Business insights and impact on the UK economy: 9 March 2023

The impact of challenges facing the economy and other events on UK businesses. Based on responses from the voluntary fortnightly business survey (BICS) to deliver real-time information to help assess issues affecting UK businesses and economy, including financial performance, workforce, trade, and business resilience.

Nid hwn yw'r datganiad diweddaraf. Gweld y datganiad diweddaraf

9 March 2023

On 9 March 2023, this release will be in a headline-only format. It will be accompanied by our full standalone dataset. It will return to a full release on 23 March 2023.

Cyswllt:
Email Gemma Rabaiotti

Dyddiad y datganiad:
9 March 2023

Cyhoeddiad nesaf:
23 March 2023

1. Main points

  • Half (50%) of trading businesses reported that they were able to get the materials, goods or services they needed from within the UK in January 2023 without encountering any supply issues; a further 11% reported that they were able to get the materials, goods or services they needed but had to change suppliers or find alternative solutions to do so, with both percentages broadly stable when compared with December 2022.

  • In January 2023, one in eight (12%) businesses with 10 or more employees experienced global supply chain disruption, down 3 percentage points from December 2022; the most commonly reported reason for this disruption was a shortage of materials (35%).

  • For March 2023, 7 in 10 (70%) businesses reported some form of concern for their business, broadly stable with the proportion for February 2023 (72%); the top two concerns reported by businesses for March 2023 continued to be energy prices (19%) and inflation of goods and services prices (15%).
  • More than 1 in 10 (13%) businesses reported that their employees' hourly wages had increased in January 2023 compared with December 2022; this was 24% for businesses with 10 or more employees.

  • More than a quarter (27%) of businesses with 10 or more employees were experiencing worker shortages in late February 2023, broadly stable when compared with early January 2023 (28%).
  • In January 2023, 1 in 10 (10%) businesses had been affected as a result of industrial action, with more than a quarter (26%) of those businesses reporting that they were unable to fully operate as a consequence.
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2. Headline figures

The data presented in this bulletin are the results from Wave 77 of the Business Insights and Conditions Survey (BICS), which was live from 20 February to 5 March 2023.

The data reported within BICS bulletins and datasets are estimates that are subject to uncertainty, such as sampling variability and non-sampling error. Further information on quality is available in our Business Insights and Conditions Survey Quality and Methodology Information (QMI), and we regularly update the confidence intervals associated with the survey questions.

Experimental single-site weighted regional estimates up to Wave 74 are available in our Business insights and impact on the UK subnational single-site economy: February 2023 article.

More about economy, business and jobs

Figure 1: Headline figures from the Business Insights and Conditions Survey

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Notes:
  1. For presentational purposes, some response options have been combined and/or excluded.
  2. Business concerns: the data for the equivalent period last year for this indicator are not available as the question was not asked for this time period.
  3. Data are plotted in the middle of each wave.
Download the data

.xlsx

In late February 2023, the percentage of businesses that reported that they were trading was 95%, with 86% fully trading and 9% partially trading (for example, trading with reduced hours or staff numbers). Meanwhile, 3% of businesses reported "temporarily paused trading" and 2% "permanently ceased trading" as their business's trading status.

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3. Exporting and importing

Of trading businesses with 10 or more employees, 19% had exported and 25% had imported in the last 12 months.

Those businesses that had exported and/or imported were asked how their exporting and/or importing in January 2023 compared with January 2022, and which challenges had increased compared with the previous calendar month.

Figure 2: Exporting and importing figures from the Business Insights and Conditions Survey

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Notes:
  1. Exporting or importing compared with the same month last year: this identifies the percentage of businesses currently trading with 10 or more employees and who have reported that they had exported or imported in the last year. For presentational purposes, response options have been combined.
  2. Exporting or importing challenges: this identifies the percentage of businesses currently trading with 10 or more employees, who reported that they had exported/imported in the last year, and who reported how their exports/imports were affected. Businesses may report that exporting/importing has not been affected but are still able to report challenges.
  3. Caution should be taken when interpreting these results as the specific routing of this question (the way in which this question came to be answered) meant that only a small number of businesses responded.
  4. Data are plotted in the middle of the period of each wave.
Download the data

.xlsx

Further industry and size band breakdowns for all exporting and importing questions are available in our accompanying dataset.

