Public sector finances, UK: August 2025

• Borrowing – the difference between total public sector spending and income – was £18.0 billion in August 2025; this was £3.5 billion more than in August 2024 and the highest August borrowing for five years.

• Borrowing in the financial year to August 2025 was £83.8 billion; this was £16.2 billion more than in the same five-month period of 2024 and the second-highest April to August borrowing since monthly records began in 1993, after that of 2020.

• The current budget – borrowing to fund day-to-day public sector activities – was £13.6 billion in August 2025; this brings the total current budget deficit in the financial year to August 2025 to £62.0 billion, which is £13.8 billion more than in the same five-month period of 2024.

• Public sector net debt excluding public sector banks was provisionally estimated at 96.4% of gross domestic product (GDP) at the end of August 2025; this was 0.5 percentage points more than at the end of August 2024 and remains at levels last seen in the early 1960s.

• Public sector net financial liabilities excluding public sector banks were provisionally estimated at 84.5% of GDP at the end of August 2025; this was 2.5 percentage points more than at the end of August 2024, but 11.9 percentage points less than for public sector net debt.

• Central government net cash requirement (excluding UK Asset Revolution Ltd and Network Rail) was £11.1 billion in August 2025; this was £0.1 billion more than in August 2024.

Initial estimates show that the public sector spent more than it received in taxes and other income in August 2025, requiring it to borrow £18.0 billion.

This was £3.5 billion more than in August 2024 and £5.5 billion more than the £12.5 billion forecast in March 2025 by the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR).

Public sector net borrowing is the sum of its current budget deficit and its net investment.

The current budget, which is usually in deficit, can be considered as borrowing to fund day-to-day public sector activities. This is the difference between its current receipts from taxes and other sources and its current expenditure on running public services, grants and administration.

The current budget was £13.6 billion in August 2025; this was £3.7 billion more than in August 2024.

Public sector net investment comprises acquisitions less disposals of capital assets (gross fixed capital formation), less the depreciation of capital assets, plus capital grants to the private sector, less capital grants from the private sector. Net investment was estimated at £4.3 billion in August 2025, which was £0.2 billion less than in August 2024.

A breakdown of net borrowing by subsector and a summary of central government receipts and expenditure data are presented in Tables 1 to 3 in our Public sector finances summary tables: Appendix M dataset.

Our Public sector finances borrowing by subsector: Appendix R dataset provides further detail on data presented in Table 1, including transactions related to borrowing by each subsector and their contribution to total public sector borrowing in a matrix table format. The time period presented in the matrix table can be changed using the dropdown box feature.

Central government borrowing

Central government forms the largest part of the public sector and includes government departments such as HM Revenue and Customs (HMRC), the Department of Health and Social Care, the Department for Work and Pensions, the Department for Education, the Ministry of Defence and other government agencies.

The relationship between central government's receipts and expenditure is an important determinant of public sector net borrowing. Of the £18.0 billion borrowed by the public sector in August 2025, central government borrowed £13.1 billion.

Central government current receipts

Central government's current receipts were £84.3 billion in August 2025, £4.3 billion more than in August 2024. Of this £4.3 billion increase in income:

• central government tax receipts increased by £1.6 billion to £62.2 billion; this included increases of £1.0 billion in Income Tax, £0.2 billion in Value Added Tax (VAT) and £0.1 billion in Corporation Tax receipts

• compulsory social contributions increased by £2.6 billion to £16.4 billion; on 6 April 2025 changes to the rate of National Insurance contributions paid by employers came into effect

A detailed breakdown of central government income is presented in our Public sector current receipts: Appendix D dataset.

Self-assessed Income Tax

Self-assessed (SA) Income Tax receipts were provisionally estimated as £1.3 billion in August 2025, £0.2 billion less than in August 2024.

Payments due in July that miss the deadline are recorded as August receipts. The extent to which delayed payments occur varies each year, and so we recommend considering July and August SA Income Tax receipts together when making year-on-year comparisons.

