National population projections provide an indication of the future size and age structure of the UK and its constituent countries based on a set of assumptions of future fertility, mortality and migration, including a number of variant projections based on alternative scenarios.
Publications
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National population projections: 2016-based projections, methodology
National population projections provide an indication of the future size and age structure of the UK and its constituent countries based on a set of assumptions of future fertility, mortality and migration, including a number of variant projections based on alternative scenarios.
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National Population Projections: 2016-based statistical bulletin
National population projections provide an indication of the future size and age structure of the UK and its constituent countries based on a set of assumptions of future fertility, mortality and migration.
Data
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Table XB1-6, Moderately low life expectancy variant - Scotland summary
Moderately low life expectancy variant projection for Scotland - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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0% future EU migration variant - UK summary
The 0% future EU migration variant projection for the UK - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.
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Zero net migration (natural change only) variant - Wales population in age groups
Zero net migration (natural change only) variant projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Table XE1-6, 150% future EU migration variant - Scotland summary
The 150% future EU migration variant projection for Scotland - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.
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Principal projection - England and Wales summary
Principal projection for England and Wales including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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High life expectancy variant - England population in age groups
High life expectancy variant projection for England - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Principal projection - UK population in age groups
Principal projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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High migration variant - Great Britain summary
High migration variant projection for Great Britain including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Low fertility variant - Wales summary
Low fertility variant projection for Wales including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Low migration variant - Scotland summary
Low migration variant projection for Scotland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Zipped population projections data files, Wales
Open data for Wales principal and variant projections. Single year of age and sex with underlying data.
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Table XA1-6, Moderately high life expectancy variant - Scotland summary
Moderately high life expectancy variant projection for Scotland - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Low population variant - Scotland summary
Low population variant projection for Scotland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Low life expectancy variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups
Low life expectancy variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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50% future EU migration variant - Scotland summary
The 50% future EU migration variant projection for Scotland - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.
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Table XE1-2, 150% future EU migration variant - Great Britain summary
The 150% future EU migration variant projection for Great Britain - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.
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Principal projection - England population in age groups
Principal projection for England - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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50% future EU migration variant - Great Britain population in age groups
The 50% future EU migration variant projection for Great Britain - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.
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Low life expectancy variant - Scotland summary
Low life expectancy variant projection for Scotland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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High life expectancy variant - Scotland population in age groups
High life expectancy variant projection for Scotland - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Table XB1-4, Moderately low life expectancy variant - England summary
Moderately low life expectancy variant projection for England - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Table XB2-1, Moderately low life expectancy variant - UK population in age groups
Moderately low life expectancy variant projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Low life expectancy variant - Wales population in age groups
Low life expectancy variant projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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High migration variant - Wales population in age groups
High migration variant projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Table XA2-6, Moderately high life expectancy variant - Scotland population in age groups
Moderately high life expectancy variant projection for Scotland - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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High fertility variant - Wales summary
High fertility variant projection for Wales including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Low migration variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups
Low migration variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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High life expectancy variant - England summary
High life expectancy variant projection for England including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Low fertility variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups
Low fertility variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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0% future EU migration variant - Scotland population in age groups
The 0% future EU migration variant projection for Scotland - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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High fertility variant - UK summary
High fertility variant projection for the UK including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Table XA1-4, Moderately high life expectancy variant - England summary
Moderately high life expectancy variant projection for England - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Low migration variant - Wales summary
Low migration variant projection for Wales including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Zipped population projections data files, England
Open data for England principal and variant projections. Single year of age and sex with underlying data.
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0% future EU migration variant - UK population in age groups
The 0% future EU migration variant projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.
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50% future EU migration variant - England summary
The 50% future EU migration variant projection for England - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.
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Principal projection - Great Britain summary
Principal projection for Great Britain including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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High fertility variant - England summary
High fertility variant projection for England including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Low fertility variant - UK summary
Low fertility variant projection for the UK including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Table XA2-5, Moderately high life expectancy variant - Wales population in age groups
Moderately high life expectancy variant projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Table XE1-4, 150% future EU migration variant - England summary
The 150% future EU migration variant projection for England - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.
