Business insights and impact on the UK economy: 8 October 2026

The impact of challenges facing the economy and other events on UK businesses, including financial performance, workforce, trade and business resilience.

Hwn yw'r datganiad diweddaraf. Gweld datganiadau blaenorol

Cyswllt:
Email Business Insights and Conditions Survey (BICS) team

Dyddiad y datganiad:
8 October 2026

Cyhoeddiad nesaf:
22 October 2026

1. Main points

  • Nearly three-quarters (72%) of businesses reported some degree of concern about energy prices in late September 2026, the highest proportion since the question was first asked in March 2026; the accommodation and food service activities industry had the highest proportion of businesses expressing concern (91%).

  • In late September 2026, nearly three-quarters (73%) of businesses reported some degree of concern about increases in fuel prices, the highest proportion since the question was introduced in May 2026; the transportation and storage industry had the highest proportion that were “very concerned”, at 60%.

  • In September 2026, 48% of businesses with 10 or more employees reported concern about at least one factor affecting supply chains over the next year, broadly stable with August, but up 17 percentage points from September 2025; the two most frequently reported concerns from businesses were the impact of international conflict (32%) and shipping disruption (21%). 

  • Around 3 in 10 (30%) of all businesses reported using at least one type of artificial intelligence (AI) technology in September 2026, with the proportion using AI steadily increasing since the question was introduced in September 2023 (9%); for businesses with 250 or more employees, the proportion was 51%, up 32 percentage points from September 2023 (19%).

  • Of businesses with 10 or more employees that reported using AI technologies in September 2026, 38% reported that administrative and clerical roles were the most affected; this is an increase of 3 percentage points from June 2026 and 9 percentage points since this question was introduced in December 2025.

  • Over 4 in 10 (41%) businesses reported some degree of concern about the impact climate change may have on their business; this is the highest recorded proportion since February 2023 (41%) and a 9-percentage point increase from June 2026.

!

These are official statistics in development and we advise caution when using the data. The BICS questions and topics are regularly reviewed, and questions are often added, removed, or amended to reflect changing circumstances and analytical priorities.

Nôl i'r tabl cynnwys

2. Headline figures

The data presented in this bulletin are the final results from Wave 165 of the Business Insights and Conditions Survey (BICS), which was live from 21 September to 4 October 2026.

This wave of the survey asked businesses questions about:

  • supply chain resilience

  • energy (gas and electricity) prices

  • environmental issues, including concern about and actions around climate change and nature

  • artificial intelligence (AI) technologies

  • impact of United States tariffs

For full details of the survey questions used, see our Business Insights and Conditions Survey questions: 21 September to 4 October article.

Data reported within BICS bulletins and datasets are estimates that are subject to uncertainty, for example, sampling variability and non-sampling error. Further information on quality is available in our Business Insights and Conditions Survey quality and methodology information (QMI), and we regularly update confidence intervals associated with the survey questions.

Single-site weighted regional estimates up to Wave 154 are available in our Business insights and impact on the UK subnational single-site economy: May 2026 article.

More about economy, business and jobs

The percentage of businesses that reported they were trading in late September 2026 was 95%, with 86% fully trading, and 9% partially trading (for example, trading with reduced hours or staff numbers). Meanwhile, 3% of businesses reported "temporarily paused trading" and 2% reported "permanently ceased trading", as their business's trading status.

Nôl i'r tabl cynnwys

3. Artificial intelligence (AI)

AI adoption

Businesses were asked which artificial intelligence (AI) technologies they currently use, if any, in September 2026.

In September 2026, 3 in 10 (30%) businesses reported use of at least one type of AI technology. This proportion was broadly stable with June 2026, but has risen 20 percentage points since the question was introduced in September 2023 (9%). For businesses with 10 or more employees, 38% reported use of AI technologies, up 3 percentage points from June 2026 and 26 percentage points from September 2023.

Adoption of AI technologies has consistently been higher for larger businesses. In September 2026, around half (51%) of businesses with 100 or more employees reported adopting at least one AI technology. In comparison, only 29% of businesses with fewer than 10 employees reported using AI technologies.

The most frequently used AI technologies by businesses with 10 or more employees were text generation using large language models (21%) and visual content creation (19%). These proportions have risen 16 and 15 percentage points, respectively, since the question was introduced in September 2023.

Around 6 in 10 (60%) businesses in the information and communication industry reported currently using an AI technology. This is the highest proportion of any industry surveyed.

Impact of AI adoption on roles and headcount

Businesses that reported using at least one AI technology were asked in September 2026 what roles, if any, have been most affected by AI technologies they have adopted. They were also asked what impact, if any, adopting AI technologies had on their overall workforce headcount.

Of businesses with 10 or more employees that reported using AI technologies in September 2026, 38% reported administrative and clerical roles were the most affected. This is an increase of 3 percentage points since June 2026 and 9 percentage points since this question was first asked in December 2025. The next highest proportion was for creative or design roles, at 24%, broadly stable compared with December 2025.

