Economic activity and social change in the UK, real-time indicators: 5 April 2024

Early data on the UK economy and society. These faster indicators are created using rapid response surveys, novel data sources and innovative methods. These are official statistics in development.

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Cyswllt:
Email Real time indicators team

Dyddiad y datganiad:
5 April 2024

Cyhoeddiad nesaf:
11 April 2024

1. Main points

  • In the latest week, aggregate UK spending on credit and debit cards increased by 4%, this was 1% lower than the level in the equivalent week of 2023; overall retail footfall increased to 101% of the level of the previous week and to 102% of the level in the equivalent week of 2023 (Bank of England CHAPS, MRI OnLocation). Section 3: Consumer behaviour.

  • The total number of online job adverts on the 28 March 2024 remained broadly unchanged from the previous week, but was 18% below the level seen in the equivalent period of 2023 (Adzuna). Section 4: Business and workforce.

  • Approximately one in seven (14%) businesses reported that they are currently using some form of artificial intelligence technology, an increase from 10% in late December 2023; for businesses with 250 or more employees, this percentage was higher at 24%, a rise of 5 percentage points over the same period (final results from wave 105 of the Business Insights and Conditions Survey).

  • The System Price of electricity increased by 40% in the week to 31 March 2024, bringing the price back up to the level seen three weeks ago, though the System Average Price (SAP) of gas decreased by 3%; both remained lower than the levels in the equivalent week of 2023, by 40% and 36%, respectively (Elexon, National Gas Transmission). Section 5: Energy.

  • In the latest week, the daily average number of ship visits and the daily average number of UK flights both increased by 3% when compared with the previous week; meanwhile, the average traffic camera activity for cars in London decreased by 3% (exactEarth, EUROCONTROL, Transport for London) Section 6: Transport.

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These are official statistics in development, and we advise caution when using the data. The data sources used to compile these indicators are regularly reviewed to ensure they are representative and relevant, which may mean indicators change at short notice. Read more in Section 9: Measuring the data.

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2. Latest indicators at a glance

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Notes:
  1. Card spending over time is pushed upwards by the impacts of both inflation on value of transactions and cash-to-card conversion. 
  2. Revolut adjustments to user count are at an aggregate level and as such age bands may not adjust evenly. 
  3. Indicators with SA in the title have been seasonally adjusted.
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3. Consumer behaviour

UK spending on debit and credit cards: weekly, seasonally adjusted CHAPS-based indicator

The "work-related" and "social" CHAPS series have been withdrawn in 2024 because of sample population issues. We will continue publishing the aggregate, staple and delayable series while we are undertaking a review of the component series and will provide an update in due course.

Please note that the "work-related" and "social" categories still contribute to the "aggregate" series.

The spending categories, when seasonally adjusted, recorded the following changes in the latest week:

  • “aggregate” increased by 4%

  • “delayable” increased by 5%

  • “staple” increased by 1%

When compared with the same week in 2023, the spending categories, when seasonally adjusted, recorded the following changes:

  • “aggregate” decreased by 1%

  • “delayable” increased by 2%

  • “staple” was broadly unchanged

The weekly and monthly seasonally adjusted CHAPS indices, and the daily and monthly non-seasonally adjusted CHAPS indices, are available in our accompanying UK spending on credit and debit cards dataset.

National retail footfall

Overall retail footfall in the week to 31 March 2024 increased to 101% of the level seen in the previous week and 102% of the level in the equivalent week of 2023.

Shopping centre footfall increased to 103% of the previous week, showing the largest change across the three location categories. Retail park footfall increased to 102%, while high street footfall remained broadly unchanged. When compared with the same period of 2023, all categories increased. The largest change was observed with high street footfall, which increased to 104% of the level seen in the equivalent week of the previous year.

Overall retail footfall increased in 9 of the 12 UK countries and regions. The largest change occurred in Northern Ireland, rising to 108% of the level seen in the previous week. This was followed by Scotland and Wales, which rose to 107% and 106%, respectively, coinciding with the start of the school Easter holidays.

When comparing the overall retail footfall of the 12 UK countries and English regions to the same period of 2023, the largest changes were observed in Northern Ireland, Wales and the West Midlands, with all three increasing to 103% of the level seen in the equivalent week of the previous year.

Transactions at Pret A Manger

The number of in-store transactions at Pret A Manger stores decreased in 9 and increased in 1 of the 10 location categories in the week to 28 March 2024 when compared with the previous week. The largest decrease was seen in Manchester, falling by 11%, while London airports stores were the only location category to increase, rising by 4%.

Compared with the equivalent week of 2023, the number of in-store transactions at Pret A Manger decreased in 8 and increased in 2 of the 10 location categories. The largest decreases were seen in Manchester and regional towns stores, decreasing by 19% and 18%, respectively. The largest increase was seen in regional stations stores with an increase of 8%.

Our accompanying Transactions at Pret A Manger dataset is available.

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4. Business and workforce

Online job adverts

These figures are innovative estimates of online job adverts by category, UK country, and English region, provided by Adzuna, an online job search engine. The number of job adverts over time is an indicator of the demand for labour. The Adzuna categories used do not correspond to Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) categories, so these values are not directly comparable with our Vacancy Survey.

