"Figure 4: There is approximately a two-in-three chance that the “final” estimate will be within the confidence intervals",""
"Confidence intervals and the first estimate of quarter-on-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth",""
"",""
"Notes","1. The 68% confidence intervals are based on statistical properties of revisions between the first and “final” estimate of gross domestic product (GDP), computed over a rolling 10-year window and applying a normal distribution.
2. These confidence intervals imply there is approximately a two-in-three chance that the “final” estimate will be within the estimated range.
3. Q1 equals Quarter 1 (January to March), Q2 equals Quarter 2 (April to June), Q3 equals Quarter 3 (July to September) and Q4 equals Quarter 4 (October to December).
"
"Unit","%"
"",""
"","First estimate","Lower","Upper"
"2008 Q1 ","0.4","0.1","0.7"
"2008 Q2 ","0.2","-0.1","0.5"
"2008 Q3 ","-0.5","-0.8","-0.2"
"2008 Q4 ","-1.5","-1.8","-1.2"
"2009 Q1 ","-1.9","-2.2","-1.6"
"2009 Q2 ","-0.8","-1.2","-0.4"
"2009 Q3 ","-0.4","-0.8","0.0"
"2009 Q4 ","0.1","-0.3","0.5"
"2010 Q1","0.2","-0.2","0.6"
"2010 Q2","1.1","0.7","1.5"
"2010 Q3","0.8","0.4","1.2"
"2010 Q4","-0.5","-0.9","-0.1"
"2011 Q1","0.5","0.1","0.9"
"2011 Q2","0.2","-0.2","0.6"
"2011 Q3","0.5","0.1","0.9"
"2011 Q4","-0.2","-0.6","0.2"
"2012 Q1","-0.2","-0.6","0.2"
"2012 Q2","-0.7","-1.1","-0.3"
"2012 Q3","1.0","0.6","1.4"
"2012 Q4","-0.3","-0.7","0.1"
"2013 Q1","0.3","-0.1","0.7"
"2013 Q2","0.6","0.2","1.0"
"2013 Q3","0.8","0.4","1.2"
"2013 Q4","0.7","0.3","1.1"
"2014 Q1","0.8","0.4","1.2"
"2014 Q2","0.8","0.4","1.2"
"2014 Q3","0.7","0.3","1.1"
"2014 Q4","0.5","0.1","0.9"
"2015 Q1","0.3","-0.1","0.7"
"2015 Q2","0.7","0.3","1.1"
"2015 Q3","0.5","0.1","0.9"
"2015 Q4","0.5","0.1","0.9"
"2016 Q1","0.4","0.0","0.8"
"2016 Q2","0.6","0.2","1.0"
"2016 Q3","0.5","0.1","0.9"
"2016 Q4","0.6","0.2","1.0"