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4. Business Insights and Conditions Survey (BICS) data

Business insights and impact on the UK economy
Dataset | Released 9 March 2023
Weighted estimates from the voluntary fortnightly business survey (BICS) about financial performance, workforce, prices, trade and business resilience. This dataset includes additional information collected as part of the survey not presented in this publication.

Business insights and impact on the UK economy confidence intervals
Dataset | Released 8 December 2022
Confidence intervals for weighted estimates from the voluntary fortnightly business survey (BICS) about financial performance, workforce, prices, trade and business resilience.

Access to microdata

You can access the microdata for Waves 1 to 76 of the Business Insights and Conditions Survey (BICS) through the Secure Research Service (SRS). The BICS microdata for each wave are released on a rolling basis in the week following the publication of each wave. The microdata are made confidential and do not disclose information on any specific business.

Only researchers accredited under the Digital Economy Act, as explained on the UK Statistics Authority website, are able to access data in the SRS. You can apply for accreditation through the Research Accreditation Service (RAS). You need to have relevant academic or work experience and must successfully attend and complete the assessed Safe Researcher Training.

To conduct analysis with microdata from the SRS, a project application must be submitted to the Research Accreditation Panel (RAP), as explained on the UK Statistics Authority website. To access the SRS, you must also work for an organisation with an Assured Organisational Connectivity agreement in place.

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5. Glossary

Reporting unit

The business unit to which questionnaires are sent is called the reporting unit. The response from the reporting unit can cover the enterprise as a whole or parts of the enterprise identified by lists of local units.

Net balance

Net balance is the difference between the percentage of businesses that reported a decrease and the percentage of businesses that reported an increase.

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6. Measuring the data

More quality and methodology information (QMI) on strengths, limitations, appropriate uses, and how the data were created is available in our Business Insights and Conditions Survey (BICS) QMI, updated on 24 January 2022.

The BICS is voluntary, and the results are experimental. More information is available in our Guide to experimental statistics.

The results are based on responses from the voluntary fortnightly BICS, which captures businesses' views on financial performance, workforce, prices, trade and business resilience. The Wave 77 survey was live for the period 20 February to 5 March 2023. The BICS survey questions are available.

Coverage

The Monthly Business Survey (MBS) covers the UK for production and Great Britain (GB) only for services. The Retail Sales Index (RSI) and construction are GB-focused. Therefore, the BICS will be UK-focused for production-based industries but GB-focused for the other elements of the economy covered. The sectors covered are:

  • non-financial services (includes professional, scientific, communication, administrative, transport, accommodation and food, private health and education, and entertainment services)

  • distribution (includes retail, wholesale, and motor trades)

  • production (includes manufacturing, oil and gas extraction, energy generation and supply, and water and waste management)

  • construction (includes civil engineering, housebuilding, property development and specialised construction trades such as plumbers, electricians, and plasterers)

The following industries are excluded from the survey:

  • agriculture

  • oil and gas extraction

  • energy generation and supply

  • public administration and defence

  • public provision of education and health

  • finance and insurance

For more information on the methodology of producing the BICS, such as weighting, please see our BICS quality and methodology information.

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7. Strengths and limitations

More quality and methodology information (QMI) on strengths, limitations, appropriate uses, and how the data were created is available in our Business Insights and Conditions Survey (BICS) QMI.

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9. Cite this statistical bulletin

Office for National Statistics (ONS), released 9 March 2023, ONS website, statistical bulletin, Business insights and impact on the UK economy: 9 March 2023

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Manylion cyswllt ar gyfer y Bwletin ystadegol

Gemma Rabaiotti
bics@ons.gov.uk
Ffôn: +44 1633 456417