The number of online job adverts on 28 March 2024 remained broadly unchanged when compared with the previous week. Of the 12 UK countries and English regions, 8 increased, 2 decreased and 2 remained broadly unchanged.

The total number of online job adverts fell by 18% when compared with the equivalent period of 2023, with all regions seeing a fall when compared with the previous year. The largest decreases were in Scotland, which fell by 28%, and London, which fell by 25%.

When compared with the equivalent period of 2023, the total number of online job adverts fell in 26 of the 28 job categories. The largest decreases were in the “Construction and trades” and “Domestic Help” categories, falling by 52% and 49%, respectively. Of the categories that have not decreased when compared with 2023, “Part time and weekend” increased by 119%, while “Transport, logistics and warehouse” increased by 4%.

Our accompanying Online job advert estimates dataset is available.

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5. Energy

System Average Price (SAP) of gas

The System Average Price (SAP) of gas decreased by 3% in the week to 31 March 2024, when compared with the previous week. This was 36% lower than the level seen in the equivalent week of 2023.

Our accompanying System Average Price of gas dataset is available.

System Price of electricity

The System Price of electricity increased by 40% in the week to 31 March 2024 when compared with the previous week, bringing the price back up to the level seen three weeks ago. However, this price was 40% lower than the level seen in the equivalent week of 2023.

Our accompanying System Price of electricity dataset is available.

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6. Transport

Weekly shipping indicators

The daily average number of ship visits increased by 3% in the week to 31 March 2024, when compared with the previous week. In the same period, the daily average number of cargo and tanker ship visits decreased by 6%.

When compared with the equivalent week in 2023, the daily average number of ship visits decreased by 10%, while the daily average number of visits from cargo and tanker ships decreased by 11%.

Our accompanying Weekly shipping indicators dataset is available.

Traffic camera activity

The average traffic camera activity for cars in London decreased by 3% in the week to 31 March 2024, when compared with the previous week. In the same period, average pedestrian and cyclist levels in London decreased by 9%.

Our accompanying Traffic camera activity dataset is available.

Daily UK flights

In the week to 31 March 2024, the daily average number of UK flights increased by 3% when compared with the previous week and were broadly unchanged from the equivalent week of 2023.

Our accompanying Daily UK flights dataset is available.

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7. Data

Online job advert estimates
Dataset | Released 5 April 2024
Weekly snapshot of online job advert indices covering the UK job market. These are official statistics in development. Source: Adzuna.

UK spending on credit and debit cards
Dataset | Released 5 April 2024
Daily, weekly and monthly data showing seasonally adjusted and non-seasonally adjusted UK spending using debit and credit cards. These are official statistics in development. Source: CHAPS, Bank of England.

System Average Price (SAP) of gas
Dataset | Released 5 April 2024
Daily data showing System Average Price (SAP) of gas, and rolling seven-day average, traded in Great Britain over the On-the-Day Commodity Market (OCM). These are official statistics in development. Source: National Gas Transmission.

System Price of electricity
Dataset | Released 5 April 2024
Daily data showing the System Price of electricity, and rolling seven-day average, in Great Britain. These are official statistics in development. Source: Elexon.

Daily UK flights
Dataset | Released 5 April 2024
Daily data showing UK flight numbers and rolling seven-day average, including flights to, from, and within the UK. These are official statistics in development. Source: EUROCONTROL.

This section lists a selection of the data available in this publication. For the full list of available datasets, please see our accompanying dataset page.

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8. Glossary

Real-time indicator

A real-time indicator provides insights into economic activity using close-to-real-time big data, administrative data sources, rapid response surveys or experimental estimates, which represent useful economic and social concepts.

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9. Measuring the data

Official statistics in development

These statistics are labelled as “official statistics in development”. Until September 2023, these were called “experimental statistics”. Read more about the change in our Guide to official statistics in development.

We are developing how we collect and produce the data to improve the quality of these statistics. Read more in our Economic activity and social change in the UK, real-time indicators methodology article.

Once the developments are complete, we will review the statistics with the Statistics Head of Profession. We will decide whether the statistics are of sufficient quality and value to be published as official statistics, or whether further development is needed. Production may be stopped if they are not of sufficient quality or value. Users will be informed of the outcome and any changes.

We value your feedback on these statistics. Contact us at realtime.indicators@ons.gov.uk.

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10. Strengths and limitations

These statistics have been produced to provide timely indicators of the effect of developing world events on the UK economy and society, using close-to-real-time big data, administrative data sources, rapid response surveys, or Official Statistics in development.

The data presented in this bulletin are reviewed and refreshed on a regular basis. Indicators are swapped in and out of the publication based on their suitability and availability.

UK coronavirus (COVID-19) restrictions

Coronavirus restrictions should be considered when interpreting the data featured throughout this bulletin.

Seasonality

Seasonal fluctuations are likely to be present in many of these indicators so caution must be applied when interpreting changes in series that are not seasonally adjusted.

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12. Cite this statistical bulletin

Office for National Statistics (ONS), published 5 April 2024, ONS website, statistical bulletin, Economic activity and social change in the UK, real-time indicators: 5 April 2024

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Manylion cyswllt ar gyfer y Bwletin ystadegol

Real time indicators team
realtime.indicators@ons.gov.uk