Foreign direct investment involving UK companies: 2013

Investment of UK companies abroad (outward) and foreign companies into the UK (inward), including investment flows, positions and earnings, by country, component and industry.

Nid hwn yw'r datganiad diweddaraf. Gweld y datganiad diweddaraf

This is an accredited National Statistic. Click for information about types of official statistics.

Cyswllt:
Email Michael Hardie

Dyddiad y datganiad:
20 January 2015

Cyhoeddiad nesaf:
3 December 2015

1. Main points

  • Net flows of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) abroad (outward investment) decreased from £27.4 billion in 2012 to £17.2 billion in 2013

  • The UK international investment position abroad (outward Investment) fell from £1,043 billion in 2012 to £1,035 billion in 2013, the second consecutive fall from a peak of £1,091 billion in 2011

  • Net earnings from direct investment abroad by UK companies (outwards earnings) fell from £79.9 billion in 2012 to £68.7 billion in 2013

  • New flows of FDI into the UK (inward investment) fell from £44.6 billion in 2012 to £43.7 billion in 2013

  • The international investment position held by foreign companies in the UK (inward investment) increased from £960 billion in 2012 to £975.4 billion in 2013. This has increased consistently since 2004, when the international investment position held by foreign companies was £363.4 billion

  • Net earnings from direct investment in the UK (inward investment) increased from £48.9 billion in 2012 to £54.3 billion in 2013, and have been on an upward trend since the 2008-09 economic downturn

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2. Your views matter

We are constantly aiming to improve this release and its associated commentary. We would welcome any feedback you might have and would be particularly interested in knowing how you make use of these data to inform our work. For further information please contact us via email: fdi@ons.gov.uk or telephone Michael Hardie on +44 (0)1633 455923.

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3. Overview

Data on Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) flows, positions and earnings involving UK companies are presented in this release. The investment figures are published on a net basis, that is, they consist of investments minus disinvestments. Investments can include acquisitions of assets or shares and disinvestments can include the disposal of assets or shares.

Estimates are published for 2003 to 2013 – the 2012 estimates are revised and 2013 published for the first time. In previous years this information has been published separately – Foreign Direct Investment (December) and Foreign Direct Investment MA4 (February). The latter being a repeat publication with an additional industry and component breakdown.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) recently implemented changes to the Balance of Payments (BoP) and International Investment Position (IIP), which are required to meet new international standards and guidelines as a result of the implementation of the sixth edition of the Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual (BPM6). A summary of these are outlined in Methodological changes to the measurement of the Balance of Payments as a result of the introduction of BPM6.

This statistical bulletin includes information on a direction principle (2003-2013) for continuity of presentation, in response to user feedback. These data are based on the Annual Foreign Direct Investment Survey.

Data on an asset liability principle (2012-2013) will be published alongside the Balance of Payments (30 June). These data, which are also based on the Annual Foreign Direct Investment Survey, will be used to benchmark the data currently published for 2013, which are based on the Quarterly FDI Survey. This benchmarking process will be carried out alongside the release of the 2013 asset/liability data in June.

This approach has been taken to provide users with the longest time series possible for the detailed industry and country breakdowns, which will only be available for 2012 and 2013 when the asset/liability data are published in June. Also to remain coherent with the Balance of Payments benchmarking process, this will be undertaken at the same time.

ONS will consult regarding the publication of asset/liability and directional data over the next year, with a view to amend the next Annual Foreign Direct Investment publication.

FDI net investment flows (Table 1.1)

The net flow of direct investment abroad by UK companies decreased from £27.4 billion in 2012 to £17.2 billion in 2013, the lowest flow recorded since before 2004. Investment peaked at £159.1 billion in 2007 before falling notably in 2008 (£99.3 billion) and 2009 (£25.1 billion), since then the flow of investment aboard by UK companies has remained broadly stable, with average annual investment of £31.1 billion over the period.

Net investment flows into the UK decreased slightly from £44.6 billion in 2012 to £43.7 billion in 2013. These figures are higher than inward investment in 2010 (£32.1 billion) and 2011 (£28.9 billion), but below the average annual investment between 2005 and 2009 (£74.5 billion).

