Private rent and house prices, UK: November 2024

The Price Index of Private Rents (PIPR) measures private rent inflation for new and existing tenancies. The UK House Price Index measures house price inflation.

Nid hwn yw'r datganiad diweddaraf. Gweld y datganiad diweddaraf

Cyswllt:
Email Housing Market Indices team

Dyddiad y datganiad:
20 November 2024

Cyhoeddiad nesaf:
18 December 2024

1. Main points

  • Average UK private rents increased by 8.7% in the 12 months to October 2024 (provisional estimate); this is up from 8.4% in the 12 months to September 2024.

  • Average rents increased to £1,348 (8.8%) in England, £766 (7.9%) in Wales, and £976 (6.6%) in Scotland, in the 12 months to October 2024.

  • In Northern Ireland, average rents increased by 9.0% in the 12 months to August 2024.

  • In England, rents inflation was highest in London (10.4%) and lowest in Yorkshire and the Humber (5.9%), in the 12 months to October 2024.

  • Average UK house prices increased by 2.9%, to £292,000, in the 12 months to September 2024 (provisional estimate); this annual growth rate is up from 2.7% in the 12 months to August 2024.

  • Average house prices increased in England to £309,000 (2.5%), in Wales to £217,000 (0.4%), and in Scotland to £198,000 (5.7%), in the 12 months to September 2024.

In recent periods, the total transaction volumes and new build volumes available to calculate UK House Price Index (HPI) estimates have been lower than usual.

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Users should be aware that revisions may be larger than usual and should note the considerably greater uncertainty around new build prices.

We are developing our Northern Ireland private rent statistics and aim to use our Price Index of Private Rents (PIPR) methodology for Northern Ireland from March 2025. This will enable us to produce average rent levels for Northern Ireland and the UK, and comparisons with Great Britain.

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Price Index of Private Rents (PIPR) data are official statistics in development, and we advise caution when using the data. Because of data collection differences, we advise caution when comparing Scotland estimates with other UK countries. Read more in Section 10: Data sources and quality.

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2. UK private rent and house prices

Average UK private rents increased by 8.7% in the 12 months to October 2024 (provisional estimate). This was up from 8.4% in the 12 months to September 2024, but was below the record-high annual rise of 9.2% in March 2024.

Average UK house prices increased by 2.9% (provisional estimate), to £292,000, in the 12 months to September 2024. This annual growth was up from 2.7% in the 12 months to August 2024. Annual inflation has been generally increasing since its low point of negative 2.7% in the 12 months to December 2023.

HM Land Registry publishes the full UK House Price Index report and monthly data.

Our new local housing statistics tool summarises the latest private rents and house price statistics for local areas.

UK monthly rents estimates for the latest two months, and UK House Price Index (HPI) estimates for the latest 12 months, are provisional and subject to revision. All statistics are non-seasonally adjusted estimates, unless explicitly stated otherwise.

Changes in new-let annual inflation take time to be reflected in the Price Index of Private Rents (PIPR), because PIPR measures the average price change of the entire privately rented stock. For more information, see our Measuring the UK housing market blog post.

The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) reported an increase in tenant demand over the three months to October, but that landlord instructions fell relatively sharply, as described in their UK Residential Market Survey October 2024 report.

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3. House prices by country and English region

The average house price for England was £309,000 in September 2024, up 2.5% (£8,000) from a year earlier. This annual rise was higher than in the 12 months to August 2024 (2.2%).

The average house price for Wales was £217,000 in September 2024, up 0.4% (£1,000) from a year earlier. This annual rise was lower than in the 12 months to August 2024 (2.9%).

The average house price for Scotland was £198,000 in September 2024, up 5.7% (£11,000) from a year earlier. This annual rise was higher than in the 12 months to August 2024 (5.3%).

The average house price for Northern Ireland was £191,000 in Quarter 3 (July to Sept) 2024, up 6.2% (£12,000) from Quarter 3 a year earlier.

The North East was the English region with the highest house price inflation in the 12 months to September 2024, at 6.5%. This was up from 2.1% in the 12 months to August 2024.

Annual house price inflation was lowest in London, at a decrease of 0.5% in the 12 months to September 2024. This was down from an increase of 1.2% in the 12 months to August 2024 (revised estimate).

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4. Private rents by country

In October 2024, the average private rent in Great Britain was £1,307 per month. This is £105 (8.7%) higher than 12 months previously.

England

Average rent for England was £1,348 in October 2024, up 8.8% (£109) from a year earlier. This annual rise was higher than in the 12 months to September 2024 (8.5%). This annual growth rate is below the recent record high of 9.1% in March 2024.

Wales

Average rent for Wales was £766 in October 2024, up 7.9% (£56) from a year earlier. This annual rise was lower than in the 12 months to September 2024 (8.3%). Wales's annual inflation rate has been generally slowing since the record-high annual rise of 9.8% in November 2023.

Scotland

Average rent for Scotland was £976 in October 2024, up 6.6% (£60) from a year earlier. This annual rise was lower than in the 12 months to September 2024 (7.2%). Scotland's annual inflation rate has been generally slowing since the record-high annual rise of 11.8% in August 2023.