Combined SA Income Tax receipts for July and August 2025 were provisionally estimated as £16.8 billion, £2.5 billion more than in the same two months last year.

Central government current expenditure

Central government spending data for August 2025 are provisional. There is uncertainty around these estimates until more detailed departmental information becomes available over time.

Central government's current expenditure was provisionally estimated as £89.1 billion in August 2025, £7.8 billion more than in August 2024. Of this £7.8 billion increase in spending:

• central government departmental spending on goods and services increased by £3.7 billion to £38.0 billion, as pay rises and inflation increased running costs

• central government debt interest payable increased by £1.9 billion to £8.4 billion, with movements in the Retail Price Index (RPI) adding volatility to the monthly debt interest costs

• net social benefits paid by central government increased by £1.1 billion to £27.3 billion, largely caused by inflation-linked increases in many benefits and earnings-linked increases to State Pension payments

• payments to support the day-to-day running of local government increased by £0.2 billion to £10.1 billion; these intra-government transfers are both central government spending and a local government receipt, so they have no effect on overall public sector borrowing

Interest payable on central government debt

At £8.4 billion in August 2025, the interest payable on central government debt was in line with the £8.5 billion forecast by the OBR in March 2025.

The interest payable on index-linked gilts rises and falls with the RPI, adding volatility to central government debt interest costs. This additional RPI inflation-linked component of interest is described as "capital uplift" and affects the value of the gilt principal.

Capital uplift was £2.6 billion in August 2025, which largely reflects the 0.4% increase in the RPI between May and June 2025. It is accrued throughout the life of each index-linked gilt but is paid to gilt holders at redemption. Accrued capital uplift is shown as the light blue portion of each stacked bar in Figure 2.

Central government net investment was £4.7 billion in August 2025, largely unchanged from that of August 2024. An increase in gross capital formation of £0.4 billion was largely offset by a decrease of £0.3 billion in the estimate of depreciation compared to August last year.

The public sector spent more than it received in taxes and other income in the financial year (FY) to August 2025. Provisional estimates show it borrowed £83.8 billion over the five-month period, £11.4 billion more than the £72.4 billion forecast by the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) in March 2025.

Borrowing in the FY to August 2025 was £16.2 billion more than in the FY to August 2024 and the second-highest FY to August borrowing since monthly records began in 1993, after that of April to August 2020, during the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic period.

Of the £83.8 billion borrowed by the public sector in the FY to August 2025, the current budget deficit was £62.0 billion. This was £13.8 billion more than in the same five-month period a year ago. Public sector net investment increased by £2.4 billion to £21.8 billion over the same five-month period.

Central government net borrowing

The relationship between central government's receipts and expenditure is an important determinant of public sector net borrowing. Of the £83.8 billion borrowed by the public sector in the FY to August 2025, central government borrowed £85.4 billion, with most of the other subsectors showing a surplus.

Tables 1 to 3 in our Public sector finances summary tables: Appendix M dataset provide an extended presentation of Table 2 and a summary of central government receipts and expenditure data.

Central government current receipts

Central government's current receipts were £433.0 billion in the FY to August 2025, £25.5 billion more than in the same five-month period a year ago. Of this £25.5 billion increase in income:

• central government tax receipts increased by £13.4 billion to £323.9 billion; this included increases of £8.9 billion in Income Tax, £2.7 billion in Corporation Tax receipts and £0.1 billion in Value Added Tax (VAT)

• compulsory social contributions increased by £12.1 billion to £80.3 billion; on 6 April 2025 changes to the rate of National Insurance contributions paid by employers came into effect

A detailed breakdown of central government income is presented in our Public sector current receipts: Appendix D dataset.