FDI net international investment positions (IIP) (Table 1.2)

The net position of international investment held abroad by UK companies decreased from £1,043.4 billion in 2012 to £1,035 billion in 2013, the lowest net position of direct investment aboard since 2009 (£981 billion).

The net position of direct investment held in the UK by overseas companies at the end of 2013 was estimated at £975.4 billion, an increase compared with £960.1 billion reported in 2012. The level of inward investment has increased considerably since 2004, when direct investment in the UK by overseas companies was £363 billion.

FDI net investment earnings (Table 1.3)

Net earnings from direct investment by UK companies abroad decreased from £79.9 billion in 2012 to £68.7 billion in 2013. This was the lowest level of earnings since 2009, when earnings from direct investment held abroad was £67.9 billion.

Net earnings from FDI in the UK increased from £48.9 billion in 2012 to £54.3 billion in 2013. Net earnings have followed an upward trend since the 2008-09 economic downturn, when net earnings from FDI in the UK fell dramatically to £3.1 billion in 2008 from £45.1 billion in 2007.

Foreign direct investment abroad by geography and industry (Table 3.2)

In 2013 just under three-quarters (74.4%) of the international investment position held abroad by UK companies was in Europe and USA. This grew in the USA from £190.4 billion in 2012 to £241.2 billion in 2013, but fell in Europe from £572.3 billion in 2012 to £528.9 billion in 2013. The investment position held by UK companies in Asia and Australasia & Oceania increased, while there was a small fall in the UK’s investment position in Africa.

The 2013 increase in investment position in the Americas was supported by a positive investment flow of £28.3 billion and the fall in Europe by a negative investment flow of £17.6 billion. The former reflects a £10.1 billion investment in the Financial Services industry. There was a positive investment flow of £6.9 billion to Australasia & Oceania, but the investment position only increased by £2.2 billion, suggesting that the stock of assets held by UK companies fell in value. There was also a disinvestment of £1.1 billion in Asia; however the investment position increased by £6.9 billion, due to an increase in value of the assets held by UK companies.

Net earnings from the direct investment held by UK companies abroad varied noticeably by region. In Europe, earnings fell slightly by £0.7 billion to £26.7 billion between 2012 and 2013; a notable fall in financial services was partially offset by mainly smaller gains elsewhere. Earnings in The Americas and Asia both fell from £24.1 billion to £19.3 billion and £17.0 billion to £14.0 billion respectively. The latter reflects a fall in earnings in the petroleum, chemicals, pharmaceuticals, rubber, plastic products industry, where earnings fell from £2.0 billion in 2012 to negative £1.9 billion in 2013.

Foreign direct investment in the UK by geography and industry

The net position of direct investment in the UK by overseas companies has increased consistently since 2003, with all regions contributing, albeit at different rates. The most notable contributions came from Europe and the Americas; together these accounted for nearly 90% of the inward investment position in the UK in 2013. The European investment position, however, did fall slightly from £553.8 billion in 2012 to £547.7 billion in 2013, while the investment position held by the Americas increased from £305.1 billion in 2012 to £319.3 billion in 2013. The inward investment position from Asia remained broadly stable, while there were increases in the investment position held by companies from Australasia & Oceania and Africa.

Despite the investment position in Europe falling, there remained a positive investment flow in 2013 of £12.5 billion, suggesting that the value of the assets held by European companies in the UK fell compared with 2012. In contrast the increase in the investment position in the Americas was supported by an investment flow of £14.3 billion in 2013. The flow of investment from Asian into UK companies decreased from the previous year but remained positive, which when analysed alongside the broadly stable investment position shows that some assets held have fallen in value.

Earnings received by foreign investors in the UK increased from £48.9 billion in 2012 to £54.3 billion in 2013. The largest contribution came from Europe (£24.0 billion in 2012 to £31.5 billion in 2013).

Rate of return analysis

Another useful Foreign Direct Investment indicator is the rate of return, which is calculated as earnings divided by positions.

Overall, the implied rate of return for outward direct investment abroad by UK companies fell between 2012 (7.7%) and 2013 (6.6%), and has only been lower on one occasion (2008 – 6.5%) since 2004. In contrast, the rate of return for foreign companies investing in the UK increased between 2012 (5.1%) and 2013 (5.6%). This compares favourably with the rate of turn experienced during the 2008-09 economic downturn, but not favourably to the rate of return prior to this period.