In September 2026, of businesses with 10 or more employees that were currently using AI, 6% reported reduced headcount as a result. Fewer than 1% reported that their headcount had increased. These proportions have remained broadly stable over the last year.

Nôl i'r tabl cynnwys

4. Data from the Business Insights and Conditions Survey

Business insights and impact on the UK economy
Dataset | Released 8 October 2026
Weighted estimates from the voluntary fortnightly Business Insights and Conditions Survey (BICS) about financial performance, workforce, prices, trade, and business resilience. This dataset includes additional information collected as part of the survey not presented in this publication. These are official statistics in development.

Business insights and impact on the UK economy confidence intervals
Dataset | Released 8 October 2026
Confidence intervals for weighted estimates from the voluntary fortnightly Business Insights and Conditions Survey (BICS) about financial performance, workforce, prices, trade, and business resilience. These are official statistics in development.

Access to microdata 

You can access the microdata for Waves 1 to 164 of the Business Insights and Conditions Survey (BICS) through the Secure Research Service (SRS). The BICS microdata for each wave are released on a rolling basis in the week following the publication of each wave. The microdata are made confidential and do not disclose information on any specific business. 

Only researchers accredited under the Digital Economy Act, as explained on the UK Statistics Authority website are able to access data in the SRS. You can apply for researcher accreditation using the People and Projects Service (PPS). For more information, please see our guidance on how to become an accredited researcher.

To conduct analysis with microdata from the SRS, a project application must be submitted to the Research Accreditation Panel (RAP), as explained on the UK Statistics Authority website. Project accreditation applications should be submitted using the Project Accreditation Service for SRS (PASS). For more information, please see our guidance on applying for an accredited research project.

To use the SRS, you must access it through the appropriate safe setting. For more information on the full range of safe setting options, please see our guidance on accessing data securely.

Making our published spreadsheets accessible 

Following the Government Statistical Service (GSS) guidance on releasing statistics in spreadsheets, we will be amending our published tables over the next couple of publications to improve the usability, accessibility and machine readability of our published statistics. If you have any questions or comments, please email us at bics@ons.gov.uk

Nôl i'r tabl cynnwys

5. Glossary

Private sector businesses 

The Business Insights and Conditions Survey (BICS) is a survey of private sector businesses, meaning that the public sector is not sampled. Some businesses are also excluded; please see the Coverage section of this bulletin for more information.

Reporting unit

The reporting unit is the business unit to which questionnaires are sent. The response from the reporting unit can cover the enterprise as a whole, or parts of the enterprise identified by lists of local units. 

Trading businesses   

Trading businesses refers to businesses that responded that their trading status was "currently fully trading" or "currently partially trading" only. 

If trading businesses is not specifically specified, the statistics presented refer to businesses that have "Not permanently stopped trading". This includes trading businesses and those that said their trading status was "paused trading and intends to restart in the next two weeks" or "paused trading and does not intend to restart within the next two weeks".

Nôl i'r tabl cynnwys

6. Data sources and quality

More quality and methodology information on strengths, limitations, appropriate uses, and how the data were created is available in our Business Insights and Conditions Survey (BICS) quality and methodology information (QMI), which was updated on 10 October 2024.

The BICS is voluntary, and the results are official statistics in development. More information is available in our Guide to official statistics in development.

The results are based on responses from the voluntary fortnightly BICS, which captures businesses' views on financial performance, workforce, prices, trade and business resilience. The Wave 165 survey was live for the period 21 September to 4 October 2026. For full details of the survey questions used, see our Business Insights and Conditions Survey questions: 21 September to 4 October 2026 article.  

Coverage

The BICS sampling frame is based on the same industries as our Monthly Business Survey (MBS). The MBS covers the UK for production industries only, and Great Britain for construction, retail and services industries. The MBS is an important input to the output measure of gross domestic product (GDP), which includes monthly GDP.

For detailed information on the industries covered by the MBS and BICS, see our GDP(o) data sources catalogue. The following are some industries that are excluded from MBS and BICS:

  • agriculture

  • oil and gas extraction

  • energy generation and supply

  • public administration and defence

  • public provision of education and health

  • finance and insurance

For more information on the methodology of producing the BICS, such as weighting, please see our Business Insights and Conditions Survey (BICS) quality and methodology information (QMI) report.

Nôl i'r tabl cynnwys

8. Cite this statistical bulletin

Office for National Statistics (ONS), released 8 October 2026, ONS website, statistical bulletin, Business insights and impact on the UK economy: 8 October 2026

Nôl i'r tabl cynnwys

Manylion cyswllt ar gyfer y Bwletin ystadegol

Business Insights and Conditions Survey (BICS) team
bics@ons.gov.uk
Ffôn: +44 1633 560479