Central government current expenditure

Central government's current expenditure was provisionally estimated at £464.1 billion in the FY to August 2025, £36.8 billion more than in the same five-month period a year ago. Of this £36.8 billion increase in spending:

• central government departmental spending on goods and services increased by £16.2 billion to £189.8 billion, as pay rises and inflation increased running costs

• interest payable on central government debt increased by £10.6 billion to £49.9 billion, largely because the interest payable on index-linked gilts rises and falls with the Retail Prices Index (RPI)

• net social benefits paid by central government increased by £7.6 billion to £135.4 billion, largely caused by inflation-linked increases in many benefits (including Universal Credit) and earnings-linked increases to State Pension payments

• payments to support the day-to-day running of local government decreased by £0.4 billion to £64.2 billion; these intra-government transfers have no impact on overall public sector borrowing (PSNB ex)

Central government net investment

Central government net investment was £36.1 billion in the FY to August 2025, £13.1 billion less than in the same five-month period a year ago.

Over this period, central government made payments totalling £7.4 billion to the Bank of England (BoE) Asset Purchase Facility (APF) Fund, £16.1 billion less than in the same five-month period of 2024. These payments are recorded as both central government net investment expenditure and BoE receipts and so have no impact on overall public sector borrowing (PSNB ex).

Local government

Initial estimates suggest that local government borrowing was £1.6 billion in the FY to August 2025. This was a £4.7 billion more than in the same period a year earlier. Our local government estimates for the FY to August 2025 are currently based on budget data for England, Scotland, and Wales, with estimates included for Northern Ireland.

Provisional estimates show the public sector borrowed £146.3 billion in the financial year ending (FYE) March 2025.

This was the third-highest amount borrowed any financial year since records began in the FYE March 1947. The highest amount borrowed in any financial year was £310.9 billion in the FYE March 2021 during the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, and the second highest was £159.6 billion in the FYE March 2010 following the global financial downturn. However, these estimates have not been adjusted for inflation.

Expressing borrowing as a ratio of gross domestic product (GDP) – the value of everything produced in the UK economy in a 12-month period – gives an estimate of its affordability and provides a more thorough and reliable measure for comparison of the UK's fiscal position over time.

We currently estimate that the total borrowed in the FYE March 2025 was equivalent to 5.1% of GDP, 0.2 percentage points higher than in the FYE March 2024.

We describe the methodology used for the presentation of our GDP ratios in our The use of GDP in public sector fiscal ratio statistics methodology.

The public sector balance sheet describes its financial position at a point in time. It shows its liabilities (amounts owed) and its assets (amounts owned).

There are several measures of the public sector balance sheet that we discuss in our What the UK government owns and what it owes blog.

Table 3 presents the narrowest balance sheet measure, which is the redemption value of central government gilts. It then builds on this measure, widening coverage by both the subsector and the range of asset and liability types included, to reach the far wider measure of public sector net worth. We explain this measure in our Wider measures of the public sector balance sheet: public sector net worth methodology.

Our Public sector balance sheet tables: Appendix N dataset presents a detailed reconciliation between the balance sheet measures summarised in Table 3.

Public sector net debt

Public sector net debt excluding public sector banks (PSND ex) is a widely used balance sheet measure used to describe the UK public sector's financial position at a point in time. Expressing net debt as a ratio of gross domestic product (GDP) gives an estimate of its affordability and provides a more thorough and reliable measure for comparison of the UK's fiscal position over time.

The net debt-to-GDP ratio at the end of August 2025 was provisionally estimated at 96.4%, 0.5 percentage points more than a year ago. However, this is a highly provisional estimate. It is likely to be revised in future publications because it partly relies on GDP estimates based on the Office for Budget Responsibility's Economic and fiscal outlook – March 2025 report.

Our How the ONS estimates UK debt to GDP figures blog explains why our estimates of the debt-to-GDP ratio are susceptible to revision.

