Deaths registered weekly in England and Wales, provisional: week ending 9 July 2021

Provisional counts of the number of deaths registered in England and Wales, including deaths involving coronavirus (COVID-19), in the latest weeks for which data are available.

This is not the latest release. View latest release

20 July 2021

From this week (Week 27, week ending 9 July 2021), we will continue to include all data currently provided but the accompanying analysis has been reduced. The bulletin will be increased if the number of deaths involving COVID-19 increases substantially. Please contact health.data@ons.gov.uk with any feedback regarding these changes.

Data for Northern Ireland in Week 27 (week ending 9 July 2021) has been delayed due to a Bank Holiday on 12 July 2021. The number of deaths in Northern Ireland and the UK in Week 27 and Week 28 (week ending 16 July 2021) will be updated in the Week 28 bulletin.

This is an accredited National Statistic. Click for information about types of official statistics.

Cyswllt:
Email Sarah Caul

Dyddiad y datganiad:
20 July 2021

Cyhoeddiad nesaf:
27 July 2021

1. Main points

  • There were 9,752 deaths in England and Wales registered in the week ending 9 July 2021 (Week 27); this was 944 more deaths than the previous week (Week 26) and 6.2% above the five-year average (569 more deaths).
  • The number of deaths registered in England in the week ending 9 July 2021 (Week 27) was 9,092; this was 865 more deaths than the previous week (Week 26) and 5.6% above the five-year average (486 more deaths).
  • The number of deaths registered in Wales in the week ending 9 July 2021 (Week 27) was 639; this was 70 more deaths than the previous week (Week 26) and 15.1% above the five-year average (84 more deaths).
  • Of the deaths registered in Week 27 in England and Wales, 183 mentioned “novel coronavirus (COVID-19)”, accounting for 1.9% of all deaths; this was an increase compared with Week 26 (109 deaths).
  • The number of deaths involving COVID-19 in England increased to 176 in Week 27 compared with 106 in Week 26; for Wales, there were three deaths involving COVID-19 in Week 27, remaining consistent with Week 26.
  • Data for Northern Ireland in the week ending 9 July has been delayed because of a Bank Holiday on 12 July 2021; the number of deaths registered in Great Britain in the week ending 9 July 2021 was 10,834, which was 633 more than the five-year average; of deaths registered in Great Britain in Week 27, 213 involved COVID-19, that is, 82 more than in Week 26.
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2. Deaths registered by week

Figure 1: The number of deaths registered was above the five-year average for Week 27 in England and Wales

Number of deaths registered by week, England and Wales, 28 December 2019 to 9 July 2021

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Notes:
  1. Figures exclude deaths of non-residents.
  2. Based on date a death was registered rather than occurred.
  3. All figures for 2020 and 2021 are provisional.
  4. The number of deaths registered in a week are affected when bank holidays occur.
  5. The average for 2015 to 2019 provides a comparison of the number of deaths expected per week in a usual (non-pandemic) year.
Download this chart

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The provisional number of deaths registered in England and Wales increased from 8,808 in Week 26 (week ending 2 July 2021) to 9,752 in Week 27 (week ending 9 July 2021). The number of deaths was 6.2% above the five-year average (569 more deaths).

In England, the number of deaths increased from 8,227 in Week 26 to 9,092 in Week 27, which was 486 more deaths (5.6% higher) than the Week 27 five-year average (Figure 1). Of these, 176 deaths involved coronavirus (COVID-19) in Week 27, a 66.0% increase compared with Week 26 (106 deaths). Of all deaths registered in Week 27 in England, 1.9% mentioned COVID-19 on the death certificate.

In Wales, the number of deaths increased from 569 in Week 26 to 639 in Week 27, which was 84 more deaths than the Week 27 five-year average (Figure 1). Of these, three deaths involved COVID-19 in Week 27, the same number as in Week 26. Therefore, of all deaths registered in Week 27 in Wales, 0.5% mentioned COVID-19 on the death certificate.

In Week 27 (week ending 9 July 2021), the total number of deaths registered increased compared with Week 26 (week ending 2 July 2021) in all English regions except the North East (27 fewer deaths).

The numbers of deaths involving coronavirus (COVID-19) increased in all English regions in Week 27. The largest increase was reported in the North West (25 more deaths). More detailed geographical analysis can be found in our Monthly mortality analysis release.