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Principal projection - Great Britain population in age groups
Principal projection for Great Britain - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Low population variant - UK population in age groups
Low population variant projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Low population variant - England summary
Low population variant projection for England including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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0% future EU migration variant - Northern Ireland summary
The 0% future EU migration variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.
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Principal projection - Northern Ireland summary
Principal projection for Northern Ireland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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High population variant - Scotland summary
High population variant projection for Scotland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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High migration variant - Scotland summary
High migration variant projection for Scotland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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50% future EU migration variant - Scotland population in age groups
The 50% future EU migration variant projection for Scotland - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.
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Low fertility variant - England population in age groups
Low fertility variant projection for England - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Table XF1-7, Northern Ireland medium high migration variant - Northern Ireland summary
Northern Ireland medium high migration variant projection - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Low migration variant - Northern Ireland summary
Low migration variant projection for Northern Ireland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Table XA2-7, Moderately high life expectancy variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups
Moderately high life expectancy variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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0% future EU migration variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups
The 0% future EU migration variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.
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High migration variant - Wales summary
High migration variant projection for Wales including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Low fertility variant - UK population in age groups
Low fertility variant projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Table XE2-1, 150% future EU migration variant - UK population in age groups
The 150% future EU migration variant projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.
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Table XB1-1, Moderately low life expectancy variant - UK summary
Moderately low life expectancy variant projection for the UK - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Low migration variant - England population in age groups
Low migration variant projection for England - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Low life expectancy variant - UK summary
Low life expectancy variant projection for the UK including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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High fertility variant - England population in age groups
High fertility variant projection for England - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Low fertility variant - Scotland summary
Low fertility variant projection for Scotland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Principal projection - Northern Ireland population in age groups
Principal projection for Northern Ireland - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Low population variant - Wales summary
Low population variant projection for Wales including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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High migration variant - Scotland population in age groups
High migration variant projection for Scotland - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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High migration variant - Northern Ireland summary
High migration variant projection for Northern Ireland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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High fertility variant - Scotland summary
High fertility variant projection for Scotland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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50% future EU migration variant - England population in age groups
The 50% future EU migration variant projection for England - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.
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Low fertility variant - Wales population in age groups
Low fertility variant projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Table XE2-5, 150% future EU migration variant - Wales population in age groups
The 150% future EU migration variant projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.
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Low life expectancy variant - England summary
Low life expectancy variant projection for England including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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High population variant - England population in age groups
High population variant projection for England - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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High life expectancy variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups
High life expectancy variant projection for Northern Ireland - Population by five year age groups and sex.
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High fertility variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups
High fertility variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Low migration variant - UK population in age groups
Low migration variant projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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High life expectancy variant - Scotland summary
High life expectancy variant projection for Scotland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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High life expectancy variant - Wales summary
High life expectancy variant projection for Wales including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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High fertility variant - Wales population in age groups
High fertility variant projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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High fertility variant - Scotland population in age groups
High fertility variant projection for Scotland - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Zero net migration (natural change only) variant - UK population in age groups
Zero net migration (natural change only) variant projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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0% future EU migration variant - England summary
The 0% future EU migration variant projection for England - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.
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Zero net migration (natural change only) variant - Wales summary
Zero net migration (natural change only) variant projection for Wales including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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High life expectancy variant - UK population in age groups
High life expectancy variant projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Principal projection - Scotland summary
Principal projection for Scotland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Table XE2-6, 150% future EU migration variant - Scotland population in age groups
The 150% future EU migration variant projection for Scotland - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.
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50% future EU migration variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups
The 50% future EU migration variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.
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Low migration variant - Great Britain summary
Low migration variant projection for Great Britain including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Zero net migration (natural change only) variant - Northern Ireland summary
Zero net migration (natural change only) variant projection for Northern Ireland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Low population variant - Wales population in age groups
Low population variant projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Low migration variant - UK summary
Low migration variant projection for the UK including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Calculating State Pension age: Pensions Act 2014
How the projected subnational population at UK State Pension age can be calculated, accounting for the changes to the State Pension age under the Pensions Act 2014.
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High migration variant - England population in age groups
High migration variant projection for England - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Table XE1-7, 150% future EU migration variant - Northern Ireland summary
The 150% future EU migration variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by age group, components of change, summary statistics. Not National Statistics.