Public sector net debt excluding the Bank of England (BoE) was £2,729.6 billion at the end of August 2025, or around 90.5% of GDP. This was £179.9 billion, or 5.9 percentage points of GDP, less than the wider measure of net debt (including the BoE). This difference was largely a result of the BoE's quantitative easing activities, including the gilt-purchasing activities of the Asset Purchase Facility (APF) Fund.

The APF Fund's gilt holding is not recorded directly as a component of public sector net debt. Instead, in August 2025, we recorded the £88.7 billion difference between the £586.4 billion of reserves created to purchase its gilts (at market value at the time of purchase) and their £497.7 billion redemption value. For details of the BoE's contribution to public sector net debt, see Table PSA9A of our Public sector finances tables 1 to 10: Appendix A dataset.

Public sector net financial liabilities

Public sector net financial liabilities excluding public sector banks (PSNFL ex) were £2,550.0 billion at the end of August 2025 and equivalent to an estimated 84.5% of GDP. This was £188.3 billion, or 2.5 percentage points, more than at the end of August 2024.

PSNFL ex adds further assets and liabilities to those recorded in debt (PSND ex). These extra assets are currently valued at more than the extra liabilities. This means that PSNFL ex was 11.9 percentage points of GDP less than PSND ex, which stood at 96.4% of GDP at the end of August 2025.

We explain the financial assets and liabilities captured in PSNFL ex in our Public sector net financial liabilities (PSNFL) methodology.

Additionally, we published a blog explaining the PSNFL measure, because it has been selected by the UK government as the reference for a balance sheet fiscal rule.

The additional financial assets and liabilities included in PSNFL ex that fall outside of the PSND ex boundary are not updated monthly. Instead, they are updated quarterly, or when data become available. These data were updated on 19 September 2025.

A more detailed presentation of the public sector balance sheet is available in our Public sector net worth: Appendix O dataset, released on 19 September 2025.

The data for the latest months of every release contain a degree of forecasts. These are then replaced by improved estimates, as further data are made available, and finally by outturn data.

Tables 4 to 6 of our Public sector finances summary tables: Appendix M dataset compare our latest public sector finances data with those in our Public sector finances, UK: July 2025 bulletin, published on 21 August 2025. They highlight the revisions to borrowing by subsector, with additional detail for central government receipts and expenditure.

Our Public sector finance revisions analysis: Appendix P dataset records monthly borrowing data as at first and at subsequent publications, graphically illustrating any potential bias to our early estimates.

Planned updates to our figures in September 2025

Each September, we make longer run changes to our figures to include the latest available data and methodology changes.

Annual data updates

This month, we have made annual data updates to the Bank of England, the NatWest Group, Network Rail, Student Loans, and the successor enterprises to Bulb Energy – Octopus Energy Retail Limited (Bid Co) and Octopus Energy Operations Limited (Hive Co).

We expect to make further annual data updates in the subsequent months.

Systems improvements

Following an in-depth review of our legacy systems, this month we have implemented improvements to our processing systems for local government data. The impact of these improvements and the inclusion of the latest available data are discussed in our article Economic statistics classifications and developments in public sector finances: August 2025 (Classifications and developments, August 2025).

Implementation of classification decisions

This month, we have fully implemented the classifications of three UK development banks (the British Business Bank, the National Wealth Fund, and the Development Bank of Wales) to the central government subsector.

This methodology change had negligible effect on public sector net borrowing and public sector net debt but does reduce public sector net financial liabilities and consequently increases public sector net worth from the financial year ending March 2015 to date.

The recording of the UK development banks and the impact on the UK public sector finances is discussed in our Classifications and developments August 2025 article.

Impacts of the September 2025 updates

Our table Changes to public sector finance statistics: Appendix L presents the impact of the regular annual data updates and data improvements incorporated into the public sector finances release in September 2025 on our headline public sector statistics.

Revisions to public sector net borrowing in the financial year to July 2025

We have increased our provisional estimate of public sector net borrowing (PSNB ex) in the financial year (FY) to July 2025 by £5.9 billion to £65.8 billion, since publishing our Public sector finances, UK: July 2025 bulletin.