Figure 2: Total deaths from all causes were above the five-year average in Week 27

Number of deaths registered by week, England and Wales, 28 December 2019 to 09 July 2021

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Notes:
  1. Figures include deaths of non-residents.
  2. Based on date a death was registered rather than occurred.
  3. All figures for 2020 and 2021 are provisional.
  4. The International Classification of Diseases, 10th Edition (ICD-10) definitions are available in the Measuring the data section.
  5. The number of deaths registered in a week are affected when bank holidays occur.
  6. The average for 2015 to 2019 provides a comparison of the number of deaths expected per week in a usual (non-pandemic) year.
Download this chart

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Analysis in this section includes deaths from Week 11 of 2020 (week ending 13 March 2020, the week of the first registration of a death involving COVID-19) through to Week 27 of 2021 (week ending 9 July 2021), to ensure full coverage of the ongoing coronavirus pandemic.

Using the most up-to-date data we have available, the number of deaths from the week ending 13 March 2020 up to 9 July 2021 was 811,477 in England and Wales. Of these, 140,906 (17.4%) mentioned COVID-19 on the death certificate. During this period, the number of excess deaths above the five-year average was 103,616 deaths.

In England, the number of deaths between the weeks ending 13 March 2020 and 9 July 2021 was 761,000; of these, 132,810 deaths (17.5%) mentioned COVID-19. This was 99,687 deaths above the five-year average.

In Wales, the number of deaths for the same period was 49,486; of these, 7,907 deaths (16.0%) mentioned COVID-19. This was 4,979 deaths above the five-year average.

More about coronavirus

Figure 3: Deaths in Week 27 were above the five-year average in private homes, but below the five-year average in hospitals, care homes and other settings

Number of excess deaths by place of occurrence, England and Wales, registered between 7 March 2020 and 9 July 2021

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Notes:
  1. Based on area of usual residence. Geographical boundaries and communal establishments are based on the most up-to-date information available.
  2. Figures include deaths of non-residents.
  3. Based on date a death was registered rather than occurred.
  4. All figures for 2020 and 2021 are provisional.
  5. The International Classification of Diseases, 10th Edition (ICD-10) definitions are available in the Measuring the data section.
  6. "Other" includes deaths in communal establishments other than hospitals and care homes, in hospices, and that occurred "elsewhere". More information on the place of death definitions used is available in the accompanying dataset.
  7. The average for 2015 to 2019 provides a comparison of the number of deaths expected per week in a usual (non-pandemic) year.
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.xlsx

In Week 27, the number of deaths in private homes was 38.3% above the five-year average (866 excess deaths). Deaths within care homes were 6.1% below the five-year average (118 deaths fewer), deaths in hospitals were 4.1% below the five-year average (172 deaths fewer), and deaths in other settings were 0.9% below the five-year average (seven deaths fewer).

In addition, more detailed analysis of excess deaths in England is produced by Public Health England (PHE) on a weekly basis.

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3. Deaths registered in the UK

Data for the number of deaths in Northern Ireland for Week 27 (week ending 9 July 2021) has been delayed because of the Northern Ireland bank holiday on 12 July. We have included analysis on Great Britain (England, Wales and Scotland including non-residents) only for Week 27. We will resume providing figures for the UK as a whole in our Week 28 publication (week ending 16 July), where we will include an update to UK figures for weeks 27 and 28. Due to this delay Figure 4 does not include data for Week 27 but will be updated in the Week 28 publication.

Across Great Britain, there were 10,834 deaths (all causes) registered in Week 27 (week ending 9 July 2021), which was 633 more deaths than the Great Britain five-year average, and 931 more deaths than in Week 26 (week ending 2 July 2021).

Deaths were above the five-year average in England (486 more deaths), in Wales (84 more deaths) and in Scotland (64 more deaths). Of all deaths in Great Britain in Week 27, 213 involved coronavirus (COVID-19), 82 more deaths than in Week 26, a 62.6% increase.

In Week 27, England had the highest number of deaths involving COVID-19 with 176 deaths, followed by Scotland (30 deaths) and Wales (three deaths).

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4. Deaths data

Deaths registered weekly in England and Wales, provisional
Dataset | Released 20 July 2021
Provisional counts of the number of deaths registered in England and Wales, by age, sex and region, in the latest weeks for which data are available. Includes data on coronavirus (COVID-19) deaths.

Death registrations and occurrences by local authority and health board
Dataset | Released 20 July 2021
Provisional counts of the number of deaths registered in England and Wales, including deaths involving COVID-19, by local authority, health board and place of death in the latest weeks for which data are available.

Number of deaths in care homes notified to the Care Quality Commission, England
Dataset | Released 20 July 2021
Provisional counts of deaths in care homes caused by COVID-19 by local authority. Published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) and Care Quality Commission (CQC).

Care home resident deaths registered in England and Wales, provisional
Dataset | Released 20 July 2021
Provisional counts of the number of deaths registered of care home residents in England and Wales, by region. Includes data on coronavirus (COVID-19) deaths. Data are weekly and provisional.

