Balance of payments, UK: April to June 2024

A measure of cross-border transactions between the UK and rest of the world. Includes trade, income, capital transfers, and foreign assets and liabilities.

Hwn yw'r datganiad diweddaraf. Gweld datganiadau blaenorol

Cyswllt:
Email UK Balance of Payments team

Dyddiad y datganiad:
30 September 2024

Cyhoeddiad nesaf:
23 December 2024

1. Main points

  • The underlying UK current account deficit excluding precious metals widened to £22.4 billion, or 3.2% of gross domestic product (GDP), in Quarter 2 (Apr to June) 2024; this is a change of £5.8 billion from the previous quarter.

  • The UK current account deficit, when trade in precious metals is included, widened to £28.4 billion, or 4.0% of GDP.

  • The total trade deficit, excluding precious metals, widened to £9.9 billion, as the goods deficit widened by £7.4 billion to £53.0 billion and the services surplus expanded by £2.3 billion to £43.1 billion.

  • The primary income account deficit widened to £8.6 billion, or 1.2% of GDP.

  • The UK recorded a net financial inflow of £19.8 billion, up from a £3.1 billion inflow in the previous quarter, as portfolio investment outflows decreased and inflows increased.

  • The preliminary estimate of the UK's net international investment liability position on 30 June 2024 was £650.3 billion.

  • Data for all quarters from 2020 have been open to revision in this publication; revisions to the current account deficit excluding precious metals are larger in 2023 than other periods, mainly as a result of incorporating updated trade in services and foreign direct investment survey data.

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Because we have temporarily paused full processing of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) survey data, recent FDI-related estimates are subject to more uncertainty than usual. The estimates for Quarter 3 (July to Sept) 2023, Quarter 4 (Oct to Dec) 2023, Quarter 1 (Jan to Mar) 2024, and Quarter 2 (Apr to June) 2024 are based on survey data but with simpler processing than normal. These estimates will be updated after full processing resumes later this year. Estimates for quarters in 2021 and 2022 are based on full processing of quarterly survey data but have not yet been updated to reflect latest data from the 2021 and 2022 annual FDI surveys. Therefore, users should be cautious when interpreting recent FDI data in the balance of payments (BoP) statistics. See Section 8: Data sources and quality for more details.

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2. Current account

The UK's current account balance is a measure of the country's balance of payments (BoP) with the rest of the world in trade, primary income, and secondary income.

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Current account and trade figures exclude non-monetary gold (NMG) and other precious metals unless otherwise stated. This is because movements in NMG can be large and highly volatile, distorting underlying trends in goods exports and imports. The headline UK BoP current account and capital account figures published are seasonally adjusted, while financial account and international investment position (IIP) figures are not seasonally adjusted.

The underlying UK current account deficit excluding precious metals widened to £22.4 billion, or 3.2% of gross domestic product (GDP), in Quarter 2 (Apr to June) 2024. This is a change of £5.8 billion from Quarter 1 (Jan to Mar) 2024. The main contributor to the widening was an £8.2 billion increase in goods imports.

Notes:

  1. Sum of components may not sum to total because of rounding. 
  2. Current account and trade figures exclude trade in precious metals.  
  3. Because we have temporarily paused full processing of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) survey data, recent FDI-related estimates are subject to more uncertainty than usual. The estimates for Quarter 3 2023, Quarter 4 2023, Quarter 1 2024, and Quarter 2 2024 are based on survey data but with simpler processing than normal. Therefore, users should be cautious when interpreting recent FDI data in the balance of payments (BoP) statistics. See Section 8: Data sources and quality for more details.

Trade

The total trade deficit for goods and services increased to £9.9 billion (1.4% of GDP) in Quarter 2 2024, from £4.8 billion (0.7% of GDP) in Quarter 1 2024.

The trade in goods deficit widened by £7.4 billion from the previous quarter to £53.0 billion, or 7.5% of GDP. The trade in services surplus increased by £2.3 billion to £43.1 billion, or 6.1% of GDP.