Table 4 of our Public sector finances summary tables: Appendix M dataset presents the revisions to our previously published estimates of public sector net borrowing by subsector.

Central government

We have increased our previous estimate of the central government net borrowing for the four months to July 2025 by £3.0 billion.

Of this, the current budget deficit increased by £2.9 billion. This change was largely because of regular updates to our tax data, with our previous estimate of Value Added Tax (VAT) reducing by £3.3 billion.

Over the same period, our initial estimate of central government net investment is largely unchanged, increasing by £0.1 billion over the 4-month period.

Tables 5 to 6 of our Appendix M dataset present the revisions to our previously published estimates of central government receipts and spending by component.

Local government

We have increased our previous estimate of the local government net borrowing for the four months to July 2025 by £3.4 billion.

Our estimates for local government net borrowing in current financial year are now based on budget data for England, Scotland, and Wales, with estimates included for Northern Ireland. These replaced our previous estimates, which were based on the OBR's Economic and fiscal outlook – March 2025 report.

These updates covered many of the components of the local government current and capital accounts. However, increases to our previous estimates of current expenditure on goods and services (including staff costs) and subsidies paid by local government were the most substantial.

Revisions to public sector net borrowing earlier financial years

Each September, we make longer run changes to our figures to include the latest available data and methodology changes.

Our Changes to public sector finance statistics: Appendix L dataset focuses on the larger of these changes and presents their impact on each of our headline public sector measures.

Central government

This month, we have made updates to central government borrowing in several financial years, back to the FYE March 2001, to include the latest available data.

Notably, in the FYE March 2023, we have reduced central government borrowing by £2.8 billion, largely because of an update to our estimate of central government expenditure on staff costs.

Changes to our previously published estimates of central government borrowing between FYE March 1997 and FYE March 2009, are largely offset in local government borrowing.

These changes are the result of the full recording of the detrunking of roads in that period, whereby central government’s responsibility of some roads were transferred to the relevant local authorities. These intra-government transfers have no impact on overall public sector borrowing (PSNB ex).

Tables 4 to 6 in Appendix M dataset present these revisions, comparing the latest data with figures published on 21 August 2025.

Local government

This month, we have implemented improvements to our processing systems for local government data. These improvements have enabled us to include the latest available data from the financial year ending FYE March 1997 to date.

The changes to local government borrowing from FYE March 2011 to date, largely relating to our in-depth review of our legacy systems are explained in our classifications and developments August 2025 article.

The changes to local government borrowing in FYE March 2023 and FYE March 2024 are largely the result of regular updates to our data for England and Scotland. Provisional estimates for the FYE March 2023 were replaced by final outturn data and budget data for the FYE March 2024 were replaced by provisional data.

Public corporations

This month, we have replaced our previous estimates of public corporations' gross operating surplus and gross capital formation. These updates are largely because of updates to Housing Revenue Account data, following the implemented improvements to the local government processing system, and wider improvements made as part of Annual National Accounts 2025.

Bank of England

This month, we have replaced our previous estimates with data published in the Bank of England's annual report for the 12 months ending February 2025. Consequently, we have updated our estimates for later months based on these data. These updates were accompanied by other smaller updates in earlier financial years.

Revisions to public sector net debt at the end of July 2025

We have increased our estimate of public sector net debt (PSND ex) at the end of July 2025 by £1.8 billion to £2,893.2 billion, since publishing our Public sector finances, UK: July 2025 bulletin. Aside from the regular monthly data updates, this month's debt estimate incorporates:

• regular quarterly updates to our local government and public corporations' data

• the inclusion of the latest data published by both Network Rail and the Bank of England, in their annual reports

Revisions to public sector net financial liabilities at the end of March 2025

We have increased our estimate of public sector net financial liabilities (PSNFL ex) at the end of March 2025, by £5.8 billion to £2,438.9 billion, since publishing our Public sector finances, UK: July 2025 bulletin.

