Index of Private Housing Rental Prices, UK: June 2019

An experimental price index tracking the prices paid for renting property from private landlords in the UK.

This is not the latest release. View latest release

Cyswllt:
Email Rhys Lewis

Dyddiad y datganiad:
17 July 2019

Cyhoeddiad nesaf:
14 August 2019

1. Main points

  • Private rental prices paid by tenants in the UK rose by 1.3% in the 12 months to June 2019, unchanged from May 2019.

  • In England, private rental prices grew by 1.3%, Wales experienced growth of 1.1%, and in Scotland, private rental prices increased by 0.9% in the 12 months to June 2019.

  • London private rental prices rose by 0.9% in the 12 months to June 2019, unchanged from May 2019.

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2. Things you need to know about this release

The Index of Private Housing Rental Prices (IPHRP) measures the change in the price tenants pay when renting residential property from private landlords. This gives a comparison between the prices tenants are charged in the current month as opposed to the same month in the previous year. The index does not only measure the change in newly advertised rental prices, but reflects price changes for all private rental properties.

The IPHRP is constructed using administrative data. This means the index makes use of data that are already collected for other purposes to estimate rental prices. The sources of private rental prices are: the Valuation Office Agency (VOA), Scottish Government, Welsh Government and Northern Ireland Housing Executive (NIHE). All these organisations use rental officers to collect the price paid for privately rented properties. Data for Northern Ireland also include data provided by propertynews.com. Annually, over 450,000 private rental prices are collected in England, 30,000 in Wales, 25,000 in Scotland and 15,000 in Northern Ireland. The sources of expenditure weights are the Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government (MHCLG), Scottish Government, Welsh Government, Northern Ireland Housing Executive and the VOA.

IPHRP is released as an Experimental Statistic. While the methodology for IPHRP is final, Northern Ireland data were previously excluded from the price index. We have since worked with the Northern Ireland Housing Executive to secure private rental data for Northern Ireland with results first published in our August 2018 release on 19 September 2018. We have also used these data to improve the coverage of IPHRP to that of the UK, which was published for the first time in our September 2018 release on 17 October 2018.

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3. UK private rental prices growth rate unchanged

Private rental prices paid by tenants in the UK increased by 1.3% in the 12 months to June 2019, unchanged from May 2019. For example, a property that was rented for £500 per month in June 2018, which saw its rent increase by the average rate in the UK, would be rented for £506.50 in June 2019. Growth in private rental prices paid by tenants in the UK has generally slowed since the beginning of 2016, driven mainly by a slowdown in London over the same period. Rental growth has started to pick up since the end of 2018, driven by strengthening growth in London.

Rental prices for the UK, excluding London, increased by 1.5% in the 12 months to June 2019, unchanged since January 2019 (Figure 1). London private rental prices increased by 0.9% in the 12 months to June 2019, unchanged from May 2019.

The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors’ (RICS’s) June 2019 Residential Market Survey reported that tenant demand (non-seasonally adjusted) remained solid, while the supply of rental properties being placed on the market dropped for the 20th month in a row.

The Association of Residential Letting Agents (ARLA) reported in their Private Rented Sector Report for May 2019 that the supply of rental properties dropped marginally, while demand from prospective renters increased.

These supply and demand pressures can take time to feed through to the Index of Private Housing Rental Prices (IPHRP), which reflects price changes for all private rental properties, rather than only newly advertised rental properties.

Focusing on the long-term trend, between January 2015 and June 2019, private rental prices in the UK increased by 7.7% (Figure 2).

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4. How do growth rates compare at the country level?

In England, private rental prices grew by 1.3% in the 12 months to June 2019, unchanged from May 2019. When London is excluded from England, privately rented properties increased by 1.6% in the 12 months to June 2019.

Private rental prices in Wales grew by 1.1% in the 12 months to June 2019, unchanged since February 2019.

Rental growth in Scotland increased by 0.9% in the 12 months to June 2019, up from 0.8% in May 2019. The weaker growth in Scotland since 2016 may be due to stronger supply and weaker demand in Scotland, as reported by the Association of Residential Letting Agents (ARLA).

The annual rate of change for Northern Ireland (2.1%) in March 2019 is higher than the other countries of the UK. The Northern Ireland annual growth rate has remained broadly consistent, around 2%, since 2018. Northern Ireland data have been copied forward since March 2019. The next update to Northern Ireland data will be in the release on 18 September 2019.

All UK countries have experienced rises in their private rental prices since 2015 (Figure 4). Since January 2015, rental prices in England have increased more than those in Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland.

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5. Growth in London private rental prices strengthening since mid-2018

London private rental prices increased by 0.9% in the 12 months to June 2019, unchanged from May 2019, its highest annual growth since September 2017. The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) reported in their September 2018 Residential Market Survey that tenant demand has staged a sustained recovery in London, increasingly outstripping supply. These effects may be now starting to feed through to the Index of Private Housing Rental Prices.

Focusing on the English regions, the largest annual rental price increase was in the East Midlands (2.1%), unchanged from May 2019 (Figure 5). This was followed by the South West (2.0%), unchanged from May 2019 and Yorkshire and The Humber (1.8%), unchanged since February 2019.

The lowest annual rental price growth was in the North East where prices increased by 0.5%, unchanged from May 2019. It was followed by London, which increased by 0.9%, unchanged from May 2019.

Figure 6 shows the historical 12-month percentage growth rate in the rental prices of each of the English regions.

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7. Quality and methodology

The Index of Private Housing Rental Prices Quality and Methodology Information report contains important information on:

  • the strengths and limitations of the data and how it compares with related data

  • uses and users of the data

  • how the output was created

  • the quality of the output including the accuracy of the data

Private rental growth measures, a UK comparison, compares the growth in the Index of Private Housing Rental Prices to other measures of private rental growth.

Quality assurance of administrative data used in private rental housing statistics documents the administrative data sources used in the production of the Index of Private Housing Rental Prices and the quality assurance processes applied to them.

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Manylion cyswllt ar gyfer y Bwletin ystadegol

Rhys Lewis
hpi@ons.gov.uk
Ffôn: +44 (0)1633 456400

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