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4. Net FDI flows abroad by component and industry

Component analysis (Table 1.1 and Table 2.2)

Net FDI flows are made up of three primary components: reinvested earnings (sometimes known as unremitted profits); equity capital transactions (including mergers, acquisitions and disposals); and other capital transactions (including inter-company loans).

Summary

Figure 1 shows total net direct investment abroad decreased from £27.4 billion in 2012 to £17.2 billion in 2013, which reflects a fall in reinvested earnings, which fell from £20.2 billion in 2012 to just under £1 billion in 2013. This was partially offset by other capital transactions, which increased from £6.3 billion in 2012 to £7.5 billion in 2013.

Services

UK net investment abroad involving services industry companies increased in 2013 with the largest contributions coming from Europe and the Americas. In Europe, investment decreased most notably in the retail & wholesale trade, repair of motor vehicles & motor cycles and professional, scientific & technical services industries. There was also an increase in investment in the financial services industry, from a disinvestment of £4.8 billion to an investment of £0.8 billion, which reflects increased investment by Luxembourg (+£5.9 billion), Sweden (+£2.1 billion), and the Netherlands (+£1.2 billion). However, this was partially offset by a disinvestment in the financial services industry in France (-£7.2 billion), Switzerland (-£3.3 billion), and Ireland (-£1.4 billion).

Production

UK net investment abroad to the production industry fell for the third consecutive year, from £22.0 billion in 2011 and £14.7 billion in 2012, to a disinvestment of £10.8 billion in 2013. The disinvestment in 2013 was mainly due to the petroleum, chemicals, pharmaceuticals, rubber, and plastic products industry (£11.7 billion) in Europe. Other notable disinvestments occurred in the mining & quarrying industry in Russia (£10.1 billion) and the Near and Middle East Countries (£5.9 billion).

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5. Net FDI international investment positions abroad by component and industry

Component analysis (Table 1.2)

FDI international investment positions are made up of three primary components: UK companies share of their foreign companies’ affiliates share capital and reserves, inter-company account balances and foreign branch head-office account movements to the UK parent.

The net international investment position decreased from £1,043 billion in 2012 to £1,035 billion in 2013, the second consecutive fall from a peak of £1,091 billion in 2011. This change reflects a fall in share capital and reserves, which decreased from £1,101.6 billion in 2012 to £1,031.9 billion in 2013. This was partially due to the net amount due to UK parents on the inter-company account, which continued to be negative for the fifth consecutive year. In addition to this, the net amount due to UK parents on the branch head-office account at the end of the period decreased from £40.1 billion to £21.1 billion, but nevertheless had a positive impact on the UK investment position.

Services

The services industry accounted for 46.4% of the UK’s investment position held abroad in 2013, down from 50.6% in 2012. Within the services industries, financial services accounted for £263.5 billion at the end of 2013, compared with £294.5 billion at the end of 2012; Netherlands, Switzerland, France, and Luxembourg were the largest contributors to this change. Information & communication services accounted for £94.6 billion at the end of 2013, compared with £114.0 billion at the end of 2012; again the largest changes were in Europe.

Production

The UK outward net position for the production industry increased from £357.8 billion in 2012 to £376.8 billion in 2013. The mining & quarrying industry accounted for £198.7 billion of the investment position held abroad by UK companies in 2013, increasing from £177.8 billion in 2012. The majority of which is held in Europe (£62.1 billion), followed by Asia (£24.5 billion). Other important production industries include the food products, beverages & tobacco products and the petroleum, chemicals, pharmaceuticals, rubber & plastic products, which accounted for £54.5 billion and £62.9 billion of the total investment position respectively in 2013.

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6. Net earnings from FDI investment abroad by component and industry.

Component analysis (Table 1.3)

Net FDI earnings abroad by UK companies are made up of three primary components. These include net subsidiaries profit, net interest incurred by UK companies and net branch profits.

In 2013, net FDI earnings abroad decreased when compared with 2012, falling from £79.9 billion to £68.7 billion. This is a return to levels experienced during the 2008-09 economic downturn.