This change was because of regular updates to our dataset, including UK government equity in the NatWest Group and the inclusion of three UK development banks, fully recorded in the public sector for the first time this month. 

The UK government completed its exit from NatWest Group in May 2025 after selling its final shares. This month we have updated our share sales data, replacing previous estimates up to and including November 2024. Data for the period December 2024 to May 2025 remain provisional. Consequently, we have reduced our estimate of the public sector’s equity in the NatWest Group and in doing so have increased PSNFL ex by £12.4 billion at the end of the March 2025.

The full implementation of the classifications of three UK development banks to the central government subsector has reduced PSNFL ex by £6.5 billion at the end of the March 2025.

The recording of the development banks and the subsequent impact on the UK public sector finances from the financial year ending March 2015 to date are discussed in our article, Economic statistics classifications and developments in public sector finances: August 2025.

Public sector

In the UK, the public sector consists of six subsectors: central government, local government, public non-financial corporations, public-sector-funded pensions, the Bank of England (BoE) and public financial corporations (including public sector banks). The figures presented in this release exclude public sector banks, unless otherwise noted.

The NatWest Group, the last remaining public sector bank, was reclassified to the private sector as of June 2024.

Public sector current budget deficit

Public sector current budget deficit (PSCBD) is the gap between current expenditure and current receipts on an accruals basis, having taken account of depreciation. PSCBD is effectively an estimate of borrowing to fund day-to-day public sector activities and is the reference statistic used for a UK government fiscal rule.

The current budget is in surplus when receipts are greater than expenditure and is indicated with a negative sign.

Public sector net borrowing

Public sector net borrowing (PSNB) is the gap between total expenditure and current receipts on an accruals basis. If receipts exceed expenditure, this is referred to as a surplus and is indicated with a negative sign. Borrowing is often referred to by commentators as "the deficit".

Public sector current budget deficit and net borrowing are measured on an accruals basis, where transactions for income are recorded when earned and expenses are recorded when incurred, rather than when the bills are paid (on a cash basis). 

Central government net cash requirement

The central government net cash requirement (CGNCR) represents the cash needed to be raised from the financial markets over a period to finance its activities. The amount of cash required will be affected by changes in the timing of payments to and from the public sector, rather than when these liabilities were incurred.

Public sector net debt

Public sector net debt (PSND), often referred to by commentators as "the national debt", represents the amount of money the public sector owes to the private sector and overseas (in the form of loans, debt securities, deposit holdings and currency), net of liquid financial assets held.

Public sector net financial liabilities

Public sector net financial liabilities (PSNFL) is a wider measure of the balance sheet than public sector net debt and includes all financial assets and liabilities recognised in the national accounts. PSNFL is the reference statistic used for a UK government fiscal rule and is sometimes referred to as "net financial debt".

Broadening the PSNFL measure to include the public sector's non-financial assets provides public sector net worth (PSNW), our widest balance sheet measure.

Methodology guides

To supplement this release, we publish our accompanying Monthly statistics on the public sector finances: a methodological guide and Public sector finances quality and methodology information (QMI) outlining the strengths, limitations, and appropriate uses of government finance statistics.

We also explain the recording of interest payable to holders of UK government gilts in the UK public sector finances in our Calculation of interest payable on government gilts methodology and our Use of gross domestic product (GDP) in public sector fiscal ratio statistics methodology.

Accredited official statistics

Public sector net borrowing, cash requirement and debt are accredited official statistics. These accredited official statistics were independently reviewed by the Office for Statistics Regulation in June 2017. They comply with the standards of trustworthiness, quality, and value in the Code of Practice for Statistics and should be labelled "accredited official statistics".

