population, aged 16 to 64.
Indicators from the Annual Population Survey
For the period April 2016 to March 2017, the local authorities with the highest employment rates in Great Britain were Stroud at 88.5%, Eden at 87.8% and Blaby at 87.3%. Weymouth and Portland is the local authority with the lowest rate at 57.8%, followed by Nottingham at 60.9% and Sandwell at 61.5%.
For the period April 2016 to March 2017, the local authorities with the highest unemployment rates in Great Britain were Hartlepool at 10.1%, followed by Tower Hamlets at 9.1% and both Middlesbrough and South Tyneside at 8.9%. The local authorities with the lowest rates were Uttlesford at 2.1%, followed by South Lakeland, South Cambridgeshire and Eden, all at 2.2%. These were followed by a further 44 local authorities all under 3.0%.
Jobs densities (first published 18 January 2017)
The jobs density of an area is the number of jobs per head, of resident population, aged 16 to 64. In 2015, the highest jobs density in Great Britain was the City of London at 84.29 and the lowest was Lewisham at 0.40. Westminster (4.30) and Camden (2.23), both in London, were the next highest jobs densities. The highest jobs density outside London was the Isles of Scilly at 2.01. After Lewisham, the lowest jobs densities were East Renfrewshire at 0.43, followed by East Dunbartonshire at 0.45 and Waltham Forest at 0.46.
Where to find data about local labour market indicators
Annual Population Survey (APS) estimates are available in Datasets LI01 to LI05 – Local indicators for sub-regional areas of Great Britain and Claimant Count estimates are available in Datasets CC01 – Claimant Count by unitary and local authority and CC02 – Claimant Count by parliamentary constituency, CC02.1 – Claimant Count for constituencies of the Scottish Parliament, and CC03 – Claimant Count for Local Enterprise Partnerships in this statistical bulletin.
These tables contain data produced from the APS. A note in the section “Understanding and working with labour market statistics” entitled “What is the relationship between the APS and the LFS?” is included in this bulletin.
Nôl i'r tabl cynnwys10. Upcoming changes and further publication dates
Future publication dates
18 October 2017
15 November 2017
13 December 2017
24 January 2018
21 February 2018
21 March 2018
12. Quality and methodology
Accuracy and reliability of survey estimates
Most of the figures in this statistical bulletin come from surveys of households or businesses. Surveys gather information from a sample rather than from the whole population. The sample is designed carefully to allow for this, and to be as accurate as possible given practical limitations such as time and cost constraints, but results from sample surveys are always estimates, not precise figures. This means that they are subject to a margin of error, which can have an impact on how changes in the numbers should be interpreted, especially in the short-term.
Changes in the numbers reported in this statistical bulletin (and especially the rates) between 3-month periods are usually not greater than the margin of error. In practice, this means that small, short-term movements in reported rates (for example, within plus or minus 0.3 percentage points) should be treated as indicative, and considered alongside medium and long-term patterns in the series and corresponding movements in administrative sources, where available, to give a fuller picture.
Quality information
One indication of the reliability of the main indicators in this bulletin can be obtained by monitoring the size of revisions. These summary measures are available in Dataset S02 Regional labour market: Sampling variability and revisions summary spreadsheet and show the size of revisions over the last 5 years.
The revised data may be subject to sampling or other sources of error. Our standard presentation is to show 5 years’ worth of revisions (that is, 60 observations for a monthly series, 20 for a quarterly series).
Other quality information
The Quality and Methodology Information reports for labour market statistics contain important information on:
- the strengths and limitations of the data and how it compares with related data
- users and uses of the data
- how the output was created
- the quality of the output including the accuracy of the data
Quality and Methodology Information reports for various labour market topics are available:
Labour Force Survey Quality and Methodology Information
Labour Force Survey performance and quality monitoring reports
Vacancy Survey Quality and Methodology Information
Workforce Jobs Quality and Methodology Information
Average weekly earnings (AWE) Quality and Methodology Information
Labour Disputes Quality and Methodology Information
Further information about the Labour Force Survey (LFS) is available from the Labour Force Survey user guide.
Details of the policy governing the release of new data are available from the UK Statistics Authority website.
Nôl i'r tabl cynnwys