Services

Total earnings from direct investment in the services industry decreased slightly in 2013 by £2.7 billion to £25.5 billion, mainly due to a notable decrease in earnings from the financial services industry, particularly in Europe, and falls in Luxembourg and Switzerland. Other industries remained largely consistent, with several slight increases, partially offsetting the decline in financial services earnings.

Production

Earnings from UK investment in the production industry abroad decreased to £32.1 billion in 2013, compared with £39.5 billion in 2012. This reflects fully in the mining & quarrying, petroleum, chemicals, pharmaceuticals, rubber & plastic products and transport equipment industries. Earnings within petroleum and chemicals industries underwent a notable decline in Asia, from a £2.0 billion investment to a disinvestment of £1.9 billion in 2013. Food products, beverages and tobacco products was the production industry where earnings increased notably, from £3.8 billion in 2012 to £5.6 billion in 2013.

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7. Net FDI flows into the UK (inward) by component and industry

Component analysis (Table 1.1)

Net FDI flows are made up of three primary components: reinvested earnings (sometimes known as unremitted profits); equity capital transactions (including mergers, acquisitions and disposals); and other capital transactions (including inter-company loans).

Total net FDI flows in the UK decreased from £44.6 billion in 2012 to £43.7 billion in 2013. This was considerably lower than the peak of £96.8 billion reported in 2005. Equity capital, which is net acquisitions and disposals of UK companies involved in FDI, has been the main contributor of total net FDI flows since 2004. This fell from £31.2 billion in 2012 to £23.8 billion in 2013, and has been on a broad downward trend since 2007. In contrast, unremitted branch profits have been on an upward trend since 2011, and increased from £0.8 billion in 2012 to £12.8 billion in 2013. Inter-company movements, contributed negatively by £9.0 billion, following positive contributions of £3.7 billion and £2.4 billion in 2011 and 2012 respectively.

Services

Net investment into the services industry decreased slightly from £36.2 billion in 2012 to £31.6 billion in 2013. This reflects a decrease in the investment flows from Europe which fell to £10.5 billion in 2013, down from £23.0 billion. The professional, scientific & technical services industry was the main driving force behind the fall in flows from Europe, with a decrease of £3.0 billion reported within this industry in 2013. However, the financial services reported a decrease in investment flows from £13.9 billion to £12.2 billion. This decrease was most prominent in Europe where an increase of £4.9 billion was reported between 2012 and 2013.

Production

Net investment into the production industry improved from £5.9 billion in 2012 to £9.4 billion in 2013. This reflects a change from a disinvestment of £3.7 billion in 2012 to an investment of £4.2 billion in 2013 in the mining & quarrying industry – United States of America (£4.8 billion). Five out of nine production industries reported an increase in investment in 2013, however a disinvestment of £1.7 billion was observed in the petroleum, chemicals, pharmaceuticals, rubber and plastic products industry, from a disinvestment of £0.3 billion.

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8. Net FDI international investment positions in the UK (Inward) by component and industry

FDI international investment positions are made up of three primary components: UK companies share of their foreign companies’ affiliates share capital and reserves, inter-company account balances and foreign branch head-office account movements to the UK parent.

Foreign companies’ share of UK companies share capital and reserves increased from £799.6 billion in 2012 to £836.8 billion in 2013. This has been increasing consistently on an annual basis since 2004, with the exception of 2009. The other two components are comparably small and stable: net amounts due to foreign parents on the inter company account – decreased from £120.4 billion in 2012 to £84.1 billion in 2013 and the net amount due to foreign parents on the branch head office account increased from £40.1 billion in 2012 to £54.5 billion in 2013.

Services

The UK inward net positions within the services industry increased from £595.4 billion in 2012 to £632.4 billion in 2013, and accounted for 64.8% of the total UK inward position at the end of 2013, a slight increase from 62.0% in 2012. This increase was mainly due to Europe and the United States, where positions increased by £15.1 billion and £8.4 billion respectively in 2013. While the majority of the services industries within Europe have increased between 2012 and 2013, the industry which provided the largest contribution was financial services, which increased by £10.3 billion.

Production

Within the production industry, the investment position decreased in 2013 for the first time since 2010, down from £323.1 billion in 2012 to £299.1 billion. The mining & quarrying industry remained broadly stable, £84.8 billion in 2012 to £84.6 billion in 2013, whereas there was a decrease in the investment position of the petroleum, chemicals, plastic and fuel products, from £37.3 billion in 2012 to £30.8 billion in 2013. A decrease was also observed in other manufacturing products which was £35.4 billion in 2013, down from £42.3 billion in 2012.