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50% future EU migration variant - UK summary
The 50% future EU migration variant projection for the UK - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.
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High life expectancy variant - Wales population in age groups
High life expectancy variant projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Table XF2-7, Northern Ireland medium high migration variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups
Northern Ireland medium high migration variant projection - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Principal projection - Scotland population in age groups
Principal projection for Scotland - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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0% future EU migration variant - England population in age groups
The 0% future EU migration variant projection for England - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.
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Table XB2-7, Moderately low life expectancy variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups
Moderately low life expectancy variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Low migration variant - Wales population in age groups
Low migration variant projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Low fertility variant - Northern Ireland summary
Low fertility variant projection for Northern Ireland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Low population variant - Northern Ireland summary
Low population variant projection for Northern Ireland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Low migration variant - England summary
Low migration variant projection for England including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Low fertility variant - England summary
Low fertility variant projection for England including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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High population variant - England summary
High population variant projection for England including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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50% future EU migration variant - UK population in age groups
The 50% future EU migration variant projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.
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Table XA2-4, Moderately high life expectancy variant - England population in age groups
Moderately high life expectancy variant projection for England - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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0% future EU migration variant - Great Britain population in age groups
The 0% future EU migration variant projection for Great Britain - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.
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Table XE1-1, 150% future EU migration variant - UK summary
The 150% future EU migration variant projection for the UK - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.
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50% future EU migration variant - Wales population in age groups
The 50% future EU migration variant projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.
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Zero net migration (natural change only) variant - Scotland population in age groups
Zero net migration (natural change only) variant projection for Scotland - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Zipped population projections data files, UK
Open data for UK principal and variant projections. Single year of age and sex with underlying data.
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50% future EU migration variant - Great Britain summary
The 50% future EU migration variant projection for Great Britain - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.
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Low life expectancy variant - UK population in age groups
Low life expectancy variant projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Table XB1-7, Moderately low life expectancy variant - Northern Ireland summary
Moderately low life expectancy variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Table XB1-5, Moderately low life expectancy variant - Wales summary
Moderately low life expectancy variant projection for Wales - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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High population variant - UK population in age groups
High population variant projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Zero net migration (natural change only) variant - England summary
Zero net migration (natural change only) variant projection for England including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Low fertility variant - Scotland population in age groups
Low fertility variant projection for Scotland - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Table XG1-7, Northern Ireland medium low migration variant - Northern Ireland summary
Northern Ireland medium low migration variant projection - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Low life expectancy variant - Northern Ireland summary
Low life expectancy variant projection for Northern Ireland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Principal projection - UK summary
Principal projection for the UK including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Zipped population projections data files, Great Britain and England and Wales
Open data for Great Britain and England and Wales principal and variant projections. Single year of age and sex with underlying data.
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High population variant - Wales summary
High population variant projection for Wales including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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High population variant - Scotland population in age groups
High population variant projection for Scotland - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Zero net migration (natural change only) variant - UK summary
Zero net migration (natural change only) variant projection for the UK including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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0% future EU migration variant - Wales summary
The 0% future EU migration variant projection for Wales - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.
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0% future EU migration variant - Wales population in age groups
The 0% future EU migration variant projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.
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High population variant - Northern Ireland summary
High population variant projection for Northern Ireland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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50% future EU migration variant - Northern Ireland summary
The 50% future EU migration variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by age group, components of change, summary statistics. Not National Statistics.
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Zero net migration (natural change only) variant - England population in age groups
Zero net migration (natural change only) variant projection for England - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Low population variant - Scotland population in age groups
Low population variant projection for Scotland - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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0% future EU migration variant - Scotland summary
The 0% future EU migration variant projection for Scotland - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.
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High life expectancy variant - Northern Ireland summary
High life expectancy variant projection for Northern Ireland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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High population variant - UK summary
High population variant projection for the UK including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Principal projection - England summary
Principal projection for England including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Table XA1-1, Moderately high life expectancy variant - UK summary
Moderately high life expectancy variant projection for the UK - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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High migration variant - UK summary
High migration variant projection for the UK including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Table XA1-5, Moderately high life expectancy variant - Wales summary
Moderately high life expectancy variant projection for Wales - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Zero net migration (natural change only) variant - Scotland summary
Zero net migration (natural change only) variant projection for Scotland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Table XB2-6, Moderately low life expectancy variant - Scotland population in age groups
Moderately low life expectancy variant projection for Scotland - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Zipped population projections data files, Scotland
Open data for Scotland principal and variant projections. Single year of age and sex with underlying data.