Try the new way to filter and download these data:

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5. Glossary

Coronavirus (COVID-19) deaths

Coronavirus (COVID-19) deaths are those deaths registered in England and Wales in the stated week where COVID-19 was mentioned on the death certificate. A doctor can certify the involvement of COVID-19 based on symptoms and clinical findings – a positive test result is not required. Definitions of COVID-19 for deaths in Scotland and Northern Ireland are similar to England and Wales.

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6. Measuring the data

To meet user needs, we publish very timely but provisional counts of death registrations in England and Wales in our Deaths registered weekly in England and Wales, provisional dataset. These are presented:

  • by sex
  • by age group
  • for regions (within England)
  • for Wales as a whole

To allow time for registration and processing, figures are published 11 days after the week ends. Because of the rapidly changing situation, we also provide provisional updated totals for death occurrences based on the latest available death registrations, up to 17 July 2021.

Coronavirus (COVID-19)

This weekly release now provides a separate breakdown of the number of deaths involving COVID-19; that is, where COVID-19 or suspected COVID-19 was mentioned anywhere on the death certificate, including in combination with other health conditions.

If a death certificate mentions COVID-19, it will not always be the main cause of death but may be a contributory factor. This bulletin summarises the latest weekly information and will be updated each week during the pandemic.

Data coverage

The data for 2020 are based on a 53-week year. Because the number of days in a week is seven, when there are 52 weeks, we only cover 364 days of the 365 days in the year, which results in one remaining day each calendar year not included in the 52 weeks. With the occurrence of leap years, it is sometimes necessary to add a 53rd week to the end of the calendar, which was the case in 2020. This happens every five years – the last time there was a Week 53 was in 2015. Given the low frequency of Week 53, it is more appropriate to compare the 2020 figures with the average for Week 52 than to compare it with a single year from five years previous. View more detail on the data coverage for the weekly deaths bulletin.

Influenza and pneumonia has been included for comparison in the accompanying dataset as a well-understood cause of death involving respiratory infection that is likely to have somewhat similar risk factors to COVID-19.

Registration delays

This bulletin is based mainly on the date deaths are registered, not the date of death, because of the time taken for a death to be registered. Deaths in England and Wales are normally registered within five days, but there can be a considerably longer delay in some circumstances, particularly when the death is referred to a coroner. More information on this issue can be found in our impact of registration delays release.

We have developed a statistical model to estimate the number of deaths likely to have occurred in each week, based on previous experience of the pattern of registration delays, including the effects of bank holidays. Results are shown in the "Estimated total deaths 2021" tab, of the accompanying dataset.

Classification codes

From the week ending 26 February 2021 (Week 8), new International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10) codes for COVID-19 issued by the World Health Organization (WHO) were implemented for deaths involving COVID-19. View more detail about the additional classification codes for COVID-19.

We will publish accompanying articles periodically, giving enhanced information such as age-standardised and age-specific mortality rates for recent time periods and breakdowns of deaths involving COVID-19 by associated pre-existing health conditions.

Our User guide to mortality statistics provides further information on data quality, legislation and procedures relating to mortality and includes a glossary of terms.

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7. Strengths and limitations

Comparability

These weekly figures are for England and Wales only (as this is the Office for National Statistics' (ONS's) legal remit). They are from the formal death registration process and may include cases where the doctor completing the death certificate diagnosed possible cases of coronavirus (COVID-19), for example, where this was based on relevant symptoms but no test was conducted. The ONS' figures are different from the daily surveillance figures on COVID-19 deaths published by the Department of Health and Social Care (DHSC) on GOV.UK, which are for the UK as a whole and its constituent countries.

From 29 April 2020, the DHSC published improved data for England from Public Health England (PHE) to include a count of all deaths, regardless of location, where a positive COVID-19 test was confirmed. Previously, only confirmed COVID-19 deaths in hospitals were reported. This improved the comparability with figures for Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland, where deaths outside of hospitals were already being included, and ensured that the UK-wide series had a shared and common definitional coverage. View the ONS statement for more detail on these data changes.

On 12 August 2020, the PHE data series was revised to include deaths of positively tested individuals where the death occurred within 28 days, and deaths within 60 days of a positive test. The technical summary (PDF, 854KB) provides more detail on these changes.

View more detail on the differences in definitions of COVID-19 deaths between sources, and differences in definitions of COVID-19 deaths in care homes.

Quality

More quality and methodology information on strengths, limitations, appropriate uses, and how the data were created is available in the Mortality statistics in England and Wales QMI.

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Manylion cyswllt ar gyfer y Bwletin ystadegol

Sarah Caul
health.data@ons.gov.uk
Ffôn: +44 (0)1329 444110