Figure 3: Imports of all commodity types increased in April to June 2024

Changes in imports and exports of goods, excluding unspecified goods, £ billion, Quarter 2 (Apr to June) 2024, compared with Quarter 1 (Jan to Mar) 2024

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The trade in goods deficit widened by £7.4 billion to £53.0 billion in Quarter 2 2024, as the value of imports increased by £8.2 billion to £144.6 billion, while the value of exports increased by a lesser £0.8 billion to £91.6 billion.

Goods imports rose by £8.2 billion because of increased imports in all commodities. The largest increases in imports were recorded in the following commodities:

  • finished manufactured goods (£2.7 billion)

  • semi-manufactured goods (£1.9 billion)

  • oil (£1.8 billion)

Goods exports levels increased by £0.8 billion, as exports of oil increased by £0.9 billion and other fuels exports increased by £0.4 billion, when compared with Quarter 1 2024. This was slightly offset by decreased exports of finished manufactured goods of £0.5 billion, compared with the previous quarter.

The trade in services surplus increased by £2.3 billion to £43.1 billion in Quarter 2 2024, as exports of services increased by £3.5 billion. The largest increases were recorded in exports of other business services (£2.5 billion) and financial services (£1.2 billion). Imports of services increased by £1.2 billion.

More about economy, business and jobs

Primary income

The primary income account records income that the UK receives and pays on financial and other assets, along with compensation of employees.

The primary income account deficit increased to £8.6 billion, or 1.2% of GDP, in Quarter 2 2024, as UK earnings (credits) decreased by £2.2 billion to £98.9 billion. UK payments (debits) increased by £0.9 billion to £107.5 billion.

Secondary income

The secondary income account shows current transfers between residents and non-residents.

The secondary income deficit decreased from £6.3 billion (0.9% of GDP) in Quarter 1 2024 to £3.9 billion (0.6% of GDP) in Quarter 2 2024.

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3. Financial account

A current account deficit, which the UK has experienced each year since 1984, places the UK as a net borrower with the rest of the world, indicating that overall expenditure in the UK exceeds national income. The UK must attract net financial inflows to finance its current (and capital) account deficit. This can be achieved through either disposing of overseas assets to overseas investors or accruing liabilities with the rest of the world.

The financial account recorded a net inflow of £19.8 billion in Quarter 2 (Apr to June) 2024, after recording a net inflow of £3.1 billion in Quarter 1 (Jan to Mar) 2024.

Net acquisition of UK assets (UK investment abroad) in Quarter 2 2024 represented an outflow of £9.8 billion. There was decreased portfolio investment in equity and investment fund shares, compared with Quarter 1 2024. This is mainly because of UK investors selling off their equity abroad. There was a decrease in other investment abroad, as UK residents reduced investments in deposits.

Net incurrence of UK liabilities (investment in the UK) was an inflow of £29.6 billion in Quarter 2 2024. Other investment in the UK fell from the previous quarter, but portfolio investment increased from £27.6 billion to £33.3 billion.

Further details are available in our Quarterly economic commentary.

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4. International investment position

The international investment position (IIP) represents the UK's balance sheet with the rest of the world. IIP measures the difference between the net stock of assets and liabilities at a point in time, which we report as the last day of each quarter.

The preliminary estimate of the IIP net liability position was £650.3 billion at the end of Quarter 2 (30 June) 2024. Users should be aware that the preliminary IIP estimates of Quarter 3 (30 September) 2023, Quarter 4 (31 December) 2023, Quarter 1 (31 March) 2024, and Quarter 2 (30 June) 2024 are subject to more uncertainty than normal. This is because full processing of our Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) survey data has been temporarily paused, as explained in Section 8: Data sources and quality.

The UK asset position in the three months to 30 June 2024 was valued at £13,694.7 billion. The value of the UK liability position with the rest of the world was valued at £14,344.9 billion.

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5. Revisions

The period open for revision in this release is 2020 onwards.