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9. Net earnings from FDI investment in the UK (inward) by component and industry

Component Analysis (Table 1.3)

Net earnings from FDI in the UK are made up of three primary components. These include net subsidiaries profit, net interest incurred by UK companies and net branch profits.

Net profits, or reinvested earnings, have been on a broad upward trend since 2008 and have been the main contributor to FDI earnings since 2004. Net profits increased from £35.7 billion in 2012 to £42.5 billion in 2013. The remaining components: net interest accrued to foreign parent companies and foreign companies share of UK branches net profits have been broadly stable since 2010, having taken different paths in the pre-2010 years.

Services

Earnings in the services industry increased from £25.9 billion in 2012 to £34.5 billion in 2013. This was mainly due to Europe, where earnings almost doubled, from £11.3 billion in 2012 to £19.1 billion in 2013. This is partly attributed to the financial services industry, where earnings increased from £3.6 billion in 2012 to £7.3 billion in 2013.

Production

Earnings from foreign direct investment within the production industry decreased from £18.8 billion in 2012 to £14.3 billion in 2013. This was mainly due to the United States which recorded figures of £3.4 billion in 2013, down from £6.1 billion in 2012, indicating that earnings from foreign direct investment in the UK’s production industry almost halved for American investors. While a downward change was observed across every manufacturing industry with the exception of transport equipment, the main negative change for the United States was the mining & quarrying industry where earnings fell from £2.4 billion in 2012 to £1.2 billion in 2013.

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10. FDI economic commentary

The UK experienced better economic conditions in 2013 as annual GDP growth increased to 1.7% from 0.7% in 2012. The UK also remained one of the most active countries for outward and inward FDI in the world. Data from the OECD suggest that 6.3% of the total world inward FDI position was due to the UK in 2013, with the UK holding the same proportion of the total world outward FDI position too. This is smaller than that of the United States (19.1% and 25.1% of the world inward and outward positions respectively) but higher than the proportions held by the other G7 nations.

Global economic activity was largely maintained in 2013. The latest International Monetary Fund (IMF) data estimated that world real GDP grew by 3.3% in 2013 after growing by 3.4% in 2012. The advanced economies grew by 1.4% in 2013, compared with growth of 1.2% in 2012. This is partly reflecting the continuing economic adjustments in some economies following the 2008-09 economic downturn. Meanwhile, growth in the rest of the world slowed to 4.7% compared with 5.1% in 2012. The IMF found that a number of emerging markets now have lower potential growth rates than in earlier years.

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11 .Background notes

  1. Basic quality information

    The Quality and Methods Information document (QMI) (629.3 Kb Pdf) for Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) describes, in detail, the intended uses of the statistics presented in this publication, their general quality and the methods used to produce them.

  2. Key issues specific to this release

    The estimates in this statistical bulletin are based on annual FDI surveys for 2013.

    A summary of these results, by geography, was previously released as an Office for National Statistics (ONS) Statistical Bulletin for Foreign Direct Investment involving UK companies in early December, with another statistical bulletin published in February, Foreign Direct Investment Involving UK Companies (MA4), which contained a more comprehensive breakdown. This year however these publications have been merged together, into this statistical bulletin. Provisional estimates for 2013, derived from quarterly surveys, have also been published in the quarterly Balance of Payments Statistical Bulletins however the annual surveys provide firmer and more detailed figures. The aggregates for 2013 are included in the Q3 2014 Balance of Payments Statistical Bulletin published on 23 December 2014.

  3. Key concepts and definitions

    Affiliate: An affiliate is an umbrella term that covers both subsidiaries and associates where the investor holds more than 10% of the equity share capital.

    Branch: A branch is a permanent establishment as defined for UK corporation tax and double taxation relief purposes. This is not a separate legal entity. Such establishments should either have a complete set of accounts or be able to compile a meaningful set of accounts, from both an economic and legal viewpoint.

    Direct investment: Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) refers to investment that adds to, deducts from or acquires a lasting interest in an enterprise operating in an economy other than that of the investor where the investor’s purpose is to have an effective voice in the management of the enterprise.

