FOI REF: FOI-2023-1488
You asked
Can you please provide a table showing total GVA and GVA per capita of English ceremonial counties – and show how this how grown since the last time this data was taken for each of those counties?
We said
Thank you for your enquiry.
We do not normally produce Gross Value Added (GVA) estimates for ceremonial counties. However, we have calculated estimates for the 48 English ceremonial counties by aggregating the information that we have published for the local authorities that constitute each county.
Two ceremonial counties cannot be built from whole local authority districts. Those are Durham and North Yorkshire, each of which contains part of the district of Stockton-on-Tees. Since we do not have comparable GVA estimates for the parts of Stockton-on-Tees, we have estimated this division by using the relative population shares in 2018, the latest year for which we have reliable figures. The population of Stockton-on-Tees has remained very stable since 2018, so we believe the estimates should be of reasonable quality. However, we cannot guarantee the GVA for Stockton has been apportioned accurately.
The data used to compile these estimates are taken from our Regional economic activity by gross domestic product, UK: 1998 to 2021 release published on 25 April 2023. The figures in this release are consistent with those published in the UK National Accounts: The Blue Book 2022.
In the table showing the estimates for the 48 English ceremonial counties, we have included figures for 2020 and 2021, the two latest years available. We have calculated the GVA per capita and percentage growth between these years using the aggregated GVA data, which are rounded. The growth rates may therefore differ very slightly from those published for any contiguous region, which are calculated from unrounded data.
The population estimates shown are those that were current at the time we published our GVA release. At this time the census in England and Wales had provided new estimates of the population in 2021, but the mid-year estimates for the intercensal years, 2012 to 2020, had not yet been revised to align with the new census data. There is therefore a discontinuity in the population estimates between 2020 and 2021, which renders any attempt to calculate growth in GVA per capita unreliable. We strongly advise that you do not calculate the percentage growth in GVA per capita or attempt to make use of it in any way, as the results could be misleading.