"Figure 4: There were two breakpoints in non-COVID-19 mortality, at similar times to the all-cause and COVID-19 breakpoint 2 and 3 respectively, but the rate and direction of change differed","" "Modelled number of deaths per day, by cause, England and Wales, deaths occurring between 28 December 2019 and 4 September 2020 and registered by 3 October 2020","" "","" "Notes","1. Figures include deaths of non-residents. 2. Based on date of death, registered up to 3 October 2020. 3. All figures for 2020 are provisional. 4. Information on segmented regression, breakpoints and modelled deaths can be found in the measuring the data section 5. Modelled number of deaths based on fitting to seasonally adjusted deaths by date as provided by the segmented regression model." "Unit","Number of deaths" "","" "Date of occurrence","All cause","COVID","non-COVID" "28 Dec 19","1324","-9","1274" "29 Dec 19","1325","-9","1276" "30 Dec 19","1326","-9","1279" "31 Dec 19","1327","-8","1281" "01 Jan 20","1328","-8","1284" "02 Jan 20","1328","-8","1286" "03 Jan 20","1329","-7","1288" "04 Jan 20","1330","-7","1291" "05 Jan 20","1331","-6","1293" "06 Jan 20","1332","-6","1296" "07 Jan 20","1332","-6","1298" "08 Jan 20","1333","-5","1301" "09 Jan 20","1334","-5","1303" "10 Jan 20","1335","-5","1305" "11 Jan 20","1336","-4","1308" "12 Jan 20","1336","-4","1310" "13 Jan 20","1337","-4","1313" "14 Jan 20","1338","-3","1315" "15 Jan 20","1339","-3","1317" "16 Jan 20","1340","-3","1320" "17 Jan 20","1340","-2","1322" "18 Jan 20","1341","-2","1325" "19 Jan 20","1342","-1","1327" "20 Jan 20","1343","-1","1329" "21 Jan 20","1344","-1","1332" "22 Jan 20","1344","0","1334" "23 Jan 20","1345","0","1337" "24 Jan 20","1346","0","1339" "25 Jan 20","1347","1","1341" "26 Jan 20","1347","1","1344" "27 Jan 20","1348","1","1346" "28 Jan 20","1349","2","1349" "29 Jan 20","1350","2","1351" "30 Jan 20","1351","2","1353" "31 Jan 20","1351","3","1356" "01 Feb 20","1352","3","1358" "02 Feb 20","1353","3","1361" "03 Feb 20","1354","4","1363" "04 Feb 20","1355","4","1366" "05 Feb 20","1355","5","1368" "06 Feb 20","1356","5","1370" "07 Feb 20","1357","5","1373" "08 Feb 20","1358","6","1375" "09 Feb 20","1359","6","1378" "10 Feb 20","1359","6","1380" "11 Feb 20","1360","7","1382" "12 Feb 20","1361","7","1385" "13 Feb 20","1362","7","1387" "14 Feb 20","1363","8","1390" "15 Feb 20","1363","8","1392" "16 Feb 20","1364","8","1394" "17 Feb 20","1365","9","1397" "18 Feb 20","1366","9","1399" "19 Feb 20","1367","10","1402" "20 Feb 20","1367","10","1404" "21 Feb 20","1368","10","1406" "22 Feb 20","1369","11","1409" "23 Feb 20","1370","11","1411" "24 Feb 20","1371","11","1414" "25 Feb 20","1371","12","1416" "26 Feb 20","1372","12","1418" "27 Feb 20","1373","12","1421" "28 Feb 20","1374","13","1423" "29 Feb 20","1375","13","1426" "01 Mar 20","1375","13","1428" "02 Mar 20","1376","14","1430" "03 Mar 20","1377","14","1433" "04 Mar 20","1378","14","1435" "05 Mar 20","1379","15","1438" "06 Mar 20","1379","15","1440" "07 Mar 20","1380","16","1443" "08 Mar 20","1381","16","1445" "09 Mar 20","1382","16","1447" "10 Mar 20","1383","17","1450" "11 Mar 20","1383","17","1452" "12 Mar 20","1384","17","1455" "13 Mar 20","1385","18","1457" "14 Mar 20","1386","18","1459" "15 Mar 20","1387","18","1462" "16 Mar 20","1387","19","1464" "17 Mar 20","1388","19","1467" "18 Mar 20","1389","19","1469" "19 Mar 20","1441","20","1471" "20 Mar 20","1514","20","1474" "21 Mar 20","1588","61","1476" "22 Mar 20","1661","129","1479" "23 Mar 20","1735","198","1481" "24 Mar 20","1808","266","1483" "25 Mar 20","1882","335","1486" "26 Mar 20","1955","403","1488" "27 Mar 20","2029","471","1491" "28 Mar 20","2102","540","1493" "29 Mar 20","2176","608","1495" "30 Mar 20","2249","677","1498" "31 Mar 20","2323","745","1500" "01 Apr 20","2396","814","1503" "02 Apr 20","2470","882","1505" "03 Apr 20","2543","950","1508" "04 Apr 20","2617","1019","1510" "05 Apr 20","2690","1087","1512" "06 Apr 20","2763","1156","1515" "07 Apr 20","2837","1224","1517" "08 Apr 20","2910","1292","1520" "09 Apr 20","2873","1304","1522" "10 Apr 20","2835","1276","1524" "11 Apr 20","2797","1248","1526" "12 Apr 20","2759","1220","1517" "13 Apr 20","2721","1191","1509" "14 Apr 20","2683","1163","1500" "15 Apr 20","2645","1135","1492" "16 Apr 20","2607","1107","1483" "17 Apr 20","2569","1079","1475" "18 Apr 20","2531","1051","1466" "19 