    For the purposes of FDI statistics, an effective voice is taken as equivalent to holding 10% or more of the equity share capital in the direct investment enterprise. Other investments, in which the investor does not have an effective voice in the management of the enterprise, are mainly portfolio investments and these are not covered in this release.

    From the 2005 FDI survey, cross-border investment by public corporations and private property investments are included, as in the Balance of Payments data. Direct investment is a financial concept and is not the same as capital expenditure on fixed assets. It covers only the money invested in a related enterprise by the parent company with the enterprise having the discretion on how to use it.

    A related enterprise may also raise money locally without reference to the parent company. The investment figures are published on a net basis, that is, they consist of investments net of disinvestments by a company into its subsidiaries.

    Direct investment earnings: Direct investment earnings (a part of the income account) provide information on the earnings of direct investors. These can arise from both equity and debt.

    Direct investment flows: Direct investment flows (or transactions) show the net inward and outward investments made during any given reference period. FDI flows comprise of:

    • acquisitions/disposals of equity capital
    • reinvestment of earnings
    • inter-company debt

    FDI inward flows provide a useful indicator in relation to the attractiveness of economies but such interpretations require additional information on which to base sound conclusions.

    Direct investment positions: Direct investment positions (also known as levels or stocks) provide information on the total level of investment made abroad/received from abroad for a given reference date.

    Inward direct investment: From a UK perspective, inward direct investment is investment in a UK resident affiliate (subsidiary or associate) or branch by a non-UK parent company or head office. This can also be referred to as direct investment into the UK.

    Outward direct investment: From a UK perspective, outward direct investment is investment by a UK resident company in a non-UK affiliate (subsidiary or associate) or branch. This can also be referred to as direct investment abroad.

    Reinvested earnings: Reinvestment of earnings, or reinvested earnings, refer to earnings on equity accruing to direct investors less the value of distributed earnings. Reinvested earnings are included in direct investment income because the earnings of the subsidiary, associate or branch are deemed to be the income of the direct investor (proportionate to the direct investor’s holding of equity), whether they are reinvested in the enterprise or remitted to the direct investor. Reinvested earnings are also treated as a flow of direct investment from the direct investor to their overseas enterprise.

    Special Purpose Entities (SPEs): The term SPE is used to refer to entities such as financing subsidiaries, shell companies and conduits, which typically do not conduct any notable operations in the country in which they are resident other than to pass-through investments from their parent company to an affiliate in another country.

  4. Relevance to users

    The UK’s FDI statistics are produced according to the agreed international standards set out in the third edition of the OECD’s Benchmark Definition of FDI (BD3) and the fifth edition of the IMF’s Balance of Payments Manual (BPM5). The definitions and standards set out in BD3 and BPM5 were adopted in 1997. The changes made since 1997 are detailed in the Quality and Methods Information document linked in background note 2 above. Complying with these standards ensures that the FDI statistics produced by the UK are comparable with those from other countries, something that is critical to many users of these estimates.

    The OECD and IMF have recently released new versions of their manuals concerning FDI statistics (BD4 and BPM6). These revised manuals reflect the changes that have occurred in international finance since the previous updates. Along with other countries, the UK is currently implementing these manuals, and this is the first edition of this publication to reflect the changes, and as such is fully BD4 and BPM6 compliant.

    For more detail on these changes see the guidance and methodology section of the ONS website.

    ONS makes every effort to provide informative commentary on the data in this release. As part of the quality assurance process, individual businesses are contacted in an attempt to capture reasons for large period-on-period data movements. It can prove difficult to gather detailed reasons from some businesses to help inform the commentary. Frequently, reasons given for data movements refer to a ‘change in market conditions’ or a ‘restructure of the company’. Consequently, it’s not possible for all data movements to be fully explained.

    ONS are aware that a number of users make use of these data for modelling or forecasting purposes. In doing so, it is important that users make note of our revisions policy (see note 7 in the background notes) and that all time series are on a ‘current price’ basis, which means that the values are as they were at the time of measurement and not adjusted for inflation.