Because of data collection limitations, Scotland rents data, which are underlying the Price Index of Private Rents's (PIPR's) stock measure, are mainly for advertised new lets. These advertised new lets were not subject to Scotland's in-tenancy price-increase cap and are not subject to temporary changes to the Rent Adjudication system, as described in the Cost of Living (Tenant Protection) Scotland Bill and the Scottish Government's Cost of living: rent and eviction page, respectively. We advise users to bear this in mind when interpreting estimates for Scotland and comparing with other UK countries (see Section 10: Data sources and quality).

Northern Ireland

Northern Ireland data are currently available up to August 2024. Average rent in Northern Ireland increased by 9.0% in the 12 months to August 2024. This was down from 9.5% in the 12 months to July 2024, and below the record-high annual rise of 10.4% in February 2024.

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5. Private rents by English region

London was the English region with the highest rents inflation in the 12 months to October 2024, at 10.4%. This annual rise was higher than in the 12 months to September 2024 (9.8%), but below the record-high annual rise of 11.2% in March 2024.

Rents annual inflation was lowest in Yorkshire and the Humber, at 5.9% in October 2024. This annual rise was lower than in the 12 months to September 2024 (6.3%).

In October 2024, the average rent was highest in London (£2,172) and lowest in the North East (£694).

Figure 6: Privately renting a property is most expensive in London

Average private rent, English regions, January 2015 to October 2024

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6. Private rents for local areas

Average monthly private rents vary across local authorities in England and Wales, and broad rental market areas in Scotland.

In October 2024, the average rent was highest in Kensington and Chelsea, London (£3,462) and lowest in Dumfries and Galloway, Scotland (£484). Excluding London, the local area with the highest average rent in October 2024 was Elmbridge, South East (£1,845).

Figure 7: Average rent was more than seven times higher in the most expensive local area than in the least expensive

Average private rent and annual inflation, local authorities in England and Wales and broad rental market areas in Scotland, January 2015 to October 2024

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7. Private rents by property size

The average private rent was highest for detached properties (£1,505) and lowest for flats and maisonettes (£1,274) for Great Britain in October 2024. Average private rent was highest for properties with four or more bedrooms (£1,984) and lowest for properties with one bedroom (£1,049).

Figure 8: Private rent increases with property size

Average private rent, local authorities in England and Wales and broad rental market areas in Scotland, October 2024

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8. Data on private rent and house prices

Price Index of Private Rents, UK: monthly price statistics
Dataset | Released 20 November 2024
Private rent price statistics, including indices, annual percentage change and price levels.

Private Index of Private Rents, UK: historical series
Dataset | Released 20 March 2024
Price Index of Private Rents (PIPR) data chain-linked to Index of Private Housing Rental Prices. This is a historical series from January 2005 to February 2024.

UK House Price Index: monthly price statistics
Dataset | Released 20 November 2024
Summary of UK House Price Index (HPI) price statistics covering England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland. Full UK HPI data is available on GOV.UK.

House price data: quarterly tables
Dataset | Released 20 November 2024
Quarterly house price data based on a sub-sample of the Regulated Mortgage Survey.

House price data: annual tables
Dataset | Released 17 July 2024
Annual house price data based on a sub-sample of the Regulated Mortgage Survey.

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9. Glossary

Administrative data

Data that are already collected for other purposes through day-to-day activities. Examples include health records or social security payments.

Annual percentage change

The rate at which prices rise and fall over a 12-month period. Interchangeable with "annual inflation" (or "annual growth", if positive).

Private rent and house price inflation

Inflation is the rate at which prices (for renting or purchasing property) rise and fall over time.

Non-seasonally adjusted

A non-seasonally adjusted series is one that includes seasonal or calendar effects.

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10. Data sources and quality

The Price Index of Private Rents (PIPR) is released as official statistics in development and is subject to revisions if improvements in the methodology are identified. Read more about this in our Guide to official statistics in development.

On 20 March 2024, the Private rent and house prices, UK bulletin replaced our UK House Price Index (UK HPI)Index of Private Housing Rental Prices (IPHRP), and Private rental market summary statistics in England (PRMS) bulletins. This housing bulletin uses the PIPR to provide more insight into the UK private rental sector, and includes headline UK HPI statistics.

UK House Price Index

HM Land Registry (HMLR) publishes the full UK HPI report and monthly data. Additionally, the Registers of Scotland website publishes UK HPI reports and the Land and Property Services Northern Ireland website publishes Northern Ireland HPI reports.

In September 2024's release, UK HPI estimates were revised from January 2022 onwards using price data processed outside of the UK HPI's normal 12-month revision period. In October 2024's release, UK HPI returned to the usual 12-month revision period, as explained in Section 4: Calculating the UK HPI in HMLR's About the UK House Price Index guidance.

In recent periods, the total transaction volumes and new build volumes available to calculate UK HPI estimates have been lower than historically. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) and HMLR are working to resolve this. Users should be aware that revisions may be larger than usual and should note that there is substantially greater uncertainty around new build prices. Further information is available in HMLR's UK House Price Index summary.