Official statistics

Public sector net financial liabilities and public sector net financial worth are both official statistics. These measures were introduced after June 2017, so have not yet been reviewed by the Office for Statistics Regulation. 

Official statistics in development

Public sector net worth is labelled as "official statistics in development". Until October 2023, these were called "experimental statistics". Read more about the change in our Guide to official statistics in development.

Central government tax receipts and social contributions

In the most recent months, tax receipts recorded on an accrued basis are subject to some uncertainty. This is because many taxes such as Value Added Tax (VAT), Corporation Tax, and Pay As You Earn (PAYE) Income Tax contain some forecast cash receipts data and are liable to revision when actual cash receipts data are received.

The forecasts underlying our current tax estimates largely reflect the expectations published in the Office for Budget Responsibility's (OBR's) Economic and fiscal outlook – March 2025 report.

Public corporations

Data for public corporations in the financial year ending (FYE) March 2026 are highly provisional initial estimates for the UK. They are largely based on the OBR's Economic and fiscal outlook – March 2025 report.

Data for public corporations in FYE March 2024 and FYE March 2025 remain largely based on the OBR's Economic and fiscal outlook – October 2024 report, and are supplemented by in-year estimates for train operating companies, the Housing Revenue Account, and surveyed public corporations.

Local government

Local government data for the FYE March 2026 are provisional estimates for the UK. They are largely based on published budget data for England, Scotland and Wales, and with estimates included for Northern Ireland.

Local government data for the FYE March 2025 remain provisional estimates for the UK. They are largely based on published budget data for England and Wales, published provisional outturn data for Scotland, and estimates for Northern Ireland.

In recent years, planned local government expenditure initially reported in local authority budgets has been systematically lower than final outturn current expenditure reported in the audited accounts, and generally higher than that reported in final outturn capital expenditure. Therefore, we may include adjustments to increase or decrease the amounts reported at the budget stage. These adjustments include:

• a £3.0 billion upward adjustment to England's current expenditure and a £2.4 billion upward adjustment to Scotland's current expenditure, for the FYE March 2025

• a £0.5 billion downward adjustment to Wales's capital expenditure, for the FYE March 2025

• a £2.4 billion upward adjustment to Scotland's current expenditure, for the FYE March 2026

• a £0.4 billion downward adjustment to Scotland's capital expenditure, for the FYE March 2026

To reflect the most recently available data for housing benefits, we have applied further adjustments to budget data for current expenditure on benefits. These are:

• a £0.2 billion downward adjustment in the FYE March 2024

• a £0.8 billion downward adjustment in the FYE March 2025

• a £3.1 billion downward adjustment in the FYE March 2026

The UK's fiscal targets

The UK government has legislated targets to constrain its management of the public finances. The Autumn Budget 2024 announced that from January 2025, these fiscal targets focus on the public sector current budget deficit and public sector net financial liabilities.

The current budget deficit

The UK government has set a target to bring the current budget into surplus by the end of the FYE March 2030. In other words, that the public sector's day-to-day spending should be met by its revenues. The public sector would, therefore, be forecast to be only borrowing for investment (capital) spending.

Our latest figures show that the public sector current budget deficit was £72.6 billion in the FYE March 2025; this was £6.6 billion more than in the FYE March 2024.

Public sector net financial liabilities

The present UK government target is that by the end of March 2030, public sector net financial liabilities (PSNFL) should be falling relative to the size of the economy (or GDP) compared with the previous year.

Our latest figures show that PSNFL were provisionally estimated at 82.2% of GDP at the end of March 2025; this was 1.4 percentage points more than at the end of March 2024.

Comparing our data with official forecasts

The independent OBR is responsible for the production of official forecasts for the UK government. These forecasts are usually produced twice a year, in spring and autumn. The latest forecast was published in the OBR's Economic and fiscal outlook (EFO) – March 2025 report. The Autumn Budget 2025 will take place on 26 November 2025 and will be accompanied by theEFO – November 2025.