    One question often asked of the FDI release is ‘why are there high levels of investment to and from countries such as Luxembourg and Jersey where there are relatively low levels of economic activity?’ The reason is that ONS figures record transactions between the UK and the first port of call. Some companies are structured such that the first destination is used to pass through investments to a second country in order to take advantage of certain business conditions, such as low tax regimes. This can lead to distortions within the figures.

    In line with the Code of Practice for Official Statistics, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) will consult fully with data providers and users of the statistics regarding any changes that occur as a result of the adoption of the new manuals.

    FDI estimates are essential for measuring the UK’s Balance of Payments and the UK’s international investment position. FDI earnings figures feed into the Balance of Payments current account, while FDI flows form an integral part of the financial account. FDI statistics are also of great interest in their own right. By its very nature, FDI is seen as promoting stable and long-lasting economic links between countries. It is generally believed that FDI can assist host countries in developing local enterprises, promote international trade through access to markets and contributes to the transfer of technology and know-how. FDI can also have an impact on the development of labour and financial markets. Regular analysis of FDI trends and developments is therefore an integral part of most macro-economic and cross-border financial analysis. Identifying partner countries and industries is central to most such analysis.

    Within the UK, FDI estimates are used by a large number of government departments for briefing and policy purposes. These include HMRC, Cabinet Office, HM Treasury, UK Trade and Investment, the Bank of England, the Department for Business, Innovation and Skills and the Department for International Development.

    UK FDI figures are also extensively used for policy, analysis and negotiations by international organisations, including Eurostat, UNCTAD, OECD and IMF, as well as a number of foreign embassies. More widely the FDI estimates are utilised by commercial companies, academics and independent researchers.

    Your views matter

    We are constantly aiming to improve this release and its associated commentary. We would welcome any feedback you might have and would be particularly interested in knowing how you make use of these data to inform our work. Please contact us via email: fdi@ons.gov.uk or telephone Michael Hardie on +44 (0)1633 455923.

  5. Guidance on interpreting foreign direct investment statistics and making international comparisons

    Exchange rates: Enterprises are asked to returns values in sterling, as entered in their accounts, rounded to the nearest £0.1 million. Where conversion from a foreign currency is involved, they are asked to use the same rate of exchange as in their own accounts. The effect of exchange rates should not be underestimated as these can also have a large impact on the differences between positions figures when making comparisons with other countries.

    Valuation of equity: Enterprises are asked to return market values and book values where possible. Enterprises are asked to refrain from using any other valuation method such as historical cost. Book values are likely to be notably different from current market values as book values tend to reflect values at earlier periods when assets were acquired or subsequently re-valued. The effect of using different valuation methods should not be underestimated as these can also have a large impact on the differences between positions figures when making comparisons with other countries.

    SPEs (Special Purpose Entities): These companies, that have been set up for pass-through investment purposes, are very difficult to identify and as a consequence there can be huge discrepancies in data with countries such as Luxembourg and the Netherlands. Current methodology stipulates that we measure cross-border transactions only but merely identify whether the partner country is an SPE or not. We do not ask where the next destination is and this can show distortions in the figures.

    Industry allocation:

    The analysis of UK FDI abroad (outward) is based on the industry of the foreign affiliate. Similarly the analysis of FDI in the UK (inward) is based on the industry of the UK affiliate.

  6. Accuracy

    Sampling and non-sampling error: Sampling error is the error caused by observing a sample instead of the whole population. While each sample is designed to produce the ‘best‘ estimate of the true population value, a number of equal-sized samples covering the population would generally produce varying population estimates.

    Sample surveys are employed rather than censuses, because the census process is too lengthy and costly to be viable for these surveys. Standard errors are an estimate of the sampling error and provide a measure of the precision of the estimate. A lower standard error indicates a more precise estimate.

    Due to a change in the estimation methodology for 2012, the standard error calculations are currently under review. Standard errors for the FDI 2012 annual data will be available in a supplementary paper, to be published in spring.

    Non-sampling error: In addition to sampling errors, there is also the potential for non-sampling error. This cannot be easily quantified. One potential source of non-sampling error is from non-response, which relates to the failure to obtain data from the sample. Low response rates may introduce bias if respondents are not fully representative of those selected in the sample. Various efforts are made to minimise non-response. Written reminders are sent to non-responding businesses and these are followed up with telephone, fax and email reminders. In addition, there is the possibility of using the legal powers of the Statistics of Trade Act to enforce a response, though ONS prefers to work together with businesses to produce the necessary information.