Notes:

  1. Sum of components may not sum to total because of rounding.
  2. Current account and trade figures exclude trade in precious metals.
  3. Because we have temporarily paused full processing of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) survey data, recent FDI-related estimates are subject to more uncertainty than usual. The estimates for Quarter 3 2023, Quarter 4 2023, Quarter 1 2024, and Quarter 2 2024 are based on survey data but with simpler processing than normal. Therefore, users should be cautious when interpreting recent FDI data in the balance of payments (BoP) statistics. See Section 8: Data sources and quality for more details.

More information is available in our Balance of payments tables and Balance of payments - revision triangles dataset.

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6. Balance of payments data

Balance of payments
Dataset | Released 30 September 2024
Quarterly summary of balance of payments accounts including the current account, capital transfers, transactions, and levels of UK external assets and liabilities.

Balance of payments time series
Dataset | Released 30 September 2024
Quarterly summary of balance of payments accounts including the current account, capital transfers, transactions and levels of UK external assets and liabilities.

Balance of payments - revision triangles
Dataset | Released 30 September 2024
Quarterly summary information on the size and direction of the revisions made to the data covering a five-year period, UK.

UK Economic Accounts: all data
Dataset | Released 30 September 2024
This is released at the same time as the UK balance of payments and provides supplementary tables for the balance of payments. The UK Economic Accounts also provides users with the perspective of the rest of world looking into the UK.

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7. Glossary

Balance of payments

The balance of payments is a statistical statement that summarises transactions between residents and non-residents during a period. It consists of the current account, capital account and financial account.

Current account

The current account is made up of the trade in goods and services account, the primary income account and the secondary income account. The difference in the monetary value of these accounts is known as the current account balance. A current account balance is in surplus if overall credits exceed debits, and it is in deficit if overall debits exceed credits.

Capital account

The capital account has two components: capital transfers and the acquisition (purchase) or disposal (sale) of non-produced, non-financial assets.

Capital transfers are those involving transfers of ownership of fixed assets, transfers of funds associated with the acquisition or disposal of fixed assets, and cancellation of liabilities by creditors without any counterparts being received in return. The sale or purchase of non-produced, non-financial assets covers intangibles such as patents, copyrights, franchises, leases and other transferable contracts, and goodwill.

Financial account

The financial account covers transactions that result in a change of ownership of financial assets and liabilities between UK residents and non-residents. For example, the acquisitions and disposals of foreign shares by UK residents. The accounts are presented by the functional categories of direct investment, portfolio investment, other investment, financial derivatives and reserve assets.

International investment position

The international investment position (IIP) is a statement that shows at the end of the period the value and composition of UK external assets (foreign assets owned by UK residents) and identified UK external liabilities (UK assets owned by foreign residents). The framework of international accounts sets out that the IIP is also presented by functional category, consistent with primary income and the financial account.

Precious metals

In line with international standards, the Office for National Statistics' (ONS's) headline trade statistics contain the UK's exports and imports of non-monetary gold. This trade can have a large effect on the size of and change in the UK's headline trade figures. This is because a substantial amount of the world's trade in non-monetary gold takes place on the London markets.

Further information on precious metals and their impact can be found in our UK trade bulletin.

Special drawing rights

Some International Monetary Fund (IMF) member countries have access to international reserve assets called special drawing rights (SDRs). A general allocation of SDRs, equivalent to approximately US $650 billion, became effective on 23 August 2021 and was allocated to participant countries in proportion to their existing quotas. The UK's SDR allocation was equivalent to $19,318 million and was received in August 2021.

Net errors and omissions

Although the balance of payments accounts are, in principle, balanced, imbalances between the current, capital and financial accounts arise from imperfections in source data and compilation in practice. This imbalance, a usual feature of balance of payments data, is labelled "net errors and omissions."

For more detailed definitions of terms used in the balance of payments, see our glossary (PDF, 123KB).