Apr 20","2493","1022","1457" "20 Apr 20","2455","994","1449" "21 Apr 20","2417","966","1440" "22 Apr 20","2379","938","1432" "23 Apr 20","2341","910","1423" "24 Apr 20","2303","881","1415" "25 Apr 20","2266","853","1406" "26 Apr 20","2228","825","1397" "27 Apr 20","2190","797","1389" "28 Apr 20","2152","769","1380" "29 Apr 20","2114","740","1372" "30 Apr 20","2076","712","1363" "01 May 20","2038","684","1355" "02 May 20","2000","656","1346" "03 May 20","1962","628","1338" "04 May 20","1924","599","1329" "05 May 20","1886","571","1320" "06 May 20","1848","543","1312" "07 May 20","1810","515","1303" "08 May 20","1772","487","1295" "09 May 20","1734","458","1286" "10 May 20","1697","430","1278" "11 May 20","1659","402","1276" "12 May 20","1651","388","1277" "13 May 20","1644","379","1278" "14 May 20","1636","370","1279" "15 May 20","1629","361","1280" "16 May 20","1622","352","1281" "17 May 20","1614","343","1282" "18 May 20","1607","334","1283" "19 May 20","1600","325","1284" "20 May 20","1592","316","1285" "21 May 20","1585","307","1286" "22 May 20","1577","297","1287" "23 May 20","1570","288","1288" "24 May 20","1563","279","1289" "25 May 20","1555","270","1290" "26 May 20","1548","261","1291" "27 May 20","1540","252","1292" "28 May 20","1533","243","1293" "29 May 20","1526","234","1294" "30 May 20","1518","225","1295" "31 May 20","1511","216","1296" "01 Jun 20","1504","207","1297" "02 Jun 20","1496","198","1298" "03 Jun 20","1489","188","1299" "04 Jun 20","1481","179","1300" "05 Jun 20","1474","170","1301" "06 Jun 20","1467","161","1302" "07 Jun 20","1459","152","1304" "08 Jun 20","1452","143","1305" "09 Jun 20","1445","134","1306" "10 Jun 20","1437","125","1307" "11 Jun 20","1430","116","1308" "12 Jun 20","1422","107","1309" "13 Jun 20","1415","98","1310" "14 Jun 20","1408","88","1311" "15 Jun 20","1400","79","1312" "16 Jun 20","1396","74","1313" "17 Jun 20","1396","73","1314" "18 Jun 20","1396","72","1315" "19 Jun 20","1395","71","1316" "20 Jun 20","1395","70","1317" "21 Jun 20","1395","69","1318" "22 Jun 20","1395","68","1319" "23 Jun 20","1395","67","1320" "24 Jun 20","1395","66","1321" "25 Jun 20","1394","65","1322" "26 Jun 20","1394","64","1323" "27 Jun 20","1394","63","1324" "28 Jun 20","1394","62","1325" "29 Jun 20","1394","61","1326" "30 Jun 20","1393","60","1327" "01 Jul 20","1393","59","1328" "02 Jul 20","1393","58","1329" "03 Jul 20","1393","57","1330" "04 Jul 20","1393","56","1331" "05 Jul 20","1393","55","1332" "06 Jul 20","1392","54","1333" "07 Jul 20","1392","53","1334" "08 Jul 20","1392","52","1335" "09 Jul 20","1392","51","1336" "10 Jul 20","1392","50","1337" "11 Jul 20","1392","50","1338" "12 Jul 20","1391","49","1339" "13 Jul 20","1391","48","1340" "14 Jul 20","1391","47","1341" "15 Jul 20","1391","46","1342" "16 Jul 20","1391","45","1343" "17 Jul 20","1391","44","1344" "18 Jul 20","1390","43","1345" "19 Jul 20","1390","42","1346" "20 Jul 20","1390","41","1347" "21 Jul 20","1390","40","1348" "22 Jul 20","1390","39","1349" "23 Jul 20","1390","38","1350" "24 Jul 20","1389","37","1351" "25 Jul 20","1389","36","1352" "26 Jul 20","1389","35","1353" "27 Jul 20","1389","34","1354" "28 Jul 20","1389","33","1355" "29 Jul 20","1388","32","1356" "30 Jul 20","1388","31","1357" "31 Jul 20","1388","30","1358" "01 Aug 20","1388","29","1359" "02 Aug 20","1388","28","1360" "03 Aug 20","1388","27","1361" "04 Aug 20","1387","26","1362" "05 Aug 20","1387","25","1363" "06 Aug 20","1387","24","1364" "07 Aug 20","1387","23","1365" "08 Aug 20","1387","22","1366" "09 Aug 20","1387","21","1367" "10 Aug 20","1386","20","1368" "11 Aug 20","1386","19","1369" "12 Aug 20","1386","18","1370" "13 Aug 20","1386","17","1371" "14 Aug 20","1386","16","1372" "15 Aug 20","1386","15","1373" "16 Aug 20","1385","14","1374" "17 Aug 20","1385","14","1375" "18 Aug 20","1385","13","1376" "19 Aug 20","1385","12","1377" "20 Aug 20","1385","11","1378" "21 Aug 20","1385","10","1379" "22 Aug 20","1384","9","1380" "23 Aug 20","1384","8","1381" "24 Aug 20","1384","7","1382" "25 Aug 20","1384","6","1383" "26 Aug 20","1384","5","1384" "27 Aug 20","1383","4","1385" "28 Aug 20","1383","3","1386" "29 Aug 20","1383","2","1387" "30 Aug 20","1383","1","1388" "31 Aug 20","1383","0","1389" "01 Sep 20","1383","-1","1390" "02 Sep 20","1382","-2","1391" "03 Sep 20","1382","-3","1392" "04 Sep 20","1382","-4","1393"