    The response rates for the 2013 annual surveys are shown below:

    Non-response bias is a potential issue for all statistical surveys. Non-response bias occurs when the answers of respondents differ from the potential answers of those who did not respond. The risk of non-response bias is minimised by efforts to maximise response rates and the use of estimation techniques that can attempt to correct for any bias that may be present. Despite this, it is not easily possible, on any survey, to quantify the extent to which non-response bias remains a problem. However, there is no evidence to suggest that non-response bias presents a particular issue for the FDI surveys.

    Imputation methods are used to estimate values for all business in the sample who did not return data. Estimation methods are used to estimate values for all non-sampled business within the population, in order produce an estimate for the population.

    The proportion of the imputed and estimated values are shown below:

  7. Revisions

    Data for 2012 have been revised in this statistical bulletin and will not be revised any further. Data for 2013 will remain provisional until December 2015, when the next FDI statistical bulletin will be released.

    ONS will not be providing a revisions analysis this year due to the discontinuity in the time series as a result of moving to BPM6. However this analysis will be provided in next year’s bulletin.

  8. Notes to tables

    The sum of the constituent items in tables may not always agree exactly with the totals shown due to rounding of the figures.

  9. Office for National Statistics

    The Office for National Statistics (ONS) is the executive office of the UK Statistics Authority, a non-ministerial department which reports directly to Parliament. ONS is the UK government's single largest statistical producer. It compiles information about the UK's society and economy, and provides the evidence-base for policy and decision-making, the allocation of resources, and public accountability. The Director General of ONS reports directly to the National Statistician who is the Authority's Chief Executive and the Head of the Government Statistical Service.

    The UK Statistics Authority has reviewed this publication in its report: “Assessment of compliance with the Code of Practice for Official Statistics”: Statistics of International Transactions, which was published on 8 December 2011.

    This review recommended that the Foreign Direct Investment Involving UK Companies estimates be designated as a National Statistic, subject to ONS carrying out certain requirements. ONS met all of these requirements on 3 May 2013.

    Designation can be broadly interpreted to mean that the statistics:

    • meet identified user needs
    • are well explained and readily accessible
    • are produced according to sound methods
    • are managed impartially and objectively in the public interest

    Once statistics have been designated as National Statistics it is a statutory requirement that the Code of Practice shall continue to be observed.

  10. Social media

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  11. The Government Statistical Service (GSS)

    The Government Statistical Service is a network of professional statisticians and their staff operating both within the Office for National Statistics and across more than 30 other government departments and agencies.

  12. National Statistics

    National Statistics are produced to high professional standards set out in the Code of Practice for Official Statistics. They undergo regular quality assurance reviews to ensure that they meet customer needs. They are produced free from any political interference.

  13. Government Statistical Service (GSS) business statistics

    To find out about other official business statistics, and choose the right data for your needs, use the GSS Business Statistics Interactive User Guide. By selecting your topics of interest, the tool will pinpoint publications that should be of interest to you, and provide you with links to more detailed information and the relevant statistical releases. It also offers guidance on which statistics are appropriate for different uses.

  14. Discussing ONS business statistics online

    There is a Business and Trade Statistics community on the StatsUserNet website. StatsUserNet is the Royal Statistical Society’s interactive site for users of official statistics. The community objectives are to promote dialogue and share information between users and producers of official business and trade statistics about the structure, content and performance of businesses within the UK. Anyone can join the discussions by registering via either of the links above

  15. Special events

    ONS has published commentary, analysis and policy on 'Special Events' which may affect statistical outputs. For full details visit the Special Events page on the ONS website.

  16. Release policy

    A list of those given pre-publication access to the contents of this release is available on the ONS website.

  17. Details of the policy governing the release of new data are available by visiting www.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/assessment/code-of-practice/index.html or from the Media Relations Office email: media.relations@ons.gov.uk

    These National Statistics are produced to high professional standards and released according to the arrangements approved by the UK Statistics Authority.

Nôl i'r tabl cynnwys

12 . Methodology

Manylion cyswllt ar gyfer y Bwletin ystadegol

Michael Hardie
fdi@ons.gov.uk
Ffôn: +44 (0)1633 455923