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8. Data sources and quality

Data sources

Balance of payments statistics are compiled from a variety of sources, produced in the national accounts sector and financial accounts (SFA) framework. Some of the main sources used in the compilation include:

  • overseas trade statistics (HM Revenue and Customs (HMRC))

  • International Trade in Services Survey (ITIS) (Office for National Statistics (ONS))

  • International Passenger Survey (ONS); this was suspended between March 2020 and January 2021 because of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic

  • Foreign Direct Investment Survey (ONS and Bank of England (BoE))

  • various financial inquiries (ONS and BoE)

  • Ownership of UK Quoted Shares Survey (ONS)

Trade is measured through both exports and imports of goods and services. Data are supplied by over 30 sources, including several administrative sources, with HMRC being the largest for trade in goods. ITIS, conducted by the ONS, is the largest single data source for trade in services.

The main source of information for UK foreign direct investment (FDI) statistics is the ONS FDI Survey; separate surveys are used to collect data on inward and outward FDI. This is combined with data from the BoE on the banking sector. The statistics in this bulletin are compiled using the asset and liability measurement principle, which uses residency as the main distinction between outward and inward investments.

Production of estimates from the FDI survey was temporarily paused at the end of 2023, because of previous challenges in processing FDI survey data. This pause allows us to review and revise procedures so that we can safeguard timely and quality FDI estimates in the future.

As a result of the pause, the direct investment estimates for Quarter 3 (July to Sept) 2023, Quarter 4 (Oct to Dec) 2023, Quarter 1 (Jan to Mar) 2024 and Quarter 2 (Apr to June) 2024 are based on simpler processing of survey data than normal. As a result, users should be cautious when interpreting FDI estimates for the latest four quarters. This position differs from our previous Balance of payments, UK: January to March 2024 bulletin, when the estimates for Quarters 3 and 4 2023 were carried forward from Quarter 2 2023.

Full FDI survey processing will resume with annual FDI estimates for 2022 published in our Foreign direct investment involving UK companies: 2022 bulletin on 8 October 2024. Following this, fully-processed quarterly data for Quarter 3 2023 onwards will be introduced to balance of payments and sector accounts estimates.

Our plan is for annual FDI estimates for 2023 to be published in our Foreign direct investment involving UK companies: 2023 bulletin in December 2024 to the normal timetable. Users should be aware that compliance with the national accounts revisions policy will mean that from December 2024 until the publication of the Pink and Blue Books in 2025, published estimates of FDI in the national accounts will be benchmarked from annual data for years up to and including 2021, and potentially for 2023, but not for 2022. We plan to provide analysis of how subsequent inclusion of annual 2022 estimates will impact the main direct investment series in national accounts, alongside our annual Foreign direct investment involving UK companies: 2022 bulletin in October. This analysis will provide users with more insight when analysing trend data. It will be referenced in all quarterly national accounts publications until the Pink and Blue Books are published in 2025.

Changes affecting UK trade statistics

The arrangements for how the UK trades with the EU changed, since the UK left the EU on 31 January 2020.

HMRC implemented some data collection changes following Brexit, which affected statistics on UK trade in goods with the EU. We have adjusted our estimates of goods imports from the EU in 2021 and 2022 to account for these changes. However, a structural break remains in the full time series for goods imports from and exports to the EU from January 2021.

We therefore advise caution when interpreting and drawing conclusions from these statistics. More detail is provided in our Impact of trade in goods data collection changes on UK trade statistics: summary of adjustments and the structural break from 2021 article.

Quality and methodology

More quality and methodology information on strengths, limitations, appropriate uses, and how the data were created is available in our Balance of payments Quality and Methodology Information (QMI).

We will continue to produce our UK balance of payments statistics in line with the UK Statistics Authority's Code of Practice for Statistics, and in accordance with internationally agreed statistical guidance and standards. This is based on the International Monetary Fund's Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual: Sixth Edition (BPM6) (PDF, 3.0MB), until those standards are updated.

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10. Cite this statistical bulletin

Office for National Statistics (ONS), released 30 September 2024, ONS website, statistical bulletin, Balance of payments, UK: April to June 2024

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Manylion cyswllt ar gyfer y Bwletin ystadegol

UK Balance of Payments team
bop@ons.gov.uk
Ffôn: +44 1633 456106