Economic activity and social change in the UK, real-time indicators: 5 July 2024

Early data on the UK economy and society. These faster indicators are created using rapid response surveys, novel data sources and innovative methods. These are official statistics in development.

Nid hwn yw'r datganiad diweddaraf. Gweld y datganiad diweddaraf

5 July 2024

This release has a headline-only format and is accompanied by updated datasets. We will continue to publish the weekly bulletin as usual from 11 July 2024.

Cyswllt:
Email Real Time Indicators team

Dyddiad y datganiad:
5 July 2024

Cyhoeddiad nesaf:
11 July 2024

1. Main points

  • Overall retail footfall increased by 2% when compared with the previous week and was broadly unchanged from the level seen in the equivalent week of 2023 (MRI OnLocation).

  • The total number of online job adverts on 28 June 2024 decreased by 1% from the level in the previous week and was 20% below the level in the equivalent period of 2023 (Adzuna).

  • Nearly 1 in 10 (9%) trading businesses reported that they are currently stockpiling goods and materials; although this is broadly stable from March 2024, the proportion is up from the 4% reported in January 2024 and is the highest proportion reported since the question was first introduced in February 2021 (final results from wave 111 of the Business Insights and Conditions Survey).

  • In the week to 30 June 2024, the System Price of electricity decreased by 12% compared with the previous week from a seven-day average price of 8.351 pence per kilowatt hour to 7.308 pence per kilowatt hour; meanwhile, the System Average Price (SAP) of gas decreased by 15% from 2.821 pence per kilowatt hour to 2.392 pence per kilowatt hour (Elexon, National Gas Transmission).

  • In the week to 30 June 2024, the daily average number of UK flights decreased 1% compared with the previous week and are now 2% higher than the equivalent week of 2023 (EUROCONTROL).

!

These are official statistics in development, and we advise caution when using the data. The data sources used to compile these indicators are regularly reviewed to ensure they are representative and relevant, which may mean indicators change at short notice. Read more in Section 5: Measuring the data.

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2. Latest indicators at a glance

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Notes
  1. Card spending over time is pushed upwards by the impacts of both inflation on value of transactions and cash-to-card conversion.
  2. Revolut adjustments to user count are at an aggregate level and as such age bands may not adjust evenly.
  3. Indicators with SA in the title have been seasonally adjusted.
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3. Data

Online job advert estimates
Dataset | Released 5 July 2024
Weekly snapshot of online job advert indices covering the UK job market. These are official statistics in development. Source: Adzuna.

System Average Price (SAP) of gas
Dataset | Released 5 July 2024
Daily data showing System Average Price (SAP) of gas, and rolling seven-day average, traded in Great Britain over the On-the-Day Commodity Market (OCM). These are official statistics in development. Source: National Gas Transmission.

System Price of electricity
Dataset | Released 5 July 2024
Daily data showing the System Price of electricity, and rolling seven-day average, in Great Britain. These are official statistics in development. Source: Elexon.

This section lists a selection of the data available in this publication. For the full list of available datasets, please see our accompanying dataset page.

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4. Glossary

Real-time indicator

A real-time indicator provides insights into economic activity using close-to-real-time big data, administrative data sources, rapid response surveys or experimental estimates, which represent useful economic and social concepts.

Seasonal adjustment

Seasonal adjustment is the identification and removal of consistent and systematic variation in time series that is associated with the time of year. For more information on seasonal variation, and how we implement seasonal adjustment, see Section 2: How we measure real-time indicators of our Economic activity and social change in the UK, real-time indicators methodology.

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5. Measuring the data

Official statistics in development

These statistics are labelled as “official statistics in development”. Until September 2023, these were called “experimental statistics”. Read more about the change in our Guide to official statistics in development.

We are developing how we collect and produce the data to improve the quality of these statistics. Find out more in our Economic activity and social change in the UK, real-time indicators methodology.

Once the developments are complete, we will review the statistics with the Statistics Head of Profession. We will decide if the statistics are of sufficient quality and value to be published as official statistics, or if further development is needed. Production may be stopped if they are not of sufficient quality or value. Users will be informed of the outcome and any changes.

We value your feedback on these statistics. If you would like to get in touch, please email realtime.indicators@ons.gov.uk.

Dataset release dates and intended release frequency

Latest release dates and intended release frequency of our associated datasets are available in this section. Please note that there may be some change to the intended release frequency for a variety of reasons, such as data availability. If you would like further information about any of these datasets, or previous release dates, please email realtime.indicators@ons.gov.uk.

Weekly data release

Fortnightly data release

Monthly data release

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6. Strengths and limitations

These statistics have been produced to provide timely indicators of the effect of developing world events on the UK economy and society, using close-to-real-time big data, administrative data sources, rapid response surveys, or official statistics in development.

The data presented in this bulletin are reviewed and refreshed on a regular basis. Indicators are swapped in and out of the publication based on their suitability and availability.

Seasonality

Seasonal fluctuations are likely to be present in many of these indicators, so caution must be applied when interpreting changes in series that are not seasonally adjusted.

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8. Cite this statistical bulletin

Office for National Statistics (ONS), released 5 July 2024, ONS website, statistical bulletin, Economic activity and social change in the UK, real-time indicators: 5 July 2024

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Manylion cyswllt ar gyfer y Bwletin ystadegol

Real Time Indicators team
realtime.indicators@ons.gov.uk