Separately, we publish House price data: quarterly tables and House price data: annual tables, which include simple average house and mortgage price statistics, based on a sub-sample of Regulated Mortgage Survey data.

UK HPI re-referencing

UK HPI price levels are derived by taking the January 2015 average price of a reference set of properties and applying individual period inflation rates to produce the full time series. The types of property being sold can change over time, so in our 19 February 2025 release, the UK HPI will be re-referenced to January 2023 as the new base period. Updating this reference set of properties will ensure the UK HPI price levels better reflect the type of properties currently being sold. The UK HPI indices will report January 2023 = 100. The price level series will shift up or down because of re-referencing, but inflation rates will be unchanged, as explained in Section 3: Methods used to produce the UK HPI in HMLR's Quality and methodology.

Price Index of Private Rents

PIPR's statistics are monthly from January 2015 onwards, and use January 2023 as the base period for indexing.

Our Price Index of Private Rents, UK: historical series dataset links pre-2015 IPHRP trends with PIPR trends from 2015 onwards, down to region level. Series begin in January 2005 for England, January 2009 for Wales, January 2011 for Scotland, and January 2015 for Northern Ireland and the UK. We advise caution when comparing pre-2015 trends with later estimates because of the methodology change in January 2015.

Spotlight on quality assessment of the Price Index of Private Rents

We recently requested a quality-focused assessment of the PIPR by the Office for Statistics Regulation (OSR). This request was the first step towards achieving accredited official statistics status, with further development planned to incorporate Northern Ireland into PIPR. The OSR published their Spotlight on Quality Assessment: Price Index of Private Rents (PIPR) report on 10 October 2024. We welcome the report findings and will announce how we intend to address OSR's requirements soon.

Sources for Price Index of Private Rents

The PIPR and the IPHRP use the same administrative rents data. The PIPR also uses administrative property attributes data. More detail is available in our Quality assurance of administrative data used in the PIPR methodolody.

Data collection for Price Index of Private Rents

Annually, over 450,000 private rents are collected in England, around 30,000 in Wales, 40,000 in Scotland, and 15,000 in Northern Ireland.

In England and Wales, achieved rents data are collected for both new and existing tenancies. Rent Officers receive a notification 12 months after a property's last update, supporting their aims to revisit properties.

Data collection volumes for Brent have been high in recent months, leading to a sharp increase in the estimated average rent for Brent.

In Northern Ireland, rents data are for newly-advertised lets.

Scotland rents data are predominantly for advertised new lets, with only a small proportion based on existing lets data. Therefore, price changes for existing tenancies are largely estimated for Scotland.

The Cost of Living (Tenant Protection) Scotland Bill capped in-tenancy rent price increases at 0% (and up to 3% in certain circumstances) from September 2022 until 31 March 2023. The Scottish Government website reports that between 1 April 2023 and 31 March 2024, this rent price-increase cap was 3% (and up to 6% in certain circumstances). From 1 April 2024, temporary changes to the rent adjudication system restricts rent increases for existing tenants who apply for rent adjudication, as shown in the Scottish Government's Cost of living: rent and eviction guidance.

These caps and restrictions will not be reflected in the price of new lets used to estimate the price of existing tenancies. Scottish Government statisticians believe that the lack of data on existing tenants benefitting from rent controls, and changes to the Rent Adjudication system, will lead to overestimation in stock prices and indices for Scotland since late 2022.

Revision Policy for Price Index of Private Rents

Northern Ireland rents data are not available for the latest two months. To produce provisional UK statistics, Great Britain's inflation rate for the latest two months has been used to estimate Northern Ireland's inflation rate in this period.

Each subsequent month, updated Northern Ireland data are used to revise estimates for the UK. This means that there is a two-month revision period for the UK series in PIPR.

Strengths and limitations

Strengths

The PIPR reflects price changes for all privately rented properties (including for existing tenancies), not only changes for newly advertised lets.

The PIPR replaced the IPHRP and PRMS in March 2024. The PIPR produces prices that are comparable over time (unlike PRMS) and publishes to an increased level of geographic granularity than IPHRP.

Limitations

While mitigation efforts are made, price changes at local levels can be influenced by the type and number of properties collected in any given period, which may lead to volatility. Longer-term trends should be considered for lower-level geographic breakdowns, rather than monthly movements.

Estimates for the City of London and Isles of Scilly are not published because of low collection volumes.

Because of differences in data collection and housing policy, caution is advised when comparing Scotland's estimates with other areas in England and Wales, and within Scotland. More information is available in our PIPR Quality and Methodology Information (QMI).

Future developments

We aim to implement the PIPR methodology for Northern Ireland in March 2025. Until then, we will continue to use IPHRP methodology for Northern Ireland's private rental price statistics, and Verian data for Northern Ireland's consumer price statistics.

Contact us at hpi@ons.gov.uk.

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12. Cite this statistical bulletin

Office for National Statistics (ONS), released 20 November 2024, ONS website, statistical bulletin, Private rent and house prices, UK: November 2024

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