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Z6 - Zipped population projections data files - extra variants, Northern Ireland
Open data for Northern Ireland extra variant projections. Single year of age and sex with underlying data.
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Table XE2-4, 150% future EU migration variant - England population in age groups
The 150% future EU migration variant projection for England - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.
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Low life expectancy variant - England population in age groups
Low life expectancy variant projection for England - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Low life expectancy variant - Wales summary
Low life expectancy variant projection for Wales including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Table XA2-1, Moderately high life expectancy variant - UK population in age groups
Moderately high life expectancy variant projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Low life expectancy variant - Scotland population in age groups
Low life expectancy variant projection for Scotland - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Low population variant - England population in age groups
Low population variant projection for England - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Low population variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups
Low population variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Principal projection - England and Wales population in age groups
Principal projection for England and Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Table XB2-4, Moderately low life expectancy variant - England population in age groups
Moderately low life expectancy variant projection for England - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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High migration variant - UK population in age groups
High migration variant projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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High fertility variant - UK population in age groups
High fertility variant projection for the UK - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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National population projections table of contents
Tools to locate the dataset tables and supporting documentation for the 2014, 2016, 2018 and 2020-based interim national population projections. Contains links to the principal and (where available) variant projections for the UK and constituent countries for 100 years ahead.
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Low migration variant - Scotland population in age groups
Low migration variant projection for Scotland - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Table XE1-5, 150% future EU migration variant - Wales summary
The 150% future EU migration variant projection for Wales - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.
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Table XE2-2, 150% future EU migration variant - Great Britain population in age groups
The 150% future EU migration variant projection for Great Britain - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.
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High fertility variant - Northern Ireland summary
High fertility variant projection for Northern Ireland including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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High migration variant - Great Britain population in age groups
High migration variant projection for Great Britain - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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50% future EU migration variant - Wales summary
The 50% future EU migration variant projection for Wales - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.
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Principal projection - Wales summary
Principal projection for Wales including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Table XG2-7, Northern Ireland medium low migration variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups
Northern Ireland medium low migration variant projection - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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High migration variant - England summary
High migration variant projection for England including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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0% future EU migration variant - Great Britain summary
The 0% future EU migration variant projection for Great Britain - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics. Not National Statistics.
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Low migration variant - Great Britain population in age groups
Low migration variant projection for Great Britain - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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High migration variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups
High migration variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Table J1-2, Zero net migration (natural change only) variant - Great Britain summary
Zero net migration (natural change only) variant projection for Great Britain - population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Zero net migration (natural change only) variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups
Zero net migration (natural change only) variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Table XE2-7, 150% future EU migration variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups
The 150% future EU migration variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by five-year age groups and sex. Not National Statistics.
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Table XB2-5, Moderately low life expectancy variant - Wales population in age groups
Moderately low life expectancy variant projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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High population variant - Wales population in age groups
High population variant projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Table J2-2, Zero net migration (natural change only) variant - Great Britain population in age groups
Zero net migration (natural change only) variant projection for Great Britain - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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Low population variant - UK summary
Low population variant projection for the UK including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Table XA1-7, Moderately high life expectancy variant - Northern Ireland summary
Moderately high life expectancy variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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High population variant - Northern Ireland population in age groups
High population variant projection for Northern Ireland - population by five-year age groups and sex.
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High life expectancy variant - UK summary
High life expectancy variant projection for the UK including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.
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Principal projection - Wales population in age groups
Principal projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex.
Methodoleg
Efallai y bydd hefyd gennych ddiddordeb yn:
The United Kingdom Statistics Authority has designated these statistics as National Statistics, in accordance with the Statistics and Registration Service Act 2007 and signifying compliance with the Code of Practice for Official Statistics.
Designation can be broadly interpreted to mean that the statistics:
- meet identified user needs
- are well explained and readily accessible
- are produced according to sound methods
- are managed impartially and objectively in the public interest
Once statistics have been designated as National Statistics it is a statutory requirement that the Code of